[Title Page]
Abbreviations
Contents
Rating based on the Evaluation Result 10
Executive Summary 14
I. Evaluation Overview 18
1. Background and Purpose 20
2. Goal and Scope 20
3. Evaluation Project 21
1) Project Background 21
2) Project Overview 24
3) Project Characteristics and Focus of Evaluation 26
II. Evaluation Method and Procedure 28
1. Evaluation Item and Method 30
1) Evaluation Item 30
2) Evaluation Methods 30
2. Research Method 33
3. Work Division and Schedule 34
1) Work Division 34
2) Evaluation Schedule 35
III. Analysis of Target Project 36
1. Analysis of Project Environment 38
1) Overview of Sri Lanka 38
2) Economy and Industries of Sri Lanka 39
3) Electricity Industry in Sri Lanka 40
2. Analysis of Stakeholder in Ex-post Evaluation Project 42
IV. Evaluation Results 44
1. Relevance 46
1) Consistency with Policy 46
2) Suitability with Power Demand 49
2. Effectiveness 51
1) Short-Term Outcome 52
2) Mid-Term Outcome 54
3) Long-Term Results 57
3. Efficiency 59
1) Cost-Efficiency 59
2) Performance-Efficiency 60
4. Impact 61
1) Positive Impact 62
2) Negative effects 66
5. Sustainability 66
1) Outcomes 66
2) Expandability 73
6. Cross-Cutting Issues and Others 76
V. Conclusion and Recommendations 78
1. Key Evaluation Results and Lessons 80
2. Suggestions on Follow-up 82
3. Suggestions on Similar Project 83
4. Suggestions on Evaluation Process 85
References 86
Appendices/Annexes 90
Appendix 1. Evaluation Grading Criteria and Evaluation Grading Table 93
Appendix 2. PDM at the project planning 95
Appendix 3. Data obtained during ex-post evaluation 99
Copyright 113
[Back Cover] 114
〈Table 1〉 Classification of Target Project 22
〈Table 2〉 Overview of Target Project: Project for Grid Connected Photovoltaic... 24
〈Table 3〉 Project Progress 25
〈Table 4〉 Evaluation Item 30
〈Table 5〉 Ex-post Evaluation Matrix 31
〈Table 6〉 Research Methods 34
〈Table 7〉 Work Division of Evaluation Team 34
〈Table 8〉 Evaluation Schedule 35
〈Table 9〉 Facility Capacity and Generation in Sri Lanka(as of 2012) 41
〈Table 10〉 Stakeholder of Ex-post Evaluation 42
〈Table 11〉 Relevance Evaluation Matrix 46
〈Table 12〉 Estimates of Electricity Production Mix 47
〈Table 13〉 Result Chain 51
〈Table 14〉 Effectiveness Evaluation Matrix 51
〈Table 15〉 Monthly/Annual Generation 54
〈Table 16〉 Electricity Production 56
〈Table 17〉 Earnings from Electricity Sales 57
〈Table 18〉 Efficiency Evaluation Matrix 59
〈Table 19〉 Comparison between KOICA and JICA Power Plant 60
〈Table 20〉 Evaluation Matrix of Impact 61
〈Table 21〉 Visitors to Hambantota Solar Energy Park(as of 2014) 63
〈Table 22〉 Sustainability Evaluation Matrix 66
〈Table 23〉 Key maintenance issues in Hambantota Photovoltaic... 68
〈Table 24〉 Generation Performance Sustainability of... 70
〈Table 25〉 Production and Income of Hambantota Solar Project 71
〈Table 26〉 Income from Hambantota Power Plant(Summary) 72
〈Table 27〉 Budget Expenses of Hambantota Power Plant 72
[Figure 1] Result chain(General) 21
[Figure 2] Location of the Project 23
[Figure 3] Map of Sri Lanka 38
[Figure 4] Changes in Installations of Renewable Energy(1996-2008) 50
[Figure 5] Project Site 52
[Figure 6] Photovoltaic panel 52
[Figure 7] Equipment to raise voltage 52
[Figure 8] Satellite Photograph - Project Site 53
[Figure 9] Basic Structure of PV System 53
[Figure 10] Rate of Renewable Energy Purchases in Sri Lanka, 2014 58
[Figure 11] Information on Solar Energy Park 64
[Figure 12] Frequency and Cause of Shutdown in Hambantota Power Plant 69
[Figure 13] Increase of Renewable Energy Capacity in Sri Lanka 74
[Figure 14] Annual Expected Target of Renewable Energy Supplies 76