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Preface
Michael D. Bordo
John H. Cochrane
John B. Taylor
One Introductory Remarks
Condoleezza Rice
What Monetary Policy Rules and Strategies Say
Two Perspectives on US Monetary Policy
Richard H. Clarida
Three A Labor Market View on Inflation
Lawrence H. Summers
Four It's Time to Get Back to Rules-Based Monetary Policy
John B. Taylor
Introductory Remarks
Tom Stephenson
General Discussion
Robert Hall
Terry Anderson
Krishna Guha
Ellen Meade
Fiscal Policy and Other Explanations
Five Inflation Past, Present, and Future: Fiscal Shocks, Fed Response, and Fiscal Limits
John H. Cochrane
Six How Monetary Policy Got So Far Behind the Curve: The Role of Fiscal Policy
Tyler Goodspeed
Seven Current Market Perspectives
Beth Hammack
Introductory Remarks
Charles I. Plosser
General Discussion
Krishna Guha
Mickey D. Levy
James Bullard
Richard H. Clarida
Markos Kounalakis
The Fed's Delayed exits from Monetary Ease
Eight The Fed's Monetary Policy Exit Once Again Behind the Curve
Michael D. Bordo
Mickey D. Levy
Discussant Remarks
Jennifer Burns
Introductory Remarks
Kevin Warsh
General Discussion
Ricardo Reis
Richard H. Clarida
James Bullard Inflation Risks
Nine The Burst of High Inflation in 2021--22: How and Why Did We Get Here?
Ricardo Reis
Discussant Remarks
Volker Wieland
Introductory Remarks
Arvind Krishnamurthy
General Discussion
Robert Hall
James Bullard
Patrick Kehoe
Marc Katz
Elena Pastorino
World Wars Fiscal-Monetary Consequences
Ten Financing Big US Federal Expenditures Surges: COVID-19 and Earlier US Wars
George J. Hall
Thomas J. Sargent
Discussant Remarks
Ellen R. McGrattan
Introductory Remarks
John Lipsky
General Discussion
James Bullard
Krishna Guha
Michael D. Bordo
William Nelson
Robert Hall
John H. Cochrane
Patrick Kehoe
Toward a Monetary Policy Strategy
Eleven Is the Fed "Behind the Curve"? Two Interpretations
James Bullard
Twelve Strategy and Execution in US Monetary Policy 2021--22
Randal Quarles
Thirteen Reflections on Monetary Policy in 2021
Christopher J. Waller
Introductory Remarks
Joshua Rauh
General Discussion
David H. Papell
Mickey D. Levy
Tyler Goodspeed
John A. Gunn
John H. Cochrane
Nick Timiraos
Andrew Levin
William Nelson
Fourteen Inflation Blues: The Fortieth-Anniversary Revival?
Monika Piazzesi
General Discussion
James Bullard
Krishna Guha
Arvind Krishnamurthy
Axel Merk
David H. Papell
About the Contributors
About the Hoover Institution's Economic Policy Working Group
Index
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출판사 책소개
Low interest rates and high money growth are inappropriate given high inflation and evidence that the United States has recovered from the deep recession induced by the pandemic and its policy response in 2020. The thoughtful papers in this volume illustrate the debate about the reasons for this mismatch, as well as how to get back on track.
With the inflation rate in the United States and many other countries on the rise for over a year and nearing double digits, the Hoover Institution hosted its 2022 conference on monetary policy. Policy makers, market participants, and academic researchers gathered to discuss the situation. Many agreed that low interest rates and high money growth were inappropriate given the high inflation rate and evidence that the United States has recovered from the deep recession induced by the pandemic and its policy response in 2020. The thoughtful papers and the thorough discussions in this volume of conference proceedings illustrate the debate about the reasons for this mismatch, as well as how to get back on track. They reflect a range of opinions and perspectives, including examination of the fiscal shock resulting from the COVID pandemic and the related borrowing and spending; emphasis on the value of adherence to rules versus discretion in setting Fed policy; lessons from history in the spikes in federal expenditures during times of war (including the pandemic) and in the timing of the Fed's use of its policy instruments; the role of central banks in the emerging inflation crisis; and s
With the inflation rate in the United States and many other countries on the rise for over a year and nearing double digits, the Hoover Institution hosted its 2022 conference on monetary policy. Policy makers, market participants, and academic researchers gathered to discuss the situation. Many agreed that low interest rates and high money growth were inappropriate given the high inflation rate and evidence that the United States has recovered from the deep recession induced by the pandemic and its policy response in 2020. The thoughtful papers and the thorough discussions in this volume of conference proceedings illustrate the debate about the reasons for this mismatch, as well as how to get back on track. They reflect a range of opinions and perspectives, including examination of the fiscal shock resulting from the COVID pandemic and the related borrowing and spending; emphasis on the value of adherence to rules versus discretion in setting Fed policy; lessons from history in the spikes in federal expenditures during times of war (including the pandemic) and in the timing of the Fed's use of its policy instruments; the role of central banks in the emerging inflation crisis; and s
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