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국회도서관 홈으로 정보검색 소장정보 검색

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Title page 1

Contents 1

Abstract 3

1. Data and key trends 5

1.1. Migrant flows and networks 5

1.2. Voting data and attitudes 6

2. Results 6

2.1. Difference-in-Differences results 7

2.2. Mechanisms 10

3. Discussion 12

References 13

Appendix - For online publication 14

A. Additional Figures and Tables 14

B. Data validation 18

Tables 8

Table 1. Effect of Destination Political Shocks on Migrant Inflows 8

Figures 7

Figure 1. Correlations between inflows and Republican vote shares across CZs 7

Figure 2. Effect on Total Matriculas over time 9

Figure 3. Mechanisms: heterogeneity by origin characteristics 12

Appendix Tables 15

Table A.1. Natives' attitudes towards immigration and natives' ideology 15

Table A.2. Robustness: alternative shock and placebo shock 16

Table A.3. Robustness: excluding independent voters 16

Table A.4. Robustness: controlling for lag of dependent variable 17

Table A.5. Robustness: PPML estimates 17

Table B.1. MCAS and ACS Mexican-born working age (15-64) and low skilled population, 2008-2019 19

Table B.2. MCAS and Mexican Emigration 2005-2010 and 2015-2020 19

Appendix Figures 14

Figure A.1. Total matriculas over time, breakdown by newly issued cards and renewals 14

Figure A.2. County-level vs CZ-level Republican vote share, in 2016 levels and 2012-2016 changes 14

Figure A.3. Robustness: drop each US state (outcome: log total matriculas) 15

Figure B.1. MCAS vs ACS: Newly Arrived Mexican-born, All vs Likely Unauthorized 18