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목차
1. Introduction 13
2. Experimental Setup 15
2.1. Motion Platform 15
2.2. Model Tank 18
2.3. Data Acquisition System & Pressure Gauge 19
3. Experiment 22
4. Peak Detection Scheme 24
5. Probabilistic Analysis 26
5.1. Probability Density Function 26
5.1.1. 2-parameter Log-normal 28
5.1.2. 3-parameter Log-normal 31
5.1.3. 2-parameter Weibull 33
5.1.4. 3-Parameter Weibull 36
5.1.5. Generalized Pareto 40
5.2. χ² test 42
5.3. Verification of Results 44
6. Conclusion 78
참고문헌 80
Abstract 82
Fig. 2.1. 6-DOF Sloshing Motion Platform 15
Fig. 2.2. Model Tank 18
Fig. 2.3. Calibration Graph for Pressure Sensor... 21
Fig. 3.1. Schematic Diagram of Experimental System 23
Fig. 4.1. Peak Detection Flowchart 24
Fig. 4.2. Schematic for Pressure Peak Detection Procedure 25
Fig. 5.1. Location Parameter Dependancy 27
Fig. 5.2. Scale Parameter Dependancy 27
Fig. 5.3. Shape Parameter Dependancy 27
Fig. 5.4. Shape of Weight Function 32
Fig. 5.5. Goodness-of-fit 42
Fig. 5.6. Normalized Probability Exceedence 46
Fig. 5.7. Normalized Probability Exceedence 52
Fig. 5.8. Normalized Probability Exceedence... 53
Fig. 5.9. Normalized Probability Exceedence... 53
Fig. 5.10. Normalized Probability Exceedence... 54
Fig. 5.11. Zoom up of Fig. 5.10 54
Fig. 5.12. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 56
Fig. 5.13. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 56
Fig. 5.14. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 56
Fig. 5.15. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 56
Fig. 5.16. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 56
Fig. 5.17. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 56
Fig. 5.18. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 57
Fig. 5.19. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 57
Fig. 5.20. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 57
Fig. 5.21. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 57
Fig. 5.22. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 57
Fig. 5.23. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 57
Fig. 5.24. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 58
Fig. 5.25. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 58
Fig. 5.26. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 58
Fig. 5.27. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 58
Fig. 5.28. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 58
Fig. 5.29. 2-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 58
Fig. 5.30. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 59
Fig. 5.31. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 59
Fig. 5.32. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 59
Fig. 5.33. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 59
Fig. 5.34. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 59
Fig. 5.35. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.005) 59
Fig. 5.36. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 60
Fig. 5.37. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 60
Fig. 5.38. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 60
Fig. 5.39. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 60
Fig. 5.40. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 60
Fig. 5.41. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.01) 60
Fig. 5.42. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 61
Fig. 5.43. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 61
Fig. 5.44. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 61
Fig. 5.45. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 61
Fig. 5.46. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 61
Fig. 5.47. 3-Parameter Log-normal (Threshold Value : 0.02) 61
Fig. 5.48. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.005) 62
Fig. 5.49. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.005) 62
Fig. 5.50. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.005) 62
Fig. 5.51. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.005) 62
Fig. 5.52. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.005) 62
Fig. 5.53. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.005) 62
Fig. 5.54. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.01) 63
Fig. 5.55. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.01) 63
Fig. 5.56. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.01) 63
Fig. 5.57. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.01) 63
Fig. 5.58. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.01) 63
Fig. 5.59. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.01) 63
Fig. 5.60. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.02) 64
Fig. 5.61. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.02) 64
Fig. 5.62. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.02) 64
Fig. 5.63. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.02) 64
Fig. 5.64. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.02) 64
Fig. 5.65. 2-Parameter Weibull (Threshold Value : 0.02) 64
Fig. 5.66. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 65
Fig. 5.67. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 65
Fig. 5.68. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 65
Fig. 5.69. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 65
Fig. 5.70. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 65
Fig. 5.71. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 65
Fig. 5.72. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 66
Fig. 5.73. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 66
Fig. 5.74. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 66
Fig. 5.75. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 66
Fig. 5.76. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 66
Fig. 5.77. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 66
Fig. 5.78. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 67
Fig. 5.79. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 67
Fig. 5.80. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 67
Fig. 5.81. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 67
Fig. 5.82. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 67
Fig. 5.83. 3-Parameter Weibull with Maximum Likelihood Estimation... 67
Fig. 5.84. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 68
Fig. 5.85. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 68
Fig. 5.86. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 68
Fig. 5.87. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 68
Fig. 5.88. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 68
Fig. 5.89. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 68
Fig. 5.90. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 69
Fig. 5.91. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 69
Fig. 5.92. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 69
Fig. 5.93. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 69
Fig. 5.94. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 69
Fig. 5.95. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 69
Fig. 5.96. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 70
Fig. 5.97. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 70
Fig. 5.98. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 70
Fig. 5.99. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 70
Fig. 5.100. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 70
Fig. 5.101. 3-Parameter Weibull with Method of Moment... 70
Fig. 5.102. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.005) 71
Fig. 5.103. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.005) 71
Fig. 5.104. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.005) 71
Fig. 5.105. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.005) 71
Fig. 5.106. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.005) 71
Fig. 5.107. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.005) 71
Fig. 5.108. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.01) 72
Fig. 5.109. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.01) 72
Fig. 5.110. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.01) 72
Fig. 5.111. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.01) 72
Fig. 5.112. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.01) 72
Fig. 5.113. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.01) 72
Fig. 5.114. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.02) 73
Fig. 5.115. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.02) 73
Fig. 5.116. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.02) 73
Fig. 5.117. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.02) 73
Fig. 5.118. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.02) 73
Fig. 5.119. Generalized Pareto (Threshold Value : 0.02) 73
This paper presents the stochastic approach on the impact pressure acted on the LNGC tank model tank wall. The experiments were done with 6 degree of freedom motion platform. The purpose of the experiment is to establish the design procedure of estimation of impact pressure on the LNGC tank whose capacity is larger than 138,000㎥. The tank models tested were No. 2 tank of LNGC which are larger than 138,000㎥ tank. The experiments can be classified into screening test and critical test. For both of the test cases the ship motion reflects the critical real sea simulation. The sampling frequency used was 20 kHz and 27 pressure gauges were used. As a result the total data acquired are equivalent to 30 Giga bytes for the critical test. The analysis of this tremendous amount of data can be done only by stochastic analysis. The final output we need is the maximum impact pressure equivalent to real scale 3 hour return period.
This can be done by estimating an exceedence probability function. The exceedence probability function can be derived from the probability density function. The choice of the right probability density functions is a very important issue. There are many kinds of probability density functions. Five probability density functions are studied in this study. They are two parameter Log-normal distribution, three parameter Log-normal distribution, two parameter Weibull distribution, three parameter Wei bull distribution, and Generalized Pareto distribution. When it comes to the three parameter Wei bull distribution, two approaches are studied to estimate the parameters. This leads to 6 different ways of analysis. The results showed that 3 parameter Wei bull distribution whose parameters are calculated by moment method was turned out to be the most efficient one. The next one was the Generalized Pareto. Rest of the methods are believed to yield large errors when they are compared with the experimental data.
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