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22대 대한민국 국회 국회정보길라잡이 국회의원검색
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Title page

Contents

Foreword 6

Acknowledgments 7

Abbreviations 8

Units of Measurement 8

Summary 9

1. Introduction 12

2. Methods 15

2.1. Selection of Countries 16

2.2. Selection of Climate Scenarios 16

2.3. Modeling and Analytical Approach 19

2.4. Data 24

3. Impacts of Climate Change on Health and the Economic Cost of Inaction 25

3.1. Impacts of Climate Change on Health 26

3.2. Economic Cost of Inaction 27

4. Discussion 30

4.1. Summary of Key Findings 31

4.2. Comparison of Findings with Key Literature 32

4.3. Study Caveats 34

4.4. Policy Implications and Future Directions 36

Annex 1. Countries Included in the Analysis 37

Annex 2. SSPs and RCPs 40

Annex 3. Estimating the Impacts of Climate Change on Morbidity and Mortality 44

Annex 4. Modeling Fatality Rates 49

Annex 5. Estimating YLL from Climate Change 53

Annex 6. Estimating the Economic Cost of Climate-Related Health Impacts 56

Annex 7. Cumulative Estimates of the Impacts of Climate Change on Morbidity and Mortality in the Short Term and Long Term 76

Annex 8. Economic Cost of the Health Impacts of Climate Change in the Short Term and Long Term 78

References 79

Table 1. Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 17

Table 2. Comparative Analysis of Approaches: WHO (2014) and This Report 19

Table 3. Cumulative Number of Cases Attributable to Climate Change: 2026-2050 26

Table 4. Cumulative Number of Deaths Attributable to Climate Change: 2026-2050 27

Table 5. Cumulative Economic Cost of the Health Impacts of Climate Change: 2026-2050 28

Figure 1. SSPs and RCPs 18

Figure 2. Distribution of the Economic Cost of the Health Impacts of Climate Change Across Regions: 2026-2050 29

Annex Tables

Table A.1. LMICs Included in the Analysis 37

Table A.2. Total Projected Regional Population 41

Table A.3. Total Projected Regional GDP (Trillion USD) 41

Table A.4. Modeling Malaria's Fatality Rate 51

Table A.5. Estimating Life Expectancies 53

Table A.6. Age Distribution of Deaths from Malaria in Nigeria in 2020 54

Table A.7. Age Distribution of Deaths from Malaria in Cameroon in 2020 55

Table A.8. Estimated Country-Specific Values for VSL (USD) - SSP3 57

Table A.9. Estimated Country-Specific Values for VSL (USD) - SSP2 59

Table A.10. Estimated Country-Specific Values for COI Dengue (USD) - SSP3 62

Table A.11. Estimated Country-Specific Values for COI Dengue (USD) - SSP2 64

Table A.12. Estimated Country-Specific Values for COI Malaria (USD) - SSP3 66

Table A.13. Estimated Country-Specific Values for COI Malaria (USD) - SSP2 68

Table A.14. Estimated Country-Specific Values for COI Diarrhea (USD) - SSP3 70

Table A.15. Estimated Country-Specific Values for COI Diarrhea (USD) - SSP2 72

Table A.16. Cumulative Number of Cases Attributable to Climate Change: 2026-2030 76

Table A.17. Cumulative Number of Deaths Attributable to Climate Change: 2026-2030 76

Table A.18. Cumulative Number of Cases Attributable to Climate Change: 2026-2100 77

Table A.19. Cumulative Number of Deaths Attributable to Climate Change: 2026-2100 77

Table A.20. Economic Cost of the Health Impacts of Climate Change: 2026-2030 78

Table A.21. Economic Cost of the Health Impacts of Climate Change: 2026-2100 78

Annex Figures

Figure A.1. Population Growth under SSPs 40

Figure A.2. Economic Growth under SSPs 40

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