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Title page
Contents
ABSTRACT 2
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS 6
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 8
1. THE CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK 10
1.1. The four modes of supplying services at international level 10
1.2. The impact on financial firms and services before and after the UK's exit 11
1.2.1. Foreign subsidiaries of financial firms within the EU 11
1.2.2. Branches of foreign financial firms and the freedom to provide services 12
1.3. Financial service providers affected by the future EU-UK relationship 13
1.3.1. The UK position within the international financial architecture 13
1.3.2. The current position of the UK and the Bank of England (BoE) 13
1.3.3. An assessment 15
2. FUTURE EU-UK RELATIONSHIP CONCEPTS AND THEIR IMPACT ON FINANCIAL FIRMS 17
2.1. Third country regime: application of the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) 18
2.1.1. Scope of application: main provisions of GATS on financial services 19
2.1.2. The general obligation 19
2.1.3. The specific commitments 19
2.2. Bilateral trade agreements 20
2.2.1. Commitments pertaining to the financial system 21
2.2.2. Prudential 'carve-outs' 21
2.3. Membership of the European Economic Area (EEA) 22
2.3.1. Right of establishment 22
2.3.2. Provision of services 22
2.3.3. Membership of the EFTA but not of the EEA-the case of Switzerland 23
2.4. The impact on financial firms under the alternative concepts 23
2.4.1. Application of the GATS 23
2.4.2. Bilateral agreements 26
2.4.3. EEA Membership 26
3. REGULATORY ASPECTS FOR BANKS AND IMPACT ON PAYMENT SYSTEMS AND MARKET INFRASTRUCTURES IN THE WTO SCENARIO 28
3.1. The impact on the regulatory framework governing credit institutions 28
3.1.1. Micro-prudential supervision of branches of foreign credit institutions 28
3.1.2. Reorganisation and winding-up 29
3.1.3. Resolution 30
3.1.4. Participation in deposit guarantee schemes 31
3.2. Impact on payment systems and market infrastructures 31
3.2.1. The EU large-value payment system 'TARGET2' 31
3.2.2. The Single Euro Payments Area (SEPA) 32
3.2.3. Financial infrastructures for clearing and reporting transactions 32
4. THE IMPACT ON THE MONETARY AND FINANCIAL EU INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK 34
4.1. European System of Central Banks (ESCB)-European Central Bank (ECB) 34
4.1.1. Impact on the ECB capital 35
4.1.2. The ECB's capital and capital subscription 35
4.1.3. Payment of the subscribed capital by non-euro area national central banks 35
4.1.4. Arrangements in view of the UK's exit from the EU 36
4.1.5. Impact on decision-making within the General Council of the ECB 36
4.2. The European System of Financial Supervision 37
4.2.1. Impact on the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) 38
4.2.2. The European Supervisory Authorities (ESAs) 38
4.2.3. The four 'Comitology Committees' in the financial system 40
4.2.4. The Banking Union 41
4.3. The European Investment Bank 42
5. CONCLUSIONS 43
REFERENCES 44
ANNEX: Main categories of regulated financial firms and categories of trading venues under EU financial law 47
Table 1. UK membership in international standard-setting bodies 16
Table 2. Matrix of possible Brexit options-soft or hard Brexit 27
Table 3. The impact of alternative concepts for the future EU-UK relationship regarding UK financial firms 33
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