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국회도서관 홈으로 정보검색 소장정보 검색
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Title page 1

Contents 1

Abstract 3

1. Introduction 4

2. Internet Connectivity and Migration Decisions 9

3. The Broadband China Strategy and the UBTS 11

4. Data and the Identification Strategy 14

5. Results 20

5.1. Impacts of UBTS on Migration Decisions 21

5.2. Heterogeneities in Migration Effects 25

5.3. Mechanisms: Information-Seeking Behavior and Consumption Patterns 27

6. Conclusion 28

References 30

Tables 36

Table 1. The UBTS Pilot Village Distribution: National Data and CHFS Sample 36

Table 2. Summary Statistics of Initial Village and Individual Characteristics (2015) 37

Table 3. Determinants of UBTS Pilot Village Selection (2015) 38

Table 4. Event Study Regression Results: UBTS and Individual Migration Decisions 39

Table 5. Robustness Checks: UBTS and Individual Migration Decisions with Different Control Groups 40

Table 6. Heterogeneity Analyses of Individual Migration Decisions (Total Migration) by Initial Village Characteristics 41

Table 7. Heterogeneity Analyses of Individual Migration Decisions (Total Migration) by Initial Individual Characteristics 42

Figures 43

Figure 1. Event Study of UBTS and Broadband Access 43

Figure 2. Robustness Checks: Migration Effects Including all UBTS pilot Villages (2016-2021 Implementation) 44

Figure 3. Robustness Checks: The Availability and Constructions of Other Infrastructures 45

Figure 4. Event Study of UBTS and Changes in Information Seeking & Online Shopping 46

초록보기

This study investigates broadband internet’s impact on rural-urban migration in China, using the Universal Broadband and Telecommunication Services pilot program as a quasi-experimental setting.

Analyzing China Household Finance Survey data (2013-2021) through difference-in-differences estimation, we find that improved internet access significantly increased rural-urban migration.

Effects were strongest in villages with initially low migrant populations, locations closer to county centers, and those with better road infrastructure.

At the individual level, impacts were most pronounced among females, younger people, the more educated, and those from higher-income households.

Increased attention to economic information, rather than enhanced e-commerce opportunities, appears to drive these migration decisions.

Our findings suggest broadband creates “digital routes” facilitating outmigration rather than “digital roots” anchoring residents to rural areas.

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