Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 6
CHAPTER ONE: ASSESSMENT OF THE SECURITY SITUATION 8
KEY DEVELOPMENTS IN NORTH KOREAN AND PENINSULAR SECURITY 8
NORTH KOREAN SECURITY PERCEPTIONS 8
CHAPTER TWO: UNDERSTANDING NORTH KOREA'S STRATEGY 10
STRATEGIC GOALS 10
NATIONAL STRATEGY 10
REGIONAL OBJECTIVES AND REGIONAL BEHAVIOR 11
CHAPTER THREE: FORCE MODERNIZATION GOALS AND TRENDS 12
OVERVIEW 12
MAINTAINING THE THREAT 12
AN AGING FORCE... 13
...WITH EMERGING CAPABILITIES 13
CHAPTER FOUR: PROLIFERATION 21
OVERVIEW 21
CONVENTIONAL ARMS AND MISSILE SALES 21
NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION 21
NORTH KOREA'S WMD PROGRAMS 21
INTERDICTED TRANSFERS 22
CHAPTER 5: SIZE, LOCATION, AND CAPABILITIES OF NORTH KOREAN MILITARY FORCES 23