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Title page
Contents
Abstract/Résumé 4
Introduction 7
Climate change will affect Sweden, but uncertainty is high 8
Climate policy in Sweden: successes and challenges 10
Institutional set-up and emission reduction targets 12
Sweden's main climate policy instruments 14
Policy needs tightening and more coherence 16
Investing in electricity supply and people to fuel the green transition 23
Large investments are needed in clean and reliable electricity 26
Spatial planning, permits and competing land claims slow down the transition 32
A fast green transition requires people, services and infrastructure 38
References 45
Table 1. Most towns and cities in Norrbotten and Västerbotten report housing shortages 40
Table 2. Example: population increase per direct manufacturing job created 41
Figure 1. Extreme weather will occur more frequently as temperatures rise 9
Figure 2. Swedish greenhouse gas emissions need to keep falling 11
Figure 3. Transport and industry are major emitting sectors 12
Figure 4. A likely failure to reach the transport target requires additional action in other sectors 13
Figure 5. Non-ETS emissions are mostly in transportation and agriculture 18
Figure 6. Electric vehicle sales depend on global technology development and national policies 19
Figure 7. Swedish companies are among the most climate-conscious in the world 26
Figure 8. The energy crisis has led to large price differentials in Sweden 27
Figure 9. Sweden is a net exporter of electricity 28
Figure 10. Geographical variations in the balance of supply and demand 29
Figure 11. Electricity demand could roughly double by 2045 30
Figure 12. Land is abundant, but with many claims 33
Figure 13. The permitting procedure for onshore wind is among the slowest in Europe 35
Figure 14. Around half of wind power applications are approved 35
Figure 15. Rural municipalities are facing demographic pressures 39
Figure 16. Current labour shortages in Norrbotten are projected to become more acute 42
Figure 17. The share of young adults with tertiary education is lower than the national average 42
Figure 18. Participation in lifelong learning is high throughout the country 43
Boxes
Box 1. Electric vehicle incentives and take-up in Norway 18
Box 2. Pricing of agricultural emissions and natural sinks in New Zealand 21
Box 3. Green industrial developments in Norrbotten and Västerbotten 24
Box 4. Contract for Difference auctions made the United Kingdom a leader in offshore wind 31
Box 5. The Environment Permit Commission's main conclusions 34
Box 6. Streamlining planning decisions through the AGON coordination network 36
Box 7. A back-of-the-envelope calculation of future population increase in Skellefteå 41
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