[표지]
회의 일정(Conference Timeline)
Welcome Remarks / 김병관
환영사 / 남시욱
축사 / 손기웅
목차
Panel I. Trump Administration and the Issue of the ROK-US Alliance 13
In Search of Maximum Pressure: Trump Administration's Policy Towards North Korea / Sue Mi Terry 14
The Future of the ROK-US Alliance under Trump's Leadership / George A. Hutchinson 23
Abstract 23
Introduction 23
The Evolution of Donald Trump's Korea Policies 24
Moon's Positions 27
Conclusion 35
Major Issues and Tasks Regarding ROK-U.S. Alliance Under New Governments / 신범철 ; 전경주 44
Introduction 44
Why Different? 44
New Leaderships in Both Countries 45
Five Major Challenges to the ROK-U.S. Alliance 46
Concluding Remarks 51
Panel II. US-China Relations and Korean Peninsula under Trump's Leadership 52
US-China Relations under ROK New Leadership / 추재우 53
Trump's Confusion on Taiwan? 53
The Prospective Trump China Policy 54
Trump: A Novice Diplomat 55
China's Possible Policy Reaction 56
Trump's Strike Rhetoric on North Korea Will Remain Rhetoric 57
Why China Won't Be Bluffed 58
Then Kushner Comes into Play 59
Disastrous First US-China Summit 60
Why Disastrous? Evidence of No coordination Whatsoever 61
Slapstick Comedy Featuring New Korean President to Continue for Sino-Korean Relations 63
Concluding Remarks 64
중국의 對한반도정책 이슈와 과제 / 박병광 66
I. 서론 66
II. 중국의 對한반도정책에 대한 이해 67
III. 한·중관계의 안보쟁점과 중국의 입장 70
IV. 한-중관계 쟁점으로서의 사드문제 74
V. 결론 : 한·중관계 관리를 위한 한국의 대응방향 80
China's Enforcement of U.N. Resolutions on North Korea / Gordon G. Chang 83
Abstract 83
Chinese Support for North Korean Provocations 85
China's Leverage Over North Korea 89
Chinese Intentions Regarding North Korea 91
China and South Korea 94
Conclusion 95
Panel III. Human Rights Issue in NK and Prospect on NK's Changing Attitude 101
NORTH KOREA'S "THE OTHER THREAT": THE CONTINUING HUMAN RIGHTS ATROCITIES / 이정훈 102
The Current State of North Korean Human Rights: Is There a Way Forward? / Greg Scarlatoiu 124
Re-stating the Obvious: The Need to "Get It Right" in North Korea 124
Tackling North Korean Human Rights: Still Daunting, but No Longer sisyphean Task 127
The Prospects for U.S.-DPRK Relations and U.S.-ROK Coordination on the North Korean Policy / 박종철 135
I. Introduction 135
II. Prospects for U.S.-DPRK Relations 136
III. Direction of the U.S.-ROK Policy Coordination on the North Korean Policy 140
IV. Conclusion 148
Bibliography 150
Panel IV. North Korea's unclear program: How advanced is it? 153
ROK's Strategic Approach to North Korean Nuclear and Ballistic Missiles Development / 박민형 154
Introduction 154
North Korea's Nuclear Capability and Intentions 155
Establishment of the ROK's Goal 159
ROK's Strategic Options and Policy Direction 160
Conclusion 163
ROK responses after nK unclear tests 165
NK's Nuclear Threat to the Trump Presidency / Troy Stangarone 168
How is the Threat Changing on the Korean Peninsula? 168
North Korea's Second, Second Strike Capability 170
The Complication of THAAD 171
The Trump and Moon Administrations and the Potential for Policy Misalignment 172
The Challenges of Resolving the North Korea Issue 173
Conclusion 175
North Korea's SLBM Threat and ROK-US Counter Strategy / 김덕기 178
I. Introduction 178
II. Status and Threat Assessment of North Korea's SLBM Development 179
III. North Korea's SLBM Threat and ROK-US Counter Strategy 186
IV. Conclusion 195
References 197
Participants 199