IntroductionPart I Change over TimeChapter 1 Introducing Difference EquationsChapter 2 Duckweed on a Pond: Exponential GrowthChapter 3 Throwing Shade I: Logistic GrowthChapter 4 Throwing Shade II: Lotka-Volterra CompetitionChapter 5 Rabies Removal: SIR ModelsPart II Understanding UncertaintyChapter 6 Introducing ProbabilityChapter 7 A Bird in the Cam I: Single-Variable ProbabilityChapter 8 A Bird in the Cam II: Two-Variable ProbabilityChapter 9 Picking Ticks: Bayes's RuleChapter 10 Rabbit Rates: Probability DistributionsPart III Modeling Multiple StatesChapter 11 Introducing Matrix ModelsChapter 12 Imagine All the Beetles: Age-Structured ModelsChapter 13 The Road to Succession: Transition MatricesChapter 14 A Pair of Populations: AbsorptionChapter 15 Fish Finders: DiffusionPart IV Explaining DataChapter 16 Introducing StatisticsChapter 17 Seedling Counts I: Maximum LikelihoodChapter 18 Seedling Counts II: Model SelectionChapter 19 Flattened Frogs I: Generalized Linear ModelsChapter 20 Flattened Frogs II: Hypothesis TestingPart V Expanding the ToolboxChapter 21 Other TechniquesChapter 22 Bird Islands: Graphical ThinkingChapter 23 Max Plant Institute: OptimizationChapter 24 Bears with Me: Stochastic SimulationChapter 25 Natives in the Neighborhood: Cellular AutomataReferencesIndex