Title page
Contents
Price Outlook 2
Noncitrus Fruit Outlook 5
Citrus Fruit Outlook 16
Tree Nuts Outlook 29
Special Article 35
Taste for Tropical Fruit: Rising Imports Support Growing Per Capita Availability for Bananas, Mangoes, and Pineapples 35
Weather and Seasonal Production Influence Organic Premiums for Fresh California Sweet Cherries 42
Table 1. Monthly fruit prices recelved by growers, United States 3
Table 2. Monthly retail prices for selected fruit, 2022-2023 4
Table 3. Citrus: Utilized production, 2020/21 to 2022/23 17
Table 4. Fresh lemon grower prices on tree equivalent 23
Figure 1. Index of prices received by growers for fruit and tree nuts 2
Figure 2. Washington apple production forecast up in 2023 5
Figure 3. U.S. fresh apple export volume below 5-year averaqe in 2022/23 6
Figure 4. U.S. pear production by State, 2016-2023 7
Figure 5. Table grape shipments shift seasonallv from California to imports 8
Figure 6. Cabernet Sauvignon overtakes Chardonnay as the top variety in the 2022 California grape crusgh 9
Figure 7. U.S. peach production falls in 2023 10
Figure 8. U.S. cranberry production to decrease in 2023 11
Figure 9. U.S sweet cherries: production in top 3 States 1 rebounds in 2023 13
Figure 10. MichiQan leads tart cherry production in 2023 14
Figure 11. U.S. apricot production trends lower as share of processed utilization declines, 1981-2023 15
Figure 12. Total citrus production is down in 2022/23 with a record share going to the fresh market 16
Figure 13. Production value of U.S. citrus industry further declines in 2022/23 18
Figure 14. Orange shipments are up in 2022/23 and wholesale prices are down 19
Figure 15. Grapefruit wholesale prices are down slightly in 2022/23 21
Figure 16. A third of U.S. lemons went to processing in 2022/23 22
Figure 17. With increased domestic availability lemon prices begin to fall in January 24
Figure 18. Tangerines shipments are up by weight during peak season in 2022/23 25
Figure 19. Almond acreage has increased steadily since the turn of the century, yields have fluctuated 30
Figure 20. Nominal almond prices cracked in 2014, causing inflation adjusted prices to reach historic lows 31
Figure 21. Inflation-adjusted walnut prices peaked in 2013, before falling in recent years 32
Figure 22. Hazelnut acreage has increased even more quickly than walnut or almond acreage over the last decade 33
Figure 23. Real nut prices reached historic heights in 2013 and 2014, before being shaken from the tree 34
Special Article Tables
Taste for Tropical Fruit: Rising Imports Support Growing Per Capita Availability for Bananas, Mangoes, and Pineapples 36
Table SA1. U.S. tropical fruit imports and per capita availability 36
Weather and Seasonal Production Influence Organic Premiums for Fresh California Sweet Cherries 43
Table 1. Differences in organic premia of fresh sweet cherries in California grocery stores during the California season, 2011-2017 43
Special Article Figures
Taste for Tropical Fruit: Rising Imports Support Growing Per Capita Availability for Bananas, Mangoes, and Pineapples 37
Figure SA1. Banana per capita availability high but relatively flat compared to mangoes and pineapples 37
Figure SA2. Guatemala takes the lead on fresh banana imDorts to the United States 38
Figure SA3. Imports and per capita availability for fresh mangoes skyrocket since 1990 39
Figure SA4. Record high fresh pineapple imports and per capita availability for 2022 40
Weather and Seasonal Production Influence Organic Premiums for Fresh California Sweet Cherries 44
Figure 1. Weekly fresh sweet cherry prices at California grocery stores, 2013-2015 44
Figure 2. Monthly fresh sweet cherry prices at California grocery stores, 2007-2018 45
Figure 3. Weekly premium of fresh organic sweet cherries in California grocery stores, 2013-2015 46