Title Page
Contents
ABSTRACT 7
I. Introduction 9
1.1. Background 9
1.2. Purpose of the Study and Research Questions 11
II. Conceptual Framework on Resource Weaponization 14
2.1. Historical Examples of Resource Weaponization 14
2.2. Energy Weaponization Model 17
2.2.1. The Energy Weapon Model (1) 17
2.2.2. The Rules of Six 20
2.3. Stages of Energy Weaponization 23
2.4. Russia's Status as Energy Weaponizer 25
III. Russia and Ukraine Energy Relationship 28
3.1. Natural Gas Infrastructure 28
3.2. Russia's Energy Status 32
3.2.1. Russia as an Energy Power 32
3.2.2 Russia's Energy Policy 35
3.3. Ukraine's Gas Status 38
3.3.1. Gas Production and Consumption in Ukraine 38
3.3.2. Natural Gas Import and Dependency of Ukraine 42
3.3.3. High Dependence on Natural Gas 44
IV. Russia's Execution of Resource Weaponization 46
4.1. Regional Conflicts 46
4.1.1. Geo-political Factors 46
4.1.2. Economic Factors 49
4.2. Tactic Development and Negotiation 53
4.3.2. Assessment on Energy Weapon Model 53
4.2.2. Manipulation of the Price 56
4.2.3. Control over Transit 56
4.2.4. Use of Public Relations 59
4.3. Resolutions and Assessment 60
4.3.1. The Revised Contract of 2009 60
4.3.2. Assessment on the Energy Weapon Model 62
V. Conclusion 65
References 68
ABSTRACT IN KOREAN(국문초록) 73
Table 1. Amount of Gas Supplied and Transited via Ukraine 55
Figure 1. The Energy Weapon Model 19
Figure 2. Energy Weapon Stages 24
Figure 3. Criteria for Successful Energy Weapon 24
Figure 4. Russia's Pipeline to Europe 31
Figure 5. Russian Oil Production and Consumption 1985-2009 33
Figure 6. Russian Urals Oil Price 1989-2009 33
Figure 7. Russian Gross Exports Sales, 2013 34
Figure 8. Ukraine Gas Production, 1940-2011 39
Figure 9. Ukraine Gas Consumption, 1990-2010 39
Figure 10. TPES in Ukraine by Fuel, 1990-2012 41
Figure 11. Gas Consumption and the Share of Import in Ukraine 43
Figure 12. World Crude Oil Price and Associated Events, 1970-2014 43
Figure 13. New Suggested Pipeline Projects in Europe 58