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22대 대한민국 국회 국회정보길라잡이 국회의원검색
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국회도서관 홈으로 정보검색 소장정보 검색
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Title page 1

Contents 1

SUMMARY 1

1. INTRODUCTION 2

2. THE ROLE OF THE ELECTRICITY SYSTEM IN ACHIEVING NET ZERO IN ALBERTA 4

3. ALBERTA'S CHANGING ELECTRICITY LANDSCAPE 7

4. THE CLEAN ELECTRICITY REGULATIONS AND ALBERTA 13

5. REVIEWING EXISTING MODELLING IN ALBERTA 15

6. NEW MODELLING OF THE DRAFT CLEAN ELECTRICITY REGULATIONS IN ALBERTA 19

7. POLICY UNCERTAINTY AND THE ROAD AHEAD IN ALBERTA 27

REFERENCES 29

Figures 4

Figure 1. Alberta's 2021 greenhouse gas emissions profile (Alberta Environment and Protected Areas, 2024) 4

Figure 2. Alberta greenhouse gas emissions compared to 2008 forecast (Alberta Environment and Protected Areas, 2024) 5

Figure 3. Alberta wholesale electricity prices (January 2014-January 2024) 7

Figure 4. Electricity supply (left) and consumption (right) in Alberta 9

Figure 5. Wind and solar cumulative installed capacity in Alberta 10

Figure 6. Market prices are lowered during periods of high wind energy generation in Alberta 12

Figure 7. AESO modelled electricity related carbon emissions (behind the fence emissions are estimated) 16

Figure 8. Net-zero scenario modelling published by the Pembina Institute prior to the Clean Electricity Regulations 17

Figure 9. Alberta electricity generation towards economy-wide net zero emissions by 2050 21

Figure 10. AESO generation forecast comparing initially proposed Clean Electricity Regulations (left) and a net-zero pathway by 2050 (right) 22

Figure 11. AESO high electrification scenario modelled in 2024 23

Figure 12. Recent annual electric generating capacity in the USA (left) and globally (right) 23

Figure 13. California gas-fired electricity generation in April 2024 24

Figure 14. Electricity demand growth in high-electrification scenarios modelled by Navius 26

Boxes 6

BOX 1. History of coal phase out in Alberta 6

BOX 2. AESO 2023 Year In Review 11

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