Title Page
Contents
Acronyms 7
Abstract 8
Chapter I. Introduction 10
1.1. Research Background 10
1.2. Research Question and Hypothesis 12
1.3. Research Design and Methodology 18
Chapter II. Discussion of Nuclear Proliferation: Characteristics 20
2.1. Limitations of International Nuclear Organizations 20
2.2. Inconsistency of Nuclear Policy 23
2.3. The U.S. Nuclear Non-Proliferation Policy: Rollback 25
Chapter III. Case studies: Nuclear Reversal of Three Countries 28
3.1. Ukraine's Nuclear Renunciation 28
3.1.1. The Political Context of Ukraine's Nuclear Program 28
3.1.2. U.S. Influence on Decision Making 32
3.1.2.1. Nunn-Lugar's Cooperative Threat Reduction Program 32
3.1.3. Reasons and Motivation for Nuclear Rollback 35
3.2. Libya's Nuclear Rollback 37
3.2.1. Motivations and Backgrounds of Nuclear Development 37
3.2.2. Role of International and Domestic Political Leaders 39
3.2.3. Peculiar Environment in the Decision Making Process 43
3.2.4. Reasons and Motivation for Nuclear Rollback 44
3.3. South Africa's Nuclear Rollback 46
3.3.1. Initial Motivations for Developing Nuclear Weapons 46
3.3.2. Domestic Political Situation and Role of Political Leaders 48
3.3.3. Reasons and Motivation for Nuclear Rollback 51
Chapter IV. Possibilities and Limitations of Nuclear Reversal 54
4.1. Decisive Indicators Leading to Nuclear Rollback 54
4.1.1. Changes of Security Environment 54
4.1.2. International Sanctions and Compensation 56
4.1.3. Domestic Political Situation 58
4.2. Implications and Limitations of Political Leaders' Influence 59
Chapter V. Conclusion 64
Bibliography 67