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Title page

Contents

Abstract 2

1. Introduction 3

2. Data and Methodology 5

2.1. OECD Approach 6

2.2. BDS High-Growth Approach 7

3. Trends in High-Growth Firm Activity 14

4. Conclusion 25

References 27

Online Appendix for High-Growth Firms in the United States: Key Trends and New Data Opportunities 30

Tables

Table 1. Summary Statistics of High-Growth Firms in the U.S. 15

Figures

Figure 1. Firm growth rates by percentile over time 10

Figure 2. Detailed Distribution of Firm Growth Rates, 1980 vs. 2018 12

Figure 3. High-Growth Firm Shares 13

Figure 4. Rise of stagnant firms over time 16

Figure 5. Net Job Creation by Firm Growth Bins 17

Figure 6. Intensity of High-Growth Firms by Firm Maturity 19

Figure 7. Intensity of High-Growth Firms by Small, Medium, and Large Firms 20

Figure 8. Share of Employment from High-Growth Firms by Size and Age 21

Figure 9. Intensity of High-Growth Firms by Industry 22

Figure 10. State's Share of High-Growth Firms versus Share of All Firms 24

Figure 11. Change in High-Growth Firm Share by State in 2000 versus 2020 25

Appendix Figures

Figure A1. TVV/DHS, Log Differences, and Firm Size 32

Figure A2. Firm Growth and Change in Firm Counts, Average Size Minus Initial Size 33

Figure A3. Establishment Growth and Mean Reversion 34

Figure A4. Firm Growth Distribution and Firm Age 36

Figure A5. Asymmetry of Firm Growth Distribution and Firm Age 37

Figure A6. Firm Growth and Firm Age, Continuers 38

Figure A7. Firm Growth, Firm Age, and Change in Firm Counts, Average Size Minus Initial Size 39