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Title page
Contents
Abstract 3
1. Introduction 4
2. Data 7
2.1. Climate Data 7
2.2. Labor Share 8
2.3. Covariates 9
3. Empirical Analysis 9
3.1. Baseline Results 9
3.2. Robustness Checks 12
4. Mechanism 13
4.1. Occupational Characteristics 13
4.2. Climate-Induced Automation 17
5. Assessment of Macroeconomic Impacts 20
6. Conclusion 21
References 23
Appendices for Online Publication 27
I. Additional Data Details 28
II. Additional Analyses 37
Table 1. Climate Change and Labor Share (by County-by-NAICS Industries, 2001-2019) 11
Table 2. Sensitivity of Climate Impacts to Temperature Exposure and Automation Potential 15
Table 3. Climate and Robot Adoption Across Industries 19
Figure 1. Climate Change and Labor Share in the US 5
Figure 2. Implied Impacts of Climate Change on Labor Share (1950-2001 vs. 2001-2019) 22
Table A-1. Summary Statistics 33
Table A-2. By Temperature Thresholds 38
Table A-3. By Treatment Window 39
Table A-4. By Measurements of Labor Shares 40
Table A-5. Dropping industries and regions 41
Table A-6. By Inclusion of Fixed Effects 42
Table A-7. The Impacts of Severer Temperature 43
Table A-8. By Temperature Thresholds (industrial robots from the BEA) 47
Table A-9. By Temperature Thresholds (industrial robots from the IFR) 48
Table A-10. Lagged Climate Effects on Robot Investments (industrial robots from the BEA) 49
Table A-11. Climate Impact on Capital Deployment by Broad Categories 50
Table A-12. Climate Impact on Digitalization 50
Figure A-1. Weather Stations in the US Mainland 28
Figure A-2. Hot and Cold Days across US Counties 29
Figure A-3. Exposure to Climate Change in the US 30
Figure A-4. Alternative Measures of the Labor Share 31
Figure A-5. Labor Shares across US Counties 32
Figure A-6. Hot Days and Labor Shares across US States (2019) 34
Figure A-7. Measurement: BEA Robots vs. IFR Robots 37
Figure A-8. Models with Sector heterogeneity and Adaptation 45
Figure A-9. Robustness Checks of Assessment across Modeling Choices 51
Figure A-10. Implied Impacts of Climate Change on Labor Shares 52
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