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정보검색

소장정보 검색

국회도서관 홈으로 정보검색 소장정보 검색
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Title page 1

Contents 1

Abstract 3

1. Introduction 4

2. Background and Prior Literature 7

3. Data 10

4. Estimation Method 12

4.1. Estimating Baseline Effect of Temperature on Mortality Across Groups 12

4.2. Adjusting for Correlated Factors 13

5. Results 14

5.1. Occupations and Temperature-Related Mortality 14

5.2. Interaction of Age and Occupation 18

5.3. Total Deaths Attributable to Temperature 21

5.4. Mechanisms 24

6. Discussion: Implications for Climate Change Sensitivity and Adaptation 25

6.1. Structural Change 25

6.2. Adaptation Policy 27

7. Conclusion 27

References 31

Online Appendix 36

A. Regulatory framework for the protection of Mexican workers to temperature changes 37

B. Additional Data Information 38

C. Additional Results 40

D. Coarsened Exact Matching 49

E. Sensitivity Analysis on Occupational Classifications 50

Figures 15

Figure 1. Mortality-temperature exposure response by occupation 15

Figure 2. Distribution of Mexican residents and deaths by occupation and age 18

Figure 3. Relative risk of temperature-related mortality: primary sector versus other occupations by age 19

Figure 4. Comparison of mortality-temperature exposure response for primary workers aged 15-24 versus 45-54 20

Figure 5. Comparison of mortality-temperature exposure response for workers aged 15-24 in primary versus professional/managerial sectors 21

Figure 6. Annual temperature-related deaths within age and occupation groups 22

Figure 7. Annual heat-related deaths within age and occupation groups 23

Figure 8. Occupation shares in Mexico 26

Appendix Tables 38

Table A1. Worker Classification 38

Table A2. Share of Mortality Records: Sociodemographic Characteristics by Labor Groups 39

Table A3. Occupational Flexibility Measures by Age Group and Occupation Type 45

Table A4. Annual Historical Cold-Related and Heat-Related Deaths in Mexico by Manual vs Non-Manual Occupation 52

Appendix Figures 39

Figure A1. Distribution of temperature exposures by occupation group 39

Figure A2. Mortality-wet-bulb temperature relationship by occupation classification 40

Figure A3. Mortality-temperature relationship by age 41

Figure A4. Mortality-wet-bulb temperature relationship by age 42

Figure A5. Mortality-temperature exposure response functions by age and occupation 43

Figure A6. Results from coarsened exact matching exercise 44

Figure A7. Mortality-temperature relationship by job classification, model estimated with and without nine air pollutants (data spanning 2003-2023) 46

Figure A8. Distribution of Mexican residents by age 47

Figure A9. Annual temperature-related deaths within age and occupation groups 48

Figure A10/Figure A12. Historical temperature-related deaths in Mexico 51

Figure A11/Figure A10. Relationships between mortality risk and exposure to wet-bulb temperature by occupation in Mexico 54

Figure A12/Figure A11. Relationships between mortality risk and exposure to dry-bulb temperature by occupation in Mexico 55

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