Title page
Contents
Summary 4
01. Introduction 6
02. A splintered world 9
Britain's circles of influence 9
Stuck with Europe 10
A diminished special relationship 11
End of a golden era? 12
The new ideological divide 13
Multilateralism at bay 14
03. Britain's relative position 16
A strong starting point 16
The economic challenge 21
Slipping, but still in the top tier 24
An ambivalent public 27
04. Global goals 32
Human rights and democracy 32
Peace and security 34
Climate change 35
Global health 37
A more transparent global economy 37
Defending cyberspace 39
Next steps 40
05. Partners, counterparts and rivals 41
The EU 41
The US 43
China 44
Emphasis on the Asia-Pacific 46
The difficult four: India, Russia, Turkey and Saudi Arabia 47
Widening the 'aperture' of the UK's foreign relations 52
06. Institutions 54
Contributing and connecting 54
Britain as a global broker 57
07. Resourcing a new foreign policy 61
08. Conclusion 66
About the author 69
Acknowledgments 70
Table 1. Top countries by defence / ODA spending and diplomatic reach 18
Table 2. The world's largest economies, 2019 and 2030 21
Table 3. GDP and population in 2030 25
Table 4. Projected international spending in 2030 26
Table 5. The UK's G20 partners and rivals on its global goals 52
Figure 1. The UK's soft power compared to other countries 20
Figure 2. Net FDI inflows, 2011-19 23