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List of figures=vii
List of tables=viii
List of contributors=x
Abbreviations=xii
Foreword=xv
1. Introduction/Barry Eichengreen;Duck-Koo Chung=1
2. The Korean economy before and after the crisis/Un-Chan Chung=25
3. What caused the crisis? A post mortem/Won-Am Park;Gongpil Choi=48
COMMENT on Chapters 2 and 3/Ronald I. McKinnon=69
4. US policy toward the crisis/Young-Kwan Yoon=72
COMMENT on Chapter 4/Justin Yifu Lin=87
5. The monetary policy response to the crisis/Dongchul Cho=89
6. The fiscal policy response to the crisis/Joosung Jun=113
7. Social impact of the crisis/Joung-Woo Lee=137
COMMENT on Chapters 5, 6 and 7/Eduardo Borensztein=159
COMMENT on Chapters 5, 6 and 7/Gordon de Brouwer=164
8. Financial restructuring/Joon-Ho Hahm=172
9. Corporate restructuring/Sung Wook Joh=194
10. Changes in the labor markets and industrial relations/Young-Ki Choi;Dae Il Kim=218
COMMENT on Chapters 8, 9 and 10/Stijn Claessens=239
COMMENT on Chapters 8, 9 and 10/Mitsuhiro Fukao=245
11. Transparency and social capital/Jaeyeol Yee=248
12. Social realignment, coalition change and political transformation/Hyun-Chin Lim;Joon Han=267
COMMENT on Chapters 11 and 12/Dwight Perkins=286
13. Recurrence of financial crises:cross-country patterns and implications for Korea/Kiseok Hong;Jong-Wha Lee;Changyong Rhee=290
14. Reform and the risk of recurrence of crisis/In June Kim;Baekin Cha;Chi-Young Song=317
COMMENT on Chapters 13 and 14/Masahiro Kawai=338
References=344
Index=369
Figures
2.1. Macroeconomic indicators=29
3.1. Exchange market pressure index=60
3.2. Composite index=63
3.3. Conditional probability of crises=64
5.1. Exchange rate and call rate=90
5.2. Determinants of exchange rates and interest rates=93
5.3. Impulse responses from VARs using daily data=99
5.4. Variance decomposition of interest rates and exchange rates=100
5.5. Variables for calibration=104
5.6. Calibration results=106
6.1. Balance of the consolidated central government budget in Korea=116
8.1. The transition in corporate financing patterns=174
8.2. The transition in commercial bank portfolio structure=179
8.3. Indicators of the transition toward a market-based financial system=182
8.4. Pre-provision profit, provisioning and net profit of commercial banks=185
9.1. Accounting performance and capital structure before the crisis=198
9.2. Accounting performance and capital structure after the crisis=200
10.1. Job gains, job losses and net job gains during the crisis=225
10.2. Changes in employment type by firm size, 1997-2000=228
10.3. Percentage changes in wages, by decile, 1997-99=230
10.4. Wage growth vs union share, 1998-99=231
11.1. International comparison based on social typology=254
11.2. Corruption index, selected countries, 1995-2001=262
12.1. Trends in Gini coefficient and ratio of high-and low-income quintile=274
Tables
2.1. Growth factors, Europe and Japan vs Asia=31
2.2. Latent insolvency among firms subject to external audits=38
2.3. Proportion of manufacturing firms with earnings/interest ratios below unity=39
2.4. Changes in internal ownership of the 30 largest chaebols=41
2.5. Trends in nonperforming loans=43
3.1. Major economic indicators=51
3.2. Nonperforming loans at financial institutions=53
3.3. Financial indicators for 30 largest chaebols=55
3.4. Manufacturing sector statistics=56
3.5. Signals and crises=61
3.6. Performance of indicators=62
3.7. Within-and out-of-sample performance of the indicator model=65
3.8. Estimates of probit model=66
5.1. Summary of previous empirical research=95
6.1. Consolidated central government budget=118
6.2. Medium-term fiscal plan, consolidated central government=119
6.3. Divergences between planned and actual budgets=121
6.4. Government debt and debt guarantees=126
6.5. Interest payments and primary balance=127
6.6. Fiscal burden of restructuring=130
6.7. Liabilities of public pensions, 1998=132
7.1. Characteristics of sample households=139
7.2. Gini coefficients, all households=140
7.3. Size of middle class=142
7.4. Wage gaps before and after the crisis=144
7.5. Wealth inequality according to the existing literature=148
7.6. Inequality of wealth distribution=149
7.7. Distribution of land ownership=151
7.8. Net worth holdings by decile=153
7.9. Indices of social disorder=156
C.1. Autocorrelation and bias in revenue and expenditure forecast errors=168
8.1. Structure of corporate finance=177
8.2. Consolidation and performance of the commercial banking industry=184
9.1. Determinants of profitability of Korean firms=197
9.2. Output ratios by plant turnover status when size is measured by employees, assets and capital equipment, 1990-98=207
9.3. Review of special auditing, Daewoo-affiliated firms=208
9.4. Performance of the manufacturing sector, 1990-2000=210
9.5. Large chaebols under insolvency procedures=211
9.6. International comparison of creditor rights=214
10.1. Distribution of employment=227
10.2. Employment in sectors with strong unions=229
10.3. Indicators of union activity=232
11.1. Relational elements of the social system=249
11.2. Typology of social systems=251
11.3. Correlation of characteristics of social systems=254
12.1. Regional background of Cabinet ministers and vice-ministers, 1963-2000=272
12.2. Class structure in terms of income=274
12.3. Unionization and labor disputes=277
12.4. Votes by region, three presidential elections=280
13.1. Recurrence of crises by country=291
13.2. Macroeconomic variables during the crisis period=295
13.3. Conditional vs unconditional probabilities of crises=299
13.4. Probit estimates=301
13.5. Determinants of recurrence=304
13.6. Principal macroeconomic indicators=307
13.7. External balance=308
13.8. External, financial and corporate sector indicators=310
14.1. Selected indicators for commercial banks=321
14.2. Selected indicators of top 30 chaebols=327
14.3. Selected indicators for commercial banks=328
14.4. Profitability of manufacturing sector=329
14.5. Selected macroeconomic indicators=330
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