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Preface=xi

Acknowledgements=xv

Introduction=1

1. An Overview=3

The Nature of The Keynesian Revolution=3

Formal Models in Economics=4

IS-LM=6

An Outline of This Book=12

The Lessons of the Studies=23

Part I. The Wicksellians=27

2. The Austrian Theory of the Trade Cycle=27

Wicksellian Origins=27

Austrian Economics=31

Credit, Inter-temporal Allocation, and the Cycle=34

Rising Inflation and the Boom=42

Policy Pessimism=46

Austrian Analysis and IS-LM=49

3. The Macrodynamics of the Stockholm School=51

Methodological Preconceptions=51

The Stockholm School on the Natural Rate of Interest=53

The Role of Expectations=57

Substantive Analysis=62

Stabilization Policy=67

The Distinctive Characteristics of Swedish Analysis=74

Part II. The Marshallian Tradition in Britain=79

4. Cambridge Cycle Theory: Lavington, Pigou, and Robertson=79

Marshallian Foundations=79

Pigou and Lavington on the Cycle=83

Robertson's Cycle Theory=90

Stabilization Policy=99

Concluding Comment=104

5. The Monetary Element in the Cambridge Tradition=105

The Monetary System and the Cycle=105

Keynes as a Quantity Theorist: A Tract on -Monetary Reform=106

Hawtrey's Monetary Theory of the Cycle=112

Hawtrey on Stabilization Policy=121

Concluding Comment=128

6. The Treatise on Money and Related Contributions=130

The Aim of the Treatise=130

Keynes's Version of Monetary Equilibrium=135

The Cycle in the Treatise=142

Stabilization Policy=145

The Central Vision of the Treatise=150

Keynes's Scepticism about the Efficacy of Market Mechanisms=153

7. British Discussions of Unemployment=155

Beveridge and Pigou on Unemployment before World War I=155

Unemployment in the 1920s=158

Pigou's Theory of Unemployment=162

Underconsumptionism in Britain=169

The Employment Multiplier=172

Concluding Comments=177

Part III . American Analysis of Money and the Cycle=181

8. American Macroeconomics between World War I and the Depression=181

The Economic Background=181

The Quantity Theory and the Cycle=183

The Banking School Element in American Monetary Economics=188

Advocates of Stabilization Policy=195

Mitchell and Hansen on the Cycle=199

Underconsumptionism in America=206

Concluding Comment=211

9. American Macroeconomics in the Early 1930s=213

The Great Contraction=213

Pessimism in the Wake of the Contraction=213

Paul Douglas and Underconsumptionism=222

The Quantity Theory in the 1930s=228

100 Per Cent Money and Monetary-Policy Rules=239

Concluding Comments=242

Part IV. Keynes, the Classics, and IS-LM=247

10. The General Theory=247

The Nature of the Book=247

The Theory of Employment=247

Expectations and the Determinants of Effective Demand=250

The Role of the Rate of Interest=256

Wage Flexibility=259

The Rate of Interest and Chronic Unemployment=263

The Price Level and the Cycle=267

Concluding Comments=274

11. The Classics and Mr. Keynes=277

Initial Reactions=277

The Theory of Employment=278

The Rate of Interest=281

Statics and Dynamics=287

Keynes's Responses=295

Conclusion=301

12. IS-LM=303

IS-LM in Post-World War II Macroeconomics=303

IS-LM and the General Theory=303

The Classical Version of IS-LM=309

The Interest Sensitivity of the Demand for Money=313

Hicks's Extensions of the Basic Model=316

A Summing Up=318

Conclusion=323

13. Selective Synthesis=323

IS-LM, Economic Policy, and Economic Theory=323

The Wicksell Connection and the Quantity Theory=325

Dynamic Analysis and IS-LM=335

Microeconomic Foundations=339

References=341

Author Index=367

Subject Index=372

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