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22대 대한민국 국회 국회정보길라잡이 국회의원검색
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Title page 1

Contents 5

Acknowledgments 4

Foreword 7

1. Introduction to futures thinking and strategic foresight 9

1.1. Futures thinking and strategic foresight 9

1.2. The importance of futures thinking 9

1.3. Introducing the foresight brief series 10

1.4. The ITU approach to strategic foresight 11

1.5. Objectives of the 'Shaping education for tomorrow' foresight brief 12

2. Sensing in a volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous world 15

2.1. Identifying signals and emerging trends 15

2.2. Exploring signals of change for an education landscape 15

3. Analysing and refining key drivers of change 19

3.1. Drivers and critical forces influencing future evolution of education 19

3.2. Drivers 20

3.3/3.1. Weak signals with disruptive potential 22

4. Visualizing possible future scenarios 25

4.1. Key drivers for exploring potential future scenarios 25

4.2. Envisioning scenarios through the interplay of key drivers 26

4.3. Exploring a range of scenarios 27

4.4. Four plausible scenarios 28

5. Prioritizing the desired scenario 35

5.1. The desired scenario 35

5.2. Enablers of the desired scenario 36

6. Actioning the desired future 39

6.1. A roadmap to maturity 39

6.2. Actions to drive future-ready education ecosystems 40

7. Managing the ecosystem 44

7.1. Strength in stakeholder collaboration 44

7.2. Activating implementation mechanisms 45

Annex 48

Glossary 50

References 51

Tables 6

Table 1. Drivers shaping the future of the education landscape 20

Table 2. Selected drivers 25

Table 3. Stress-testing the shortlisted scenarios against the objectives of the foresight study 36

Table 4. Proposed roadmap to realize the desired vision 41

Table 5. Platforms and structured mechanisms for stakeholder collaboration 46

Figures 6

Figure 1. VUCA 10

Figure 2. Navigating lack of resources and adoption of emerging technologies 26

Figure 3. Potential trajectories and outcomes 27

Figure 4. Six pillars of an integrated framework for action 40

Figure 5. A well-connected ecosystem 45

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