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Title page 1

Contents 6

Foreword 4

Acknowledgements 5

Reader's Guide 10

Abbreviations and acronyms 13

Executive summary 15

1. Introduction 20

Context and rationale 20

EU integration 21

Report scope 23

References 24

Notes 24

2. Macro-financial stability cluster 26

MS.01. Inflation rate 29

MS.02. Exchange rate stability 30

MS.03. General government balance 31

MS.04. Long-term government interest rates 32

MS.05. Current account balance 33

References 34

Notes 36

3. Infrastructure and connectivity cluster 39

IC.01. Road infrastructure density 42

IC.02. Rail infrastructure density 43

IC.03. Rail freight intensity 44

IC.04. Power losses 45

IC.05. Electricity cost for non-household consumers 46

IC.06. 4G coverage 47

IC.07. Broadband speed 48

References 49

Notes 50

4. Skills cluster 53

SK.01. Labour productivity 56

SK.02. Employment rate 57

SK.03. Gender gap in labour participation 58

SK.04. PISA performance: Mathematics 59

SK.05. Youth NEET rate 60

SK.06. Labour force with advanced education 61

SK.07. Lifelong learning participation 62

SK.08. Patent applications 63

References 64

Notes 66

5. Business environment cluster 69

BE.01. Domestic credit to the private sector 72

BE.02. Bank non-performing loans 73

BE.03. Private Investment 74

BE.04. Foreign direct investment in tradable sectors 75

BE.05. Control of corruption 76

BE.06. Estimated informal employment 77

BE.07. Trade flows 78

BE.08. New business creation density 79

References 80

Notes 82

6. Digital transformation cluster 86

DG.01. Population with digital skills 89

DG.02. Internet use by individuals 90

DG.03. Internet use for interacting with public authorities 91

DG.04. Internet use for purchases 92

DG.05. Businesses with a website 93

DG.06. Businesses using AI technologies 94

DG.07. ICT services export 95

DG.08. Secure internet servers 96

References 97

Notes 98

7. Greening cluster 101

GR.01. CO₂ emissions intensity 104

GR.02. Renewable energy installed capacities 105

GR.03. Energy productivity 106

GR.04. Water productivity 107

GR.05. Municipal waste intensity 108

GR.06. Municipal waste disposed in landfills 109

GR.07. Air pollution premature deaths 110

References 111

Notes 112

Annex A. Economy profiles 115

Annex B. Methodology 128

Figures 8

Figure 1. Example indicator score: Employment rate (2023-2024) 11

Figure 2. Example cluster score: Skills (2023-2024) 12

Figure 1.1. GDP per capita convergence of the Western Balkan economies with the EU, 2003-2025 20

Figure 1.2. Pace of GDP per capita convergence of the Western Balkan economies with the EU, 2008-2025 21

Figure 1.3. IPA and RGGF financial commitments per capita in the Western Balkan economies and Croatia, 2007-2027 23

Figure 2.1. Macro-financial stability cluster scores by economy (full compliance with macro-financial stability criteria=100), 2023-2024 27

Figure 2.2. Macro-financial stability indicator scores by economy (compliance with macro-financial stability criteria=100), 2023-2024 28

Figure 2.3. Inflation rate in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 29

Figure 2.4. Exchange-rate stability in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 30

Figure 2.5. General government balance in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 31

Figure 2.6. Long-term government interest rates in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 32

Figure 2.7. Current account balance in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 33

Figure 3.1. Infrastructure and connectivity cluster scores by economy (EU average=100), 2023-2024 40

Figure 3.2. Infrastructure and connectivity indicator scores by economy (EU average=100), 2023-2024 41

Figure 3.3. Road infrastructure density in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 42

Figure 3.4. Rail infrastructure density in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 43

Figure 3.5. Rail freight intensity in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 44

Figure 3.6. Power losses in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 45

Figure 3.7. Electricity prices for non-household consumers in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 46

Figure 3.8. 4G penetration in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 47

Figure 3.9. Broadband speed in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 48

Figure 4.1. Skills cluster scores by economy (EU average=100), 2023-2024 54

Figure 4.2. Skills indicator scores by economy (EU average=100), 2023-2024 55

Figure 4.3. Labour productivity in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 56

Figure 4.4. Employment rate in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 57

Figure 4.5. Gender gap in labour participation in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 58

Figure 4.6. Performance in mathematics in PISA in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 59

Figure 4.7. Youth NEET rate in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 60

Figure 4.8. Labour force with advanced education in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 61

Figure 4.9. Lifelong learning in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 62

Figure 4.10. Patent applications in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 63

Figure 5.1. Business environment cluster scores by economy (EU average=100), 2023-2024 70

Figure 5.2. Business environment indicator scores by economy (EU average=100), 2023-2024 71

Figure 5.3. Domestic credit to the private sector in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 72

Figure 5.4. Bank non-performing loans in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 73

Figure 5.5. Private investment in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 74

Figure 5.6. FDI in tradable sectors in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 75

Figure 5.7. Control of corruption in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 76

Figure 5.8. Estimated informal employment in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 77

Figure 5.9. Trade flows in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 78

Figure 5.10. New business creation density in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 79

Figure 6.1. Digital transformation cluster scores by economy (EU average=100), 2023-2024 87

Figure 6.2. Digital transformation indicator scores by economy (EU average=100), 2023-2024 88

Figure 6.3. Population with digital skills in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2020-2024 89

Figure 6.4. Internet use by individuals in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2020-2024 90

Figure 6.5. Use of digital public services in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2020-2024 91

Figure 6.6. Internet use for purchases in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2020-2024 92

Figure 6.7. Businesses with a website in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2020-2024 93

Figure 6.8. Businesses using AI technologies in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2020-2024 94

Figure 6.9. ICT services exports in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2020-2024 95

Figure 6.10. Secure internet servers in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2020-2024 96

Figure 7.1. Greening cluster scores by economy (EU average=100), 2023-2024 102

Figure 7.2. Greening indicator scores by economy (EU average=100), 2023-2024 103

Figure 7.3. CO₂ emissions intensity in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 104

Figure 7.4. Renewable energy installed capacities in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 105

Figure 7.5. Energy productivity in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 106

Figure 7.6. Water productivity in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 107

Figure 7.7. Municipal waste intensity in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 108

Figure 7.8. Municipal waste in landfills in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 109

Figure 7.9. Air pollution premature deaths in the Western Balkan economies and the EU, 2014-2024 110

Annex Tables 9

Table A B.1. List of indicators of the measurement framework 129

Table A B.2. Reference values for MS.01 (2014-2024) 131

Table A B.3. Reference values for MS.04 (2014-2024) 132

Table A B.4. Limitations of the Economic Convergence Scoreboard for the Western Balkan economies 2026 133

Annex Figures 9

Figure A A.1. Albania's economic convergence by cluster and by indicator 117

Figure A A.2. Bosnia and Herzegovina's economic convergence by cluster and by indicator 119

Figure A A.3. Kosovo's economic convergence by cluster and by indicator 121

Figure A A.4. North Macedonia's economic convergence by cluster and by indicator 123

Figure A A.5. Montenegro's economic convergence by cluster and by indicator 125

Figure A A.6. Serbia's economic convergence by cluster and by indicator 127