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Contents

Introduction xi

1 The Evolution and Definition of Strategic Intelligence 1

2 Research: A Description of the Activity and the Analyst 17

3 Types of Inquiry and the Nature of Proof 38

4 The Relation of Induction and Deduction to Theory BUilding in Intelligence Research 51

5 Planning the Research Program: Problem Definition 58

6 Planning the Research Progrms: Locating Information 69

7 Foundations of Analysis: Some Basic Concepts 79

8 Classificaiton: A Basic Steop in Analysis 93

9 Basic Quantitative Techniques for Research and Analysis 105

10 Descriptive Analysis Methodologies 129

11 Prediction, Forecasting, and Haruspicy 164

12 Preparing the Report 197

13 An Example of a Small-Scale Intelligence Study 207

Index 217

About the Author and Editor 219

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An introduction to intelligence research and analysis 이용현황 표 - 등록번호, 청구기호, 권별정보, 자료실, 이용여부로 구성 되어있습니다.
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0001342273 327.12 C616i 서울관 서고(열람신청 후 1층 대출대) 이용가능

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Since the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on United States soil, the intelligence community has been scrutinized on how it performs its functions. Consequently, the 9/11 Commission made several recommendations on how to improve the quality of intelligence analysis. Those charges and the United States' involvement in a war in Iraq have spawned additional charges of the politicization of intelligence. All this is being played out as the Intelligence Community has reformed and reconfigured itself with newly created departments supported by an expanded and inexperienced workforce that was never envisioned when the intelligence community was formally established in 1947.

First published in the 1970s, the classic book An Introduction to Intelligence Research and Analysis was used by intelligence analysts to track and monitor the Communist threat. Although today's environment has changed considerably since the Cold War, intelligence analysts still need to understand the basics of intelligence analysis. The book focuses on how to do research, what qualities are needed to be an intelligence analyst, and what methods can be employed to help in producing products. To avoid politicization, intelligence analysts should strive to become more transparent in their methodology of how they arrived at their conclusions. Intelligence Research and Analysis provides several methods to assist in that end.

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