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대표형(전거형, Authority) | 생물정보 | 이형(異形, Variant) | 소속 | 직위 | 직업 | 활동분야 | 주기 | 서지 | |
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Title page 1
Contents 1
Abstract 3
1. Introduction 4
2. Linked survey-administrative data 7
2.1. Firm-level survey of technology adoption 7
2.2. Administrative employment and short-time work data 12
2.3. Descriptive statistics and representativeness 12
3. Hypotheses and empirical strategy 13
3.1. Hypotheses about the pandemic and technological progress 13
3.2. Empirical strategy 15
4. Evidence on the crisis push hypothesis 16
4.1. The incidence and impact of frontier investments before, during, and due to the pandemic 16
4.2. By how much did pandemic investments increase frontier technology shares? 17
4.3. Quantifying the overall effecct of the pandemic 20
5. Evidence on the crisis shift hypothesis 21
5.1. Classifying frontier technologies by application 21
5.2. Shifts between technology applications 22
5.3. Technology shifts and firm-level employment 23
6. Conclusion 24
References 25
Appendices for online publication 39
A. Appendix figures and tables 39
B. Data 51
C. Firm-level exposure and investment patterns 60
D. A potential outcomes framework for investments due to the Covid-19 pandemic 61
Tables 33
Table 1. Characterizing firms' work equipment by technology levels 33
Table 2. Descriptive statistics 34
Table 3. Characteristics of frontier technology investments 35
Table 4. Changes in frontier technology shares by investment characteristics-office & communication equipment 36
Table 5. Actual versus counterfactual change in frontier technology share-office & communication equipment 37
Table 6. Investment decisions and employment 38
Figures 31
Figure 1. Annualized investment rates in frontier technology before and during Covid-19 31
Figure 2. Investments in office equipment by application 32
Appendix Tables 41
Table A1. Descriptive statistics (by characteristics of main investment in office & communication equipment) 41
Table A2. Decomposition of changes in frontier technology shares by characteristics of main investment 42
Table A3. Decomposition of changes in frontier technology shares by characteristics of main investment-employment-weighted 43
Table A4. Changes in frontier technology shares by investment characteristics-office & communication equipment, weighted by employment 44
Table A5. Changes in frontier technology shares by investment characteristics-production equipment 45
Table A6. Actual versus counterfactual change in frontier technology share-production equipment 46
Table A7. Applications of due-to investments and employment 47
Table A8. Firm-level Covid exposure and investments in office & communication equipment 48
Table A9. Firm-level Covid exposure and investments in office & communication equipment (employment weights) 49
Table A10. Firm-level Covid exposure and investments in production equipment 50
Table B1. Response rates 52
Table B2. Characteristics of the entire German firm population and the surveyed firms 54
Table B3. Examples of technology descriptions extracted from ChatGPT 58
Table B4. Evaluation of the classifier's performance on the test set 59
Table B5. Most frequent words by technology application 59
Appendix figures 39
Figure A1. Frontier technology shares over time 39
Figure A2. Investments in office & communication equipment by application-due-to investors only 40
Figure B1. Distribution of interview dates 53
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