Title page
Contents
Abstract 1
Introduction 1
Violent Extremism Risk Assessment - Version 2 Revised 2
Project methodology 5
Results 6
Conclusion 16
Acknowledgements 17
References 17
Table 1. VERA-2R domains and indicators 3
Table 2. ICC values for beliefs, attitudes and ideology VERA-2R indicators 7
Table 3. ICC values for social context and intention VERA-2R indicators 8
Table 4. ICC values for history, action and capacity VERA-2R indicators 8
Table 5. ICC values for commitment and motivation VERA-2R indicators 9
Table 6. Major risk VERA-2R indicators association with violent and non-violent extremists 13
Figure 1. Distribution of indicators across low, moderate and high risk ratings for beliefs, attitudes and ideology VERA-2R domain 10
Figure 2. Distribution of indicators across low, moderate and high risk ratings for social context and intention VERA-2R domain 10
Figure 3. Distribution of indicators across low, moderate and high risk ratings for history, action and capacity VERA-2R domain 11
Figure 4. Distribution of indicators across low, moderate and high risk ratings for commitment and motivation VERA-2R domain 11
Figure 5. Prevalence of additional indicators 12
Figure 6. Area under the curve analysis for VERA-2R risk ratings (low vs high) 16