[Title Page]
모시는 말씀 / 김재창 ; 존 틸럴리
회의 일정
WELCOME REMARKS / Jae Chang Kim ; John H. Tielli, Jr
SCHEDULE
Contents
Panel I. Current Security Situaions on the Korean Peninsula 11
Marginalization of South Korean Security / Taewoo Kim 12
Major Variables in the Northeast Asian Security Game 12
Questions Pertaining to South Korea's Bilateral Relations 13
Questions for Inter-Korean Security Relations 15
Evolving North Korean Threats and the Impact on Engagement / Bruce E. Bechtol, Jr. 18
Evolving North Korean Threats and the Impact on Engagement 19
North Korea's Nuclear Weapons Programs in 2015 : Advances and Questions 20
DPRK Ballistie Missile Programs in 2015 : Compelling Advances in the Threat 22
North Kroea's Maritime advances in 2015 : Compelling Advances in the Threat 26
North Kroea's Air and Ground Forces in 2015 : New Systems and Training Trends 28
North Korea and Cyber-Warfare : A Growing Threat 31
Conclusions 32
Notes 34
Party-Military Relations in North Korea and the Security Situation on the Korean Peninsula / Robert Collins 41
Abstract 41
Introduction 42
Role of the KWP Central Military Committee 43
Role of the KPA Party Committee 45
Role of the General Political Bureau 46
Role of the KWP Organization and Guidance Department 50
Role of the Military Security Command 58
Conclusion 59
Panel II. US-ROK Alliance and Peaceful Reunification of Korean Peninsula 66
The Role of the ROK-US Alliance in Peaceful Unification of Korea / Byonggu Lee 67
Abstract 67
I. Introduction 68
II. Renewed Assessments of Northeast Asian Security Environment 69
III. Designing an Evolutionary Framework : Enhancing the connection between today and post-reunification 74
IV. Specific Tasks of the ROK-U.S. alliance for Each Phase 78
V. Conclusion 85
Armistice Arrangements on the Korean peninsula 88
The Neutral Nations Repatriation Commission 89
The MDL and DMZ 89
The MAC 89
The NNSC 89
The early days 90
The North Korean break with NNSC 90
The expanded tasks 91
Expanded tasks 1-9 91
Possible way ahead 92
Conclusion 93
North Korea's Policy towards Us and South Korea(2009-2015) / Park Hyeong-Jung 94
Abstract 94
1. North Korea's Renunciation of Denuclearization and its Impact on its Relations with the US and South Korea 95
2. The Development of North Korea's policy towards the US and South Korea 100
3. In lieu of Conclusion 112
Nuclear deterrence theories and its implications for North Korea's SLBM / Chung Sam-Man 114
Abstract 114
Introduction 115
An overview of nuclear deterrence theories 116
ROK's response strategy : tailored deterrence strategy 124
North Korea's building of missile submarine 126
Further measures to be recommended 131
Conclusion 137
END NOTES 139
Works cited 141
Penel III. International Cooperation for Peaceful Reunification of Koreas 143
The UN and Korea : Role and Commitment in the Reunification Process / Park Min-hyoung 144
Abstract 144
Introduction 145
What is a Collective Security System? 146
Why the UN's role is necessary for the Peninsula? 150
The UN's Role and Commitment for Reunification 156
Conclusion : ROK's Policy Direction 158
Note 161
China and Cooperation with North Korea / Gordon G. Chang 163
Abstract 163
Keywords 163
North Korea's Leadership Transition 164
China's Transition 169
Consequences of North Korean and Chinese Disunity 174
Conflicting North Korean and Chinese Foreign Policies 178
Conclusion 180
Korean Unification and the Interests and Roles of Neghboring Countries / Sue Mi Terry 190
Abstract 190
Introduction 191
Washington and the Region's Evolving and Conflicting Views on Korean Unification 192
Divergent Priorities and the Roles of the U.S. and the Region 196
Challenges of Korean Unification for the Region 200
Benefits and Opportunities of Korean Unification for the Region 205
Looking Ahead : Policy Recommendations for Washington and Seoul 208
Panel IV. Human Rights, Economic Issues and Reunification of Korean Peninsula 214
Making Engagement Effective : The Politics of North Korean Human Rights in a Humanitarian Context / Dong-ho Han 215
Abstract 215
1. Introduction 216
2. The Evolution of North Korean Human Right Issues and Intensifying Efforts of the International Community 217
3. South Korea's Demestic Discussions on North Korean Human Rights 219
4. Inserting Humanitarianism into South Korea's Korean Human Rights Policy 226
5. Conclusion 231
International Cooperation for the Improvement of North Korea's Human Rights : From Engagement to Accountability / Go Myoung-hyun 234
Background 234
Central concept : the Responsivility to Protect("R2P") 235
COI-DPRK : Turning Point in North Korea's Human Rights Situation, from Engagemnet to Accountability 236
Beyond the COI-DPRK : The Way Forward 238
Conclusion 240
PANELIST AND SPEAKER BIOGRAPHIES 241