Title page
Contents
Acknowledgements 3
Foreword: A Vexing Year Ahead for China 5
About the Authors 7
China's Economy Will Continue to Struggle 8
Xi's Prioritization of Security Will Continue to Weigh on Growth 10
Eroding Trust Could Further Undermine Conf idence in Governance and Development 12
Economic Slowdown Will Drive Public Discontent 14
Purges in the Provinces as Local Liabilities Rise 16
Xi Will Adopt a More Oracular Leadership Style 18
China Will Accelerate Climate Resilience as a Security Priority 20
China Will Act to Reestablish its International Climate Leadership 22
China Will Accelerate Its Pivot to the Global South 24
Two Elections Will Challenge Chinese Foreign Policy 26