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9 Introduction

21 Chapter 1 Japan's post-war security trajectory and policy system

The Yoshida doctrine 21

Japan's security policy-making system: leaning

towards immobilism 31

41 Chapter 2 Japan's shifting security trajectory and policy system

Japan's security environment: global, regional,

alliance and domestic crises 41

Japan's new security policy debate: towards a

'normal' state? 49

Japan's newly proactive policy-making system 60

67 Chapter 3 Japan's national security policy and capabilities

National Defence Programme Outline revision 67

National emergency legislation 71

Japan's military hardware: pursuing power

projection capabilities 75

Challenging post-war security taboos and

constitutional restraints 87

97 Chapter 4 Forging a strengthened US-Japan alliance

Rescliing the alliance 97

Revision of the Japan-US Guidelines for Defence

Cooperation 98

Okinawa, US bases and force realignments 105

Ballistic Missile Defence 1°7

117 Chapter 5 Japan, regional cooperation, multilateral security and the 'war on terror'

Bilateral regional security dialogue 118

Anti-piracy cooperation 119

Multilateral security dialogue and exercises 121

Japan and UN PKO 125

Japan and the 'war on terror' in Afghanistan and Iraq 126

139 Conclusion

Japan locks itself into the US-Japan alliance 139

Japan and the regional security order:

reinforcing US Izegemony 145

149 Notes

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Is Japan re-emerging as a normal, or even a great, military power in regional and global security affairs? This Adelphi Paper assesses the overall trajectory of Japan’s security policy over the last decade, and the impact of a changing Japanese military posture on the stability of East Asia.

The paper examines Japan’s evolving security debate, set against the background of a shifting international environment and domestic policymaking system; the status of Japan’s national military capabilities and constitutional prohibitions; post-Cold War developments in the US Japan alliance; and Japan’s role in multilateral regional security dialogue, UN PKO, and US-led coalitions of the willing. It concludes that Japan is undoubtedly moving along the trajectory of becoming a more assertive military power, and that this trend has been accelerated post-9/11. Japan is unlikely, though, to channel its military power through greatly different frameworks than at present. Japan will opt for the enhanced, and probably inextricable, integration of its military capabilities into the US Japan alliance, rather than pursuing options for greater autonomy or multilateralism. Japan’s strengthened role as the defensive shield for the offensive sword of US power projection will only serve to bolster US military hegemony in East Asia and globally.



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