표제지
목차
Abstract 10
제1장 서론 12
제2장 유가 추이 및 해양플랜트 산업의 현황 15
2.1. 유가의 추이 16
2.1.1. 제1차 석유파동 16
2.1.2. 제2차 석유파동 18
2.1.3. 제1, 2차 석유파동 시 유가 급등 비교 19
2.1.4. 고유가 시대 추이 22
2.1.5. 저유가 시대 추이 25
2.2. 해양플랜트 산업의 현황 34
2.2.1. 해양플랜트 산업의 가치사슬(Value chain) 분석 34
2.2.2. 국내 해양플랜트 산업의 가치사슬 역량 37
2.2.3. 국내 조선 3사 해양플랜트 영업실적 추이 40
2.2.4. 해양플랜트 산업 동향 및 발주 전망 43
제3장 해양플랜트 서비스산업의 현황 48
3.1. 해양플랜트 서비스산업 개념 49
3.2. 해양플랜트 운영사업 50
3.2.1. 해양숙박선 운영기업 사례 분석 51
3.2.2. 해양플랜트 수리기업 사례 분석 54
3.3. 해양플랜트 운송사업 55
3.3.1. 해양플랜트 운송방식 56
3.3.2. 해양플랜트 운송시장 동향 57
3.3.3. 선도 기업의 사례 분석 59
3.3.4. 해양플랜트 운송사업의 강점과 단점 62
3.4. 해양플랜트 설치사업 63
3.4.1. 해양플랜트 설치용 선박 종류 64
3.4.2. 선도 기업의 사례 분석 67
3.5. 해양플랜트 해체사업 70
3.5.1. 해양플랜트 해체장비 72
3.5.2. 지역별 해체시장 동향 73
3.5.3. 선도 기업의 사례 분석 79
3.6. 해양플랜트 부대사업 82
3.6.1. OSV 선박의 종류 83
3.6.2. 해양플랜트 생애주기별 OSV 선종 86
제4장 유가와 해양플랜트 서비스 선박 상관관계 고찰 87
4.1. 자료 준비 및 분석 87
4.2. 분석결과 및 고찰 92
제5장 결론 103
참고문헌 106
부록 110
Table 2.1. Domestic and overseas economic indicators before and after the first oil shock 17
Table 2.2. Domestic and overseas economic indicators before and after the second oil shock 19
Table 2.3. Comparison of primary and secondary oil shock-1 20
Table 2.4. Comparison of primary and secondary oil shock-2 21
Table 2.5. Major projects's investment postpone 27
Table 2.6. Oil price movements factors 33
Table 2.7. Offshore plant value chain 36
Table 2.8. Offshore plant detail domestic technology level by technology sector 38
Table 2.9. Capacity by phase of offshore plant value chain by country 39
Table 2.10. Sales related indicators of three shipbuilders 41
Table 2.11. Reduce development costs by project 44
Table 2.12. Forecast of offshore facility orders 46
Table 2.13. Price forecast of offshore facility orders 47
Table 3.1. Proportion of added value in offshore plant industry 50
Table 3.2. Prosafe corporation revenue status 52
Table 3.3. Major specifications of OHT 4 carrier 61
Table 3.4. Status of ship for installation of offshore plant(2010) 64
Table 3.5. Ship status for subsea pipeline installation(2009) 65
Table 3.6. Status of equipment installed HHI 66
Table 3.7. McDermott's business performance 67
Table 3.8. Employees and equipment status of main establishment business 67
Table 3.9. Dismantling of Gulf of Mexico offshore plant(1973~2014c) 73
Table 3.10. Ocean plant dismantlement market in Gulf of Mexico 74
Table 3.11. AF group offshore division financial performance by year 82
Table 4.1. Continuous data for excel 88
Table 4.2. Model summary 92
Table 4.3. Anova table 93
Table 4.4. Coefficient estimation 95
Table 4.5. Analysis result 100
Table 5.1. Oil price data 110
Table 5.2. Global offshore service industry bottoms and backlog status 112
Table 5.3. Global offshore service industry order status 114
Table 5.4. Global offshore service industry delivery status 115
Table 5.5. Global offshore OSV newbuilding index 116
Fig. 2.1. International oil prices changes in the 1970s 20
Fig. 2.2. Changes in crude oil prices 23
Fig. 2.3. Domestic economic far-reaching paths of oil prices raises 24
Fig. 2.4. 30 years cycle of oil price 25
Fig. 2.5. Change in international oil prices 26
Fig. 2.6. Demand and supply changes of crude oil 28
Fig. 2.7. OPEC crude oil production 29
Fig. 2.8. Supply and demand market principle 30
Fig. 2.9. Relationship between international oil prices and global economic growth 31
Fig. 2.10. Cycle logic of Michael Porter 32
Fig. 2.11. Life cycle of offshore plant 34
Fig. 2.12. Capacity of domestic industry in stages of offshore plant business 37
Fig. 2.13. Operating profit margin of three shipbuilders 40
Fig. 2.14. Comparison with three shipbuilders and global peers(EPC) 42
Fig. 2.15. Quantity that can be developed by oil price 43
Fig. 2.16. Brent oil price forecast by institution 45
Fig. 3.1. Range of offshore plant service industry 49
Fig. 3.2. The appearance and resources of Doosungho 51
Fig. 3.3. Prosafe company accommodation vessel facilities 52
Fig. 3.4. The appearance of safe scandinavia 53
Fig. 3.5. Connect offshore accommodations and workshops to telescopic gangway 53
Fig. 3.6. View of Las Palmas port in Spain 54
Fig. 3.7. Market segmentation by ocean plant loading and unloading method 57
Fig. 3.8. Top 10 heavy goods transport market in the world 58
Fig. 3.9. FO-FO vessel status by company 59
Fig. 3.10. Representative FO-FO ship pictures and specifications 60
Fig. 3.11. The appearance of OHT four major shipping vessels 61
Fig. 3.12. Offshore plant and pipeline installation scene 63
Fig. 3.13. Appearance of jacket installed in mariner block 68
Fig. 3.14. Top-side installation of chevron at alder block 68
Fig. 3.15. DLV 2000 of McDermott 69
Fig. 3.16. Decommissioning Process 71
Fig. 3.17. Equipment required for de-commissioning business 72
Fig. 3.18. Gulf of Mexico offshore plant market trend 74
Fig. 3.19. UK dismantlement cost forecast change 75
Fig. 3.20. UK production discontinuance(COP) wells numerical forecast 76
Fig. 3.21. Demolition market forecast in the North Sea region 77
Fig. 3.22. Red hawk spar demolition scene 79
Fig. 3.23. Dismantling project of AF offshore Decom 80
Fig. 3.24. Dismantling workshop of AF group 81
Fig. 3.25. Types of OSV 85
Fig. 3.26. Type of OSV ship by offshore plant life cycle 86
Fig. 4.1. SALT program data upload 89
Fig. 4.2. SALT program linear regression analysis result report 90
Fig. 4.3. SALT program correlation analysis result report 91
Fig. 4.4. Global offshore construction platforms bottoms correlation analysis result 99
Fig. 5.1. Global offshore construction platforms bottoms linear regression analysis result 118
Fig. 5.2. Global offshore construction platforms bottoms correlation analysis result 118
Fig. 5.3. Global offshore anchor handling tugs supply bottoms linear regression analysis 120
Fig. 5.4. Global offshore anchor handling tugs supply bottoms correlation analysis result 120
Fig. 5.5. Global offshore PSV supply bottoms linear regression analysis result 122
Fig. 5.6. Global offshore PSV supply bottoms correlation analysis result 122
Fig. 5.7. Global offshore rescue and salvage bottoms linear regression analysis 124
Fig. 5.8. Global offshore rescue and salvage bottoms correlation analysis result 124
Fig. 5.9. Global offshore utility support bottoms linear regression analysis result 126
Fig. 5.10. Global offshore utility support bottoms correlation analysis result 126
Fig. 5.11. Global offshore construction order status linear regression analysis 128
Fig. 5.12. Global offshore construction order status correlation analysis result 128
Fig. 5.13. Global offshore OSV order status linear regression analysis result 130
Fig. 5.14. Global offshore OSV order status correlation analysis result 130
Fig. 5.15. Global offshore construction delivery status linear regression analysis 132
Fig. 5.16. Global offshore construction delivery status correlation analysis result 132
Fig. 5.17. Global offshore OSV delivery status linear regression analysis result 134
Fig. 5.18. Global offshore OSV delivery status correlation analysis result 134
Fig. 5.19. Global offshore OSV newbuilding index linear regression analysis result 136
Fig. 5.20. Global offshore OSV newbuilding index correlation analysis result 136