Title
Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 5
GLOSSARY OF ACRONYMS 9
CHAPTER ONE: ANNUAL UPDATE 11
CHINA'S CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES IN 2010 11
DEVELOPMENTS IN CHINA'S NATIONAL SECURITY LEADERSHIP 11
DEVELOPMENTS IN THE SECURITY SITUATION IN THE TAIWAN STRAIT 12
DEVELOPMENTS IN THE SIZE, LOCATION, AND CAPABILITIES OF PRC MILITARY FORCES 12
DEVELOPMENTS IN CHINA'S SPACE AND CYBER CAPABILITIES 15
DEVELOPMENTS IN CHINA'S DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY ACQUISITION 16
CHALLENGES TO TAIWAN'S DETERRENT FORCES 17
CHINA'S FOREIGN MILITARY ENGAGEMENT 17
CHAPTER TWO: UNDERSTANDING CHINA'S STRATEGY 19
OVERVIEW 19
UNDERSTANDING CHINESE STRATEGY 19
CHINA'S STRATEGIC PRIORITIES 23
THE NEW HISTORIC MISSIONS 26
DEBATES ON FUTURE STRATEGY 27
CHINA'S MILITARY STRATEGY 32
SECRECY AND DECEPTION 35
CHAPTER THREE: FORCE MODERNIZATION GOALS AND TRENDS 37
OVERVIEW 37
ANTI-ACCESS/AREA DENIAL CAPABILITY DEVELOPMENTS 38
BALLISTIC MISSILE DEFENSE 42
EXTENDED OPERATIONAL REACH 42
STRATEGIC CAPABILITIES 43
POWER PROJECTION BEYOND TAIWAN 47
CHAPTER FOUR: RESOURCES FOR FORCE MODERNIZATION 51
OVERVIEW 51
MILITARY EXPENDITURE TRENDS 51
CHINA'S ADVANCING DEFENSE INDUSTRIES 51
TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 55
CHAPTER FIVE: FORCE MODERNIZATION AND SECURITY IN THE TAIWAN STRAIT 57
OVERVIEW 57
BEIJING'S TAIWAN STRATEGY 58
BEIJING'S COURSES OF ACTION AGAINST TAIWAN 59
CHAPTER SIX: U.S.-CHINA MILITARY-TO-MILITARY CONTACTS 63
OVERVIEW 63
MILITARY RELATIONS IN 2010 63
U.S. STRATEGY FOR MILITARY ENGAGEMENT 64
OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES IN U.S.-CHINA MILITARY-TO-MILITARY RELATIONS 65
SPECIAL TOPIC: CHINA'S EVOLVING MARITIME STRATEGY 67
THE RISE OF CHINA'S MARITIME SECURITY INTERESTS 67
THE EVOLUTION IN "MARITIME CONSCIOUSNESS" 67
EVOLVING NAVAL STRATEGY 67
NEW SECURITY INTERESTS DRIVING REQUIREMENTS 68
NEW "FIRSTS" FOR THE PLA NAVY 69
CHINA'S MARITIME INTERESTS 69
SEA LANE PROTECTION 71
GREAT POWER STATUS 71
SEA-BASED NUCLEAR FORCES 72
OVERCOMING KEY CHALLENGES 72
ASSESSING THE FUTURE 72
SPECIAL TOPIC: CHINA'S MILITARY ENGAGEMENT 75
TRADITIONAL MILITARY DIPLOMACY 75
COMBINED EXERCISES 75
PEACEKEEPING OPERATIONS 76
HUMANITARIAN ASSISTANCE/DISASTER RELIEF 77
ARMS SALES 77
CONCLUSION 79
APPENDIX Ⅰ: CHINA AND TAIWAN FORCES DATA 81
APPENDIX Ⅱ: MILITARY-TO-MILITARY EXCHANGES 89