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Title page 1
Contents 6
Foreword 11
Acknowledgments 14
About the Authors 17
Overview 19
Abbreviations 34
Introduction 36
Toward a Comprehensive Model of the Labor Market 39
Policy to Reach the Three Goals of Coverage, Quality Jobs, and Growth 46
Notes 48
References 49
1. Job Amenities and the Attraction of Self-Employment 52
Self-Employment and Microfirms as the Central Axis of Analysis of the Informal Sector 52
Self-Employment as a Global Phenomenon 54
The View from the Advanced Economies 56
The Fuzzy Distinction Between "Opportunity" and "Necessity" Self-Employment 58
Developing Countries Share the Global Preference for Self-Employment 60
Why Does Self-Employment Decline with Income, and What Causes Divergence from This Trend? 66
How Much Is Being Your Own Boss Worth? Measuring Amenity Value 73
Measuring Segmentation and Necessity Entrepreneurship Through Amenity-Adjusted Wage Comparisons 81
Conclusion 82
Notes 83
References 85
2. The Global Microfirm Paradox: Satisfied Entrepreneurs but Limited Growth 90
The Growth Dynamics of Microfirms 90
The Entry and Exit Dynamics of Microfirms 91
The Dynamics of Entry and Exit Viewed Through Labor Flows 93
Why Does Self-Employment Increase Across the Life Cycle? 97
The Role of Credit Constraints in Limiting Firm Size and Entrepreneurship 99
Microfirms Everywhere Do Not Grow Very Much 102
Credit Is a Limited Barrier to Growth 103
The Double Distribution of Firms 104
The Decision to Formalize: Formality as an Input for Growth 106
Conclusion 110
Notes 111
References 111
3. Informal Workers, Household Optimization, and Labor Market Distortions 115
Introduction 115
Who Are the Informal Salaried Workers? 116
Entry into Informal Salaried Work: Less Opportunity, More Necessity than Self-Employment 117
What Amenities Do the Informal Salaried Value? 121
The Increasingly Fuzzy Distinction Between Formal and Informal Employment 123
Household Decisions, Unpaid Work, and Universal Social Protection Coverage 128
Labor Market Frictions and Necessity Informality 131
Typology of the Dependent Informal 134
Conclusion 146
Notes 147
References 148
4. Policy Recommendations 151
A Comprehensive Framework to Understand the Developing-Country Labor Market and Design Effective Policy 151
Policy Recommendations 160
Data Needed 172
Conclusions 173
Notes 174
References 174
FIGURE I.1. Informality Rate by Region 37
FIGURE I.2. Informality in LAC Has Stayed Stubbornly High 37
FIGURE I.3. Sectoral Composition Across the Life Cycle 43
FIGURE I.4. Most Informal Workers in LAC Work in Very Small Firms 45
FIGURE I.5. Changes in Health Coverage, by Region, 2001-23 48
FIGURE 1.1. Self-Employment Declines with the Level of Development 55
FIGURE 1.2. Historical Self-Employment Rate by GDP per Capita in Selected Advanced Economies Compared with Current Data of Latin America... 56
FIGURE 1.3. Workers' Preferences for Self-Employment and Current Employment Status 61
FIGURE 1.4. Share of Self-Employed Searching for a Formal Job 63
FIGURE 1.5. Microentrepreneurs Who Choose Self-Employment for Income and Independence 64
FIGURE 1.6. Unskilled Entrepreneurs Who Choose Self-Employment by Necessity 65
FIGURE 1.7. Amenities of Salaried Work Rise with Development 67
FIGURE 1.8. Impact of Benefit Valuation on Formalization Incentives 69
FIGURE 1.9. Labor Legislation Often Becomes More Rigid with Development 70
FIGURE 1.10. Share of the Workforce in Self-Employment and the Level of the Minimum Wage 72
FIGURE 1.11. Stated Compensation Required for Informal Self-Employed to Become Formal Salaried in Mexico 75
FIGURE 1.12. Women Value Flexibility and Autonomy More than Men 80
FIGURE 1.13. Workers Choose Jobs That Offer the Amenities They Value Most 81
FIGURE 1.14. The Amenities Premium in Self-Employment Exceeds the Wage Premium in Formal Employment 82
FIGURE 2.1. Higher Entry and Lower Exit Rates in Colombia and Mexico Lead to a Higher Share of Self-Employment than in the United States,... 92
FIGURE 2.2. Gross Domestic Product Growth and Transitions from Formal Employment to Self-Employment 94
FIGURE 2.3. Relative Work-Finding Rates 95
FIGURE 2.4. Work Transition Rates: Disaggregation of Figure 2.3 96
FIGURE 2.5. Preferences for Self-Employment Vary with Age in the Dominican Republic and Mexico 98
FIGURE 2.6. The Share of Self-Employed Who Prefer to Be Formal Salaried Decreases Sharply with Age in Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico 100
FIGURE 2.7. Workers Value Self-Employment More as They Age: Stated Compensation Required to Switch to a Salaried Job Across the Life Cycle, Mexico 101
FIGURE 2.8. Size Distribution of Low- and High-Ability Firms 105
FIGURE 2.9. Optimal Occupational Choice, by Skill Level and Preference 106
FIGURE 2.10. The Probability That a Firm Will Participate in an Institution of Civil Society Increases with Size and Age 108
FIGURE 2.11. Probability of Federal Registration (Chile, Colombia, and Mexico) 109
FIGURE 3.1. Dependent Informal Workers Are Younger, Less Educated, and Work Disproportionally More in Microfirms than Formal Salaried Workers 117
FIGURE 3.2. Informal Salaried Workers Mostly Work in Microfirms 118
FIGURE 3.3. Labor Market Transitions in Mexico for Workers Ages 18-54 119
FIGURE 3.4. Job Satisfaction for Informal Salaried and Self-Employed Workers 120
FIGURE 3.5. Benefits for Formal and Informal Workers 124
FIGURE 3.6. Implicit Tax on Formality 125
FIGURE 3.7. Willingness to Pay for Formal Jobs 126
FIGURE 3.8. Actual and Expected Costs of Formality in Colombia 127
FIGURE 3.9. Spouse Occupation Conditional on Head of Household Occupation (Primary Education Households) 129
FIGURE 3.10. Effect of Marriage and Motherhood on the Formal Employment of Women 131
FIGURE 3.11. Relationship Between Minimum Wage and the Share of Informal Salaried Workers 132
FIGURE 3.12. Amenity-Adjusted Earnings Gaps for Informal Salaried Workers Ages 18-54 Years, by Gender and Education 133
FIGURE 3.13. Sectoral Composition Across the Life Cycle 134
FIGURE 3.14. Tenure of Current Job, by Sector and Age Group 135
FIGURE 3.15. Transition to Different Employment Categories, by Age 136
FIGURE 3.16. Transition to Different Employment Categories, by Education 137
FIGURE 3.17. Relationship between Minimum Wage and Informal Salaried Workers at Prime and Pre-prime Ages 139
FIGURE 3.18. Distribution of Work Categories for Households with Self-Employed Workers 140
FIGURE 3.19. Distribution of Unpaid Workers Ages 18 and Older Within Nuclear Households 141
FIGURE 3.20. Comparison of Unpaid Workers to Workers in Microfirms, by Country 142
FIGURE 3.21. Distribution of Informal Salaried Workers in Firms with 50 or More Workers 143
FIGURE 3.22. Prevalence of Payments Under the Table, by Level of Income 145
FIGURE 4.1. Baseline and Counterfactual Results: Key Indicators 155
Boxes 8
BOX 1.1. The Various Types of Self-Employment 53
BOX 1.2. Measuring the Value of Job Amenities 75
BOX 1.3. Measuring What Workers Actually Value: A Large-Scale Choice Experiment on Informality in Latin America 77
BOX 4.1. Role of Digital Tools to Facilitate Formalization 167
Maps 9
MAP 3.1. Residential Labor Market Segregation in Mexico City 122
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