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국회도서관 홈으로 정보검색 소장정보 검색

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Title page

Contents

Abstract 3

1. Introduction 4

2. Literature review 6

3. Data 9

4. Empirical methodology 12

5. Results 15

5.1. Average effects of the graduation unemployment rate 15

5.2. Cross-country differences in the effects of the graduation unemployment rate 18

5.3. Entry conditions and occupation quality 21

6. Conclusion 22

References 23

Appendix for Online Publication 27

A. Data and sample 27

B. Empirical analysis 30

References 44

Tables

Table 1. Unemployment duration by country for all individuals and individuals in 1st and 4th quartiles of graduation unemployment rate 11

Table 2. Unemployment duration by year for all individuals and individuals in 1st and 4th quartiles of graduation unemployment rate 13

Table 3. Cox model regression results for the hazard rate of finding employment 16

Table 4. Cox model regression results for the hazard rate of different labour market transitions 18

Table 5. Cox model regression results for the hazard rate of finding employment, by country group 20

Table 6. Results for probability of being employed in high-quality occupations 22

Figures

Figure 1. Estimated effects (and 95% confidence intervals) of the graduation unemployment rate, defined using individuals aged 15-74 and 15-24, on the hazard rate... 19

Appendix Tables

Table A1. Data structure after combining several longitudinal releases (Austria) 29

Table B1. Estimated effect of graduation unemployment rate on probability of employment after one year of potential experience 30

Table B2. Means and Standard Deviations, by sample 31

Table B3. Weighted Means and Standard Deviations, by country group 32

Table B4. Results for the duration of unemployment 33

Table B5. Cox model regression results for the hazard rate of finding employment 34

Table B6. Cox model regression results for the hazard rate of finding employment using standard errors clustered at different levels 38

Table B7. Cox model regression results for the hazard rate of finding employment using actual and predicted year-of-graduation and month-of-graduation dummies 39

Table B8. Cox model regression results for the hazard rate of finding employment using standard model and alternative instrument, by country group 40

Table B9. Regression results for the hazard rate of finding employment using parametric models 41

Table B10. Cox model regression results for the hazard rate of finding employment, by sex 42

Table B11. Results for probability of being employed in high-quality occupations, by country group 43

Appendix Figures

Figure B1. Estimated Survivor Function 44