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국회도서관 홈으로 정보검색 소장정보 검색

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Title page

Contents

Abstract 3

1. Introduction 4

2. Background 8

2.1. The Sent-Down Youth Program 8

2.2. Rural Economic Development 12

3. Empirical Strategy 15

4. Data and Sample 17

4.1. Administralive Divisions 17

4.2. Variable Constructions and Data Sources 18

4.3. Sample 21

4.4. Summary Statistics 21

5. Empirical Results 22

5.1. Results for GDP and NTL 22

5.2. Results for TVE Outcomes 24

5.3. Robustness Checks 24

6. Channel Analysis 26

7. Conclusion 28

References 29

Appendix A. Detailed SDY Information 46

Appendix B. Data 48

Appendix C. Additional Results 58

Tables

Table 1. Summary Statistics for Different Samples 34

Table 2. Selected OLS Results of GDP and NTL: 1988-2010 35

Table 3. Selected IV Results of GDP and NTL: 1980-2013 36

Table 4. Selected IV Results of TVE Outcomes: 1980-1996 37

Table 5. Sensitivity Tests (Selected IV Results of GDP Per Capita, Core Sample) 38

Table 6. Consistent sample for all outcome variables: IV results for the core sample 39

Table 7. Selected Results from the Channel Analysis: Education and Migration 39

Table 8. Selected OLS Results from the Channel Analysis: Contribution of Various Channels 40

Figures

Figure 1. Importance of rural economy and TVE sector: 1978-2010 41

Figure 2. The 1960 Population density map 42

Figure 3. Log per capita real GDP, TVE output and revenue, and night-time light: 1980-2013 43

Figure 4. SDY impact on log per capita real GDP and NTL by year: 1980-2013 44

Figure 5. Log per capita real TVE output value and TVE revenue by year: 1980-1996 45

Appendix Tables

Table A1. The pattern of the size of SDY sent from cities 46

Table A2. Total Number of SDY to and from Each Province (10,000 persons) 47

Table B1. Numbers of observations for different dependent variables at different year 53

Table B2. Summary satistics for the dependent variable in the full sample 54

Table B3. Summary satistics for the dependent variable in the core sample 55

Table C1. Selected First Stage Results for GDP and NTL: 1980-2013 58

Table C2. Selected OLS Results of TVE Outcomes: 1980-1996 59

Table C3. Selected First Stage Results of TVE Outcomes: 1980-1996 59

Table C4. Migration by year 60

Appendix Figures

Figure B1. The ratio of SDY to local population 56

Figure B2. Statistical Reporting Issue for TVE Since 1997 57