표제지
목차
ABSTRACT 11
제1장 서론 14
제1절 연구배경 및 목적 14
제2절 연구내용 및 범위 16
제2장 이론적 고찰 18
제1절 국내·외 미세먼지 관리 수송부문 정책 18
1. 국내 미세먼지 계절관리제 및 비상저감조치 시행 18
2. 국내 녹색교통진흥특별대책지역 20
3. 국외 사례 22
제2절 자동차 배출가스 등급제 25
제3절 대기질 모델링 시스템 29
1. 기상 모델(Weather Research and Forecasting; WRF) 29
2. 배출량 처리 모델(Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emission; SMOKE) 31
3. 대기질 모델(Community Multi-scale Air Quality Model; CMAQ) 33
제3장 연구방법 35
제1절 모델링 시나리오 선정 35
제2절 시나리오별 배출량 산정방법 38
1. 자동차 배출가스 등급별 운행제한 배출량 (Scenario I, II) 38
2. 차량 2부제 배출량 (Scenario III) 43
제3절 대기질 모델링 구동 44
1. 모델링 수행 기간 선정 44
2. 모델링 도메인 및 도메인의 수평·수직 해상도 설정 45
3. 모델별 수행조건 48
4. 모델별 수행평가 52
제4장 연구결과 54
제1절 시나리오별 배출량 결과 54
1. 자동차 배출가스 등급별 운행 배출률 (Scenario I, II) 54
2. 차량 2부제 시행 전·후 배출 저감률 (Scenario III) 56
3. 시나리오별 녹색교통지역 대기오염물질 배출 저감률 58
제2절 모델별 수행평가 결과 분석 61
1. 기상 모델 정합도 평가 결과 61
2. 대기질 모델 정합도 평가 결과 64
제3절 시나리오별 모델링 결과 분석 69
1. 대표 분석지점 격자설정 69
2. Base 시나리오에 따른 대기모사 71
3. 시나리오에 따른 대기질 개선 효과 분석 73
제5장 결론 90
참고문헌 92
국문초록 95
〈Table 2-1〉 Vehicle grading criteria for vehicle types (light, small, medium) Vehicle type: Passenger cars (light, small, medium), Trucks (small, medium) 26
〈Table 2-2〉 Vehicle grading criteria for vehicle types (large, extra large) Vehicle type: Passenger cars (large, extra large), Trucks (large, extra large) 27
〈Table 3-1〉 Air quality modeling scenarios 36
〈Table 3-2〉 Distribution of registered vehicles by grades & areas 40
〈Table 3-3〉 Distribution of registered vehicles by grades & fuel types 41
〈Table 3-4〉 The estimated Korea emissions of air pollutants by grades 41
〈Table 3-5〉 Domain information : WRF 46
〈Table 3-6〉 Domain information : SMOKE & CMAQ 47
〈Table 3-7〉 WRF modeling options and details 49
〈Table 3-8〉 SMOKE & CMAQ modeling options and details 51
〈Table 3-9〉 Statistics for modeling performance analysis 53
〈Table 4-1〉 Air pollutant emission rates by grades & fuel types 55
〈Table 4-2〉 The Distribution of vehicle registration numbers by grades 55
〈Table 4-3〉 Emission reduction rate of the Vehicle Two-days Rotation System 56
〈Table 4-4〉 Mobile source and Resuspended road dust based on 2019 CAPSS data 57
〈Table 4-5〉 Emission reduction rates for representative analysis areas 59
〈Table 4-6〉 Statistic of WRF model results at the Seoul Weather Station 62
〈Table 4-7〉 Statistic of CMAQ results at the Seoul Station 66
〈Table 4-8〉 Representative analysis areas & Stations 70
〈Table 4-9〉 Monthly mean PM₂.₅ and number of exceed standard days according to Base scenario 72
〈Table 4-10〉 Monthly reduction of PM₂.₅ according to the Scenario I~III in representative analysis areas 77
〈Table 4-11〉 Monthly reduction of CO according to the Scenario I~III in representative analysis areas 81
〈Table 4-12〉 Monthly reduction of NO₂ according to the Scenario I~III in representative analysis areas 85
〈Table 4-13〉 Monthly reduction of NO₂ & O₃ & VOCs according to the Scenario I~III in representative analysis areas 88
〈Figure 2-1〉 Seoul's Green Transportation Zone 21
〈Figure 2-2〉 WRF modeling system flow chart 30
〈Figure 2-3〉 Flow diagram for SMOKE emissions processing 32
〈Figure 2-4〉 Flow diagram for CMAQ modeling system 34
〈Figure 3-1〉 Cleaner Seoul 2030 36
〈Figure 4-1〉 Emission reduction rate of the Vehicle Two-days Rotation System 57
〈Figure 4-2〉 Scatters of hourly (a) TEMP2, (b) WSPD10 at the Seoul Weather Station 63
〈Figure 4-3〉 Time series of (a) TEMP2, (b) WSPD10 at the Seoul Weather Station 63
〈Figure 4-4〉 Scatters of daily mean (a) PM₂.₅, (b) NO₂, (c) CO, (d) O₃ at the Seoul Station 67
〈Figure 4-5〉 Time series of daily mean (a) PM₂.₅, (b) NO₂, (c) CO, (d) O₃ at the Seoul Station 68
〈Figure 4-6〉 Representative analysis areas 69
〈Figure 4-7〉 Monthly mean PM₂.₅ concentration by gird according to the Base scenario (a) Seoul Metropolitan Area (b) Seoul 71
〈Figure 4-8〉 Daily mean PM₂.₅ concentration in Representative analysis areas according to the Base scenario 72
〈Figure 4-9〉 Monthly average improvement of PM₂.₅ by scenario (a) Scenario I, (b) Scenario II, (c) Scenario III 75
〈Figure 4-10〉 Daily average improvement of PM₂.₅ by scenario in representative analysis areas... 76
〈Figure 4-11〉 Monthly average improvement of CO by scenario (a) Scenario I, (b) Scenario II, (c) Scenario III 79
〈Figure 4-12〉 Daily average improvement of CO by scenario in representative analysis areas... 80
〈Figure 4-13〉 Monthly average improvement of NO₂ by scenario (a) Scenario I, (b) Scenario II, (c) Scenario III 83
〈Figure 4-14〉 Daily average improvement of NO₂ by scenario in representative analysis areas... 84
〈Figure 4-15〉 Monthly average improvement of NO₂ (a, b, c) & O₃ (d, e, f) by scenario (a,d) Scenario I, (b, e) Scenario II, (c, f) Scenario III 87
〈Figure 4-16〉 Monthly average improvement of NO₂ & O₃ & VOCs by scenario in representative analysis areas 88