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Title Page

PREFACE / HAROLD F. GOSNELL

Contents

CHAPTER I. STRAW BALLOTS VERSUS REAL BALLOTS 10

CHAPTER II. THE NATION AND THE STATES 15

States Which Parallel National Trends 22

States With Greater Swing 22

States With Less Swing 24

States With No Relation to National Trends 26

Religion as a Factor 26

General Observations 27

CHAPTER III. INDUSTRIAL POLITICS : PENNSYLVANIA 30

Economic Conditions and Pennsylvania Politics 33

The Influence of Social Conditions on Voting Behavior 42

Party Tradition and Party Discipline, 1924-1940 44

Composite View 46

CHAPTER IV. PROGRESSIVE POLITICS : WISCONSIN 47

CHAPTER V. FARM BELT POLITICS : IOWA 67

CHAPTER VI. UTOPIAS IN CALIFORNIA 84

Economic Influences on Voting 86

Rural-Urban Influences 87

San Francisco and Los Angeles 89

Political Factors 93

California as a Whole 99

CHAPTER VII. RURAL-URBAN CONFLICT : ILLINOIS 100

Economic Influences 106

Social Influences 110

Party Tradition, Organization, and Discipline 111

General View of Illinois Politics 113

CHAPTER VIII. LONG'S LOUISIANA 115

The Rise of Huey Long 124

CHAPTER IX. THE FUTURE OF THE PARTY SYSTEM 136

APPENDIX 148

APPENDIX I. METHODS OF STUDYING POLITICAL BEHAVIOR 148

APPENDIX II. TABLES 156

I. PENNSYLVANIA ELECTION RETURNS AND DEMOCRATIC PERCENTAGES, 1924-1940 156

II. SELECTED SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC VARIABLES FOR PENNSYLVANIA 157

III. VARIABLES RELATED TO VOTING BEHAVIOR IN PENNSYLVANIA, 1924-1940, CORRELATION MATRIX 157

IV. WISCONSIN ELECTION RETURNS : NUMBERS AND PERCENTAGES, 1924-1940 158

V. SELECTED SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC VARIABLES FOR WISCONSIN 159

VI. CORRELATION MATRIX VOTING BEHAVIOR IN WISCONSIN, 1924-1940 160

VII. VARIABLES USED IN STUDY OF VOTING BEHAVIOR IN IOWA, 1924-1940 160

VIII. SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC VARIABLES USED IN STUDY OF VOTING BEHAVIOR IN IOWA, 1924-1940 161

IX. VARIABLES RELATING TO VOTING BEHAVIOR IN IOWA, 1924-1940 161

X. CORRELATION MATRIX, CALIFORNIA ELECTIONS, 1924-1940(57 counties, omitting Alpine) 162

XI. CALIFORNIA ELECTION RETURNS AND DEMOCRATIC PERCENTAGES 162

XII. POLITICAL VARIABLES : ILLINOIS COOK COUNTY AND DOWNSTATE 165

XIII. INTERCORRELATIONS OF VARIABLES RELATING TO VOTING BEHAVIOR IN ILLINOIS, 1924-1938(101 Downstate Counties) 167

XIV. LOUISIANA PRIMARY ELECTION RETURNS AND PRO-LONG CANDIDATES PERCENTAGES, 1924-1940 167

APPENDIX III. REFERENCES 168

INDEX 196

[Back Cover] 205

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