영문목차
List of Tables and Figures=ⅶ
Preface=xi
Chapter 1. Is There a Place for Us?=1
Chapter 2. A Process in Evolution:From the Founding Fathers to 1968=11
Chapter 3. Evolution Speeds Up:The Modern Era of Nominating Presidents=41
Chapter 4. The Lay of the Land:2004=81
Chapter 5. Looking to the World:How Other Countries Select Their Leaders=115
Chapter 6. Can We Do Better Than This?=135
Notes=151
Index=163
About the Author=169
TABLES
Table 1.1. The Presidential Nominating Process:Few Votes Cast, Fewer Votes Matter=3
Table 1.2. Primaries and the Calendar:The Fight to Be First=4
Table 1.3. Some Old, Some New:A Timeline of Presidential Primaries Since 1968=8
Table 2.1. Nominating the President:Never Turnouts Like the Fall=15
Table 2.2. The Heyday of Conventions:Some of the Most Notable=17
Table 2.3. There at the Start:The Primaries of 1912=24
Table 3.1. Voter Participation Through the Years:Votes Cast in Presidential Primaries as a Percentage of Votes Cast in Fall General Election=49
Table 3.2. Presidential Primaries Since 1972:The Only Route to Nomination=53
Table 3.3. Presidents, Renomination, and Reelection=57
Table 3.4. Big Years for Primary Turnout at the State Level=64
Table 3.5. The Southern Regional Primary at Its Apex:March 8, 1988=66
Table 3.6. A Rise in Third Parties:The Product of a Flawed Nominating Process?=72
Table 4.1. Winning "The Invisible Primary"=87
Table 4.2. The 2000 Presidential Primaries:Some Votes Worth More Than Others=91
Table 4.3. Highest State Turnouts in the 2000 Nominating Process=96
Table 4.4. Iowa, New Hampshire, and the Road to Nomination=100
Table 4.5. Presidential Primary Calendars, 2000 and 2004=105
Table 4.6. Gauging Presidential Vulnerability:The New Hampshire Yardstick=112
Table 5.1. Leadership Selection Process in Selected Democracies=118
Table 6.1. Hypothetical National Primaries, Hypothetical Runoffs=139
Table 6.2. The GOP's "Delaware Plan":And the Last Shall Be First=145
FIGURES
Figure 1.1. The Rise of Presidential Primaries:A Modern Phenomenon, 1912 Primaries-The Starting Point=5
Figure 1.2. The Rise of Presidential Primaries:A Modern Phenomenon, 1968 Primaries-The End of an Era=6
Figure 1.3. The Rise of Presidential Primaries:A Modern Phenomenon, 2000 Primaries-An All-Time High=7
Figure 2.1. There at the Start:The Republican Primaries of 1912=25
Figure 3.1. The Primary Electorate:Much Smaller Than November=47
Figure 3.2. The Three Faces of the South:The Southern Democratic Primaries, March 8, 1988=69
Figure 3.3. The Evolution of Super Tuesday-March 8, 1988=76
Figure 3.4. The Evolution of Super Tuesday-March 7, 2000=77
Figure 4.1. Early Primaries Most Important, But Most Votes Cast Later:The 2000 Presidential Primary Vote=90
Figure 4.2. Some Votes Worth More Than Others:The Republican Nominating Calendar in 2000=92
Figure 6.1. Rotating Regional Primaries(Grouping of states as proposed by the National Association of Secretaries of State, February 1999)=141
Figure 6.2. The GOP's "Delaware Plan"(Grouping of states as proposed by the Republican National Committee's Advisory Commission on the Presidential Nominating Process, May 2000)=144