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The estuary reservoir is a major source of agricultural water in Korea; for effective and sustainable water resource management of the estuary reservoir,it is crucial to comprehensively consider various water resource factors, including water supply, flood, and pollutant management, and analyze future runoff changes in consideration of environmental changes such as climate change. The objective of this study is to estimate the impact of future climate change on the runoff characteristics of an estuary reservoir watershed. Climate data on future Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios were derived from two Global Climate Models (GCMs) of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). The Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF) was used to simulate past and future long-term runoff of the Ganwol estuary reservoir watershed. The findings showed that as the impact of climate change intensified, the average annual runoff in the future period was higher in the order of SSP5, SSP3, SSP1, and SSP2, and the ratio of runoff in July decreased while the ratio of runoff in October increased. Moreover, in terms of river flow regime, the SSP2 scenario was found to be the most advantageous and the SSP3 scenario was the most disadvantageous. The findings of this study can be used as basic data for developing sustainable water resource management plans and can be applied to estuary reservoir models to predict future environmental changes in estuary reservoirs

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기사명 저자명 페이지 원문 목차
휴대용 정적 콘 관입시험을 통한 저수지 제방 토양의 다짐, 강도 특성 및 사면 안정성 예측 = Prediction of compaction, strength characteristics for reservoir soil using portable static cone penetration test 전지훈, 손영환, 김태진, 조상범, 정승주, 허준, 봉태호, 김동근 p. 1-11

수리시설물 및 농경지 가뭄대응능력 중심의 농업가뭄 취약성 평가 = Assessment of agricultural drought vulnerability focus on drought response capability in irrigation facilities and paddy fields : 태안 지역을 중심으로 문영식, 남원호, 하태현, 조영준 p. 13-24

SSP 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 간월호 유역의 미래 유출특성 변화 = Future runoff characteristics of ganwol estuary reservoir watershed based on SSP scenarios 김시내, 강문성, 김동희, 김석현, 황순호 p. 25-35

현장조사 관개 기준에 따른 농업용 저수지 운영 분석 = Agricultural reservoir operation analysis according to surveyed irrigation guideline 김마가, 최진용, 방재홍, 윤푸른, 김귀훈 p. 37-49

농업용 수로부의 수위 보정을 위한 필터기법별 적용성 분석 = Analysis of applicability by filter technique for water level correction of agricultural canal 주동혁, 나라, 김하영, 최규훈, 윤형창, 박상빈, 유승환 p. 51-68

상세 공간단위 농업분야 온실가스 배출량 산정 방안 연구 = Estimating GHG emissions from agriculture at detailed spatial-scale in geographical unit 김솔희, 전혜진, 최지연, 서일환, 전정배, 김태곤 p. 69-80

평야부 관개시스템 수리해석모형 AIRISS 개발 = Development of a numerical model AIRISS for simulation of the agriculture irrigation process 조경일, 이승준, 안현욱 p. 81-91

참고문헌 (23건) : 자료제공( 네이버학술정보 )

참고문헌 목록에 대한 테이블로 번호, 참고문헌, 국회도서관 소장유무로 구성되어 있습니다.
번호 참고문헌 국회도서관 소장유무
1 Ahn, J. M., K. Y. Jung, G. Kim, K. Kwon, D. S. Yang, and D. Shin, 2017. Impact of climate change on runoff analysis in the Geum river basin. Journal of Environmental Science International 26(5): 549-561. doi: 10.5322/JESI. 2017.26.5.549 미소장
2 Bicknell B. R., J. C. Imhoff, J. L. Kittle, A. S. Donigian, and R. C. Johanson, 1996. Hydrological simulation program – fortran (HSPF): user’s manual release 11. US Environmental Protection Agency: Athens, GA. 미소장
3 Chim, K., J. Tunnicliffe, A. Y. Shamseldin, and H. Bun, 2021. Assessment of land use and climate change effects on hydrology in the upper Siem Reap River and Angkor Temple Complex, Cambodia. Environmental Development 39: 100615. doi: 10.1016/j.envdev.2021.100615. 미소장
4 Cho, J. P., 2013. Climate change impacts on agricultural reservoirs with consideration of uncertainty. Research Report 2013-05. APEC Climate Center (in Korean). 미소장
5 Cho, H. K. and S. M. Kim, 2019. Estimation of the Hapcheon dam inflow using HSPF model. Journal of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers 61(5): 69-77. (in Korean). doi: 10.5389/KSAE.2019.61.5.069. 미소장
6 Do, Y. S. and G. S. Kim, 2018. Analysis of the change of dam inflow and evapotranspiration in the Soyanggang dam basin according to the AR5 climate change scenarios. Journal of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers 60(1): 89-99. (in Korean). doi: 10.5389/KSAE.2018.60.1.089. 미소장
7 Edmondson, W. T., G. C. Anderson, and D. R. Peterson, 1956. Artificial eutrophication of lake Washington 1. Limnology and Oceanography 1(1): 47-53. doi: 10.4319/lo. 1956.1.1.0047. 미소장
8 Ge, F., S. Zhu, H. Luo, X. Zhi, and H. Wang, 2021. Future changes in precipitation extremes over Southeast Asia:insights from CMIP6 multi-model ensemble. Environmental Research Letters 16(2): 024013. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd7ad. 미소장
9 Hwang, S., 2020. Dynamic resilience assessment for water quality management of estuarine reservoir using SWAT-EFDC model. Ph.D. diss., Seoul National University. (in Korean). 미소장
10 Im, J., D. Lee, M. Park, J. Park, and S. Park, 2017. Analysis of the change in design flood due to climate variation. Journal of Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation 17(6): 81-85. (in Korean). doi: 10.9798/KOSHAM.2017. 17.6.81. 미소장
11 IPCC, 2021. Climate change 2021: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the sixth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press. 미소장
12 Kim, C. G., J. H. Park, and J. P. Cho, 2018. Future climate change impact assessment of Chungju dam inflow considering selection of GCMs and downscaling technique. Journal of Climate Change Research 9(1): 47-58. (in Korean). doi: 10.15531/KSCCR.2018.9.1.47. 미소장
13 Kim, J. H., J. H. Kwak, S. H. Hwang, S. M. Jun, S. H. Lee, J. N. Lee, and M. S. Kang, 2021. Analysis of flood control capacity of agricultural reservoir based on SSP climate change scenario. Journal of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers 63(5): 49-62. (in Korean). doi:10.5389/KSAE.2021.63.5.049. 미소장
14 Kim, J. H., Y. H. Song, and E. S. Chung, 2023a. Uncertainty of future runoff projection according to SSP scenarios and hydrologic model parameters. Journal of Korea Water Resource Association 56(1): 35-43. (in Korean). doi: 10.3741/JKWRA.2023.56.1.35. 미소장
15 Kim, S., S. Kim, S. Hwang, S. M. Jun, J. H. Song, and M. S. Kang, 2021. Estimation of crop water requirement changes due to future land use and climate changes in lake Ganwol watershed. Journal of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers 63(6): 61-75. (in Korean). doi:10.5389/KSAE.2021.63.6.061. 미소장
16 Kim, S., S. Kim, S. Hwang, H. Lee, J. Kwak, J. H. Song, and M. S. Kang, 2023b. Impact assessment of water-level management on water quality in an estuary reservoir using a watershed-reservoir linkage model. Agricultural Water Management 280(2023): 108234. 미소장
17 Lee, S. J., K. H. Kim, C. Y. Lee, and G. H. Lee, 2012. A study on the development of GIS based water quality simulation system using HSPF in basin of Yeong-san river. Journal of Wetlands Research 14(14): 645-656. (in Korean). 미소장
18 Moriasi, D. N., M. W. Gitau, N. Pai, and P. Daggupati, 2015. Hydrologic and water quality models: Performance measures and evaluation criteria. Transactions of the ASABE 58(6): 1763-1785. doi: 10.13031/trans.58.10715. 미소장
19 Park, T. S., 2021. Improved method of the conventional flow duration curve by using daily mode discharges. Journal of Korea Water Resource Association 54(6):355-363. (in Korean). doi: 10.3741/JKWRA.2021.54.6.355. 미소장
20 Song, Y. H., E. S. Chung, and S. Shahid, 2021. Spatiotemporal differences and uncertainties in projections of precipitation and temperature in South Korea from CMIP6 and CMIP5 general circulation models. International Journal of Climatology 41(13): 5899-5919. doi: 10.1002/joc.7159. 미소장
21 Song, Y. H., E. S. Chung, and S. Shavid, 2022. Differences in extremes and uncertainties in future runoff simulations using SWAT and LSTM for SSP scenarios. Science of The Total Environment 838(3): 156162. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv. 2022.156162. 미소장
22 Um, M. C., 2004. A Study on the spatial contaminant emission structure of estuary freshwater Basin. Journal of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers 46(3): 31-37. (in Korean). 미소장
23 Yang, 2007. Water balance change of watershed by climate change. Journal of the Korean Geographical Society 42(3):405-420. (in Korean). 미소장

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