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Contents
I. Introduction 7
1. Raising questions regarding the sustainability of the North Korean regime 7
2. Methodology and framework of analysis 10
II. The evaluation of the North Korean socialist system's crisis level by indicators 15
1. Evaluation in terms of ideology 15
2. Evaluation of the elite 42
3. The assessment in terms of the economic sphere 59
4. Assessment of government control 73
5. The assessment on foreign relation area 98
III. Assessment and prospects for the durability of the North Korean socialist system 109
1. General assessment 109
Table I-1. Indicators and measuring items 8
Table I-2. Refugees' social and economic background 10
Table II-1. Observance of Kim Il Sung ideology in every day life 15
Table II-2. Observance of collectivism 18
Table II-3. Recognition on the inheritance of power from Kim Il Sung to Kim Jong Il 21
Table II-4. Recognition on Son's inheritance of power from Kim Il Sung to Kim Jong Il 22
Table II-5. The quality of Kim Jong Il leadership 25
Table II-6. Comparison of South Korean system and North Korean system 27
Table II-7. The hope on the future 30
Table II-8. Fair compensation on the labor 33
Table II-9. Pride on the principle of independence 36
Table II-10. Contribution of independence principles 39
Table II-11. Pride on the roles and positions of government officials 42
Table II-12. The corruption degree of government officials 44
Table II-13. Conflicts between elite 47
Table II-14. Interests conflict between common offices and authority offices 49
Table II-15. The existence of cronyism 51
Table II-16. Conveyance of superior authorities' instruction 54
Table II-17. Irregular application of the lower branches 56
Table II-18. The occupancy of unofficial area in North Korean economy 59
Table II-19. Valuation on dietary life 61
Table II-20. Necessities and habitation circumstances 64
Table II-21. Economic indicators of North Korea 68
Table II-22. North Korea's dependence on South Korea-China-Japan 71
Table II-23. The change of South and North Korean economic cooperation by commercial transaction 72
Table II-24. Regulation of people by public security office 73
Table II-25. Illegal behavior regulation of public security office 75
Table II-26. Travel frequency 78
Table II-27. Entrance status of refugees (May 2006) 80
Table II-28. Expression of dissatisfaction in daily life 81
Table II-29. The existence possibility of critical power 84
Table II-30. Existence of criticizing act against the upper class in North Korean 86
Table II-31. Existence of capitalism culture 89
Table II-32. Existence of religious activity 91
Table II-33. Existence of shamanistic custom 93
Table II-34. Existence of cronyism such as regionalism and classmates 96
Table II-35. Knowledge on South Korean circumstance 98
Table II-36. Knowledge on China's change 101
Table II-37. Knowledge on capitalist countries 103
Table III-1. The crisis level of each item 109
Table III-2. The factors of Kim Jong Il regime sustenance 111
Table III-3. Sustenance period of Kim Jong Il regime 112
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