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Title page 1
Contents 1
Abstract 3
I. Conceptual Framework: Shaping Student Behavior in Schools 7
II. Policy Setting: Chicago Public Schools 9
II.A. Rollout of Restorative Practices Programs at CPS 10
III. Data Sources and Sample 11
III.A. Study Sample 12
IV. Empirical Strategy 13
IV.A. Value-Added Approach 16
V. Main Results 17
VI. Mechanisms: Disruption Effects 23
VII. Treatment Effect Heterogeneity 25
VIII. Conclusion 27
References 29
Appendices 44
A. Appendix Figures 44
B. Appendix Tables 76
C. Data Appendix 109
Tables 37
Table 1. Baseline Characteristics: Chicago Public Schools High School Students 37
Table 2. High School Restorative Practices: In-School Behavioral Outcomes 38
Table 3. High School Restorative Practices: Policing Outcomes 39
Table 4. High School Restorative Practices: School Climate and Learning Outcomes 40
Table 5. Elementary School Restorative Practices: In-School Behavioral, Learning, and Policing Outcomes 41
Table 6. High School Restorative Practices: Treatment Heterogeneity by Predicted Peer Group Suspension Days 42
Table 7. High School Restorative Practices: Race-by-Gender Treatment Heterogeneity 43
Figures 34
Figure 1. High School Event Studies: Behavioral Outcomes 34
Figure 2. High School Event Studies: School Climate and Learning 35
Figure 3. High School Event Studies: Policing Outcomes 36
Appendix Tables 76
Table A1. Number of High Schools by Initial Restorative Practices Program Type 76
Table A2. High School Student Baseline Characteristics by English Language Learner Status, Grade Level, and Disability Status 77
Table A3. High School Student Baseline Characteristics by Race and Gender 78
Table A4. Baseline Characteristics: Chicago Public Schools Elementary School Students 79
Table A5. High School Restorative Practices: Alternative Out-of-School Arrest Outcomes 80
Table A6. High School Student Perception Survey ("My Voice, My School") Constructs 81
Table A7. Robustness: Behavioral Outcomes (High School) 82
Table A8. Robustness: School Climate and Learning (High School) 83
Table A9. High School Restorative Practices: In-School Behavioral Outcomes (No Controls) 84
Table A10. High School Restorative Practices: Policing Outcomes (No Controls) 85
Table A11. High School Restorative Practices: School Climate and Learning Outcomes (No Controls) 86
Table A12. Elementary School Restorative Practices: In-School Behavioral, Learning, and Policing Outcomes (No Controls) 87
Table A13. High School Restorative Practices: Treatment Heterogeneity by Predicted Peer Group Suspension Days (No Controls) 88
Table A14. High School Restorative Practices: Race-by-Gender Treatment Heterogeneity (No Controls) 89
Table A15. Synthetic Difference-in-Differences Estimates: Behavioral Outcomes 90
Table A16. Synthetic Difference-in-Differences Estimates: School Climate and Learning 91
Table A17. Student Characteristics as Outcomes (High School) 92
Table A18. Controls for Lagged Outcomes (High School) 93
Table A19. High School-by-Cohort Grouping Models 94
Table A20. Elementary School Restorative Practices: Additional In-School Behavioral, School Climate and Policing Outcomes 95
Table A21. Elementary School Restorative Practices: Alternative Out-of-School Arrest Outcomes 96
Table A22. High School Baseline Outcomes by Predicted Out-of-School Suspension Days Cell (Below- vs. Above-Median) 97
Table A23. Within-school, Cross-group Outcome Gaps 98
Table A24. High School Restorative Practices: Behavioral and Policing Outcomes by English Learner Status 99
Table A25. High School Restorative Practices: School Climate and Learning Outcomes by English Learner Status 100
Table A26. High School Restorative Practices: Behavioral and Policing Outcomes by Grade Levels 101
Table A27. High School Restorative Practices: School Climate and Learning Outcomes by Grade Levels 102
Table A28. High School Restorative Practices: Behavioral and Policing Outcomes by Disability Status 103
Table A29. High School Restorative Practices: School Climate and Learning Outcomes by Disability Status 104
Table A30. High School Behavioral and Policing Outcomes by Implementation Type 105
Table A31. High School Climate and Learning Outcomes by Implementation Type 106
Table A32. Heterogeneity by Culture of Calm (CoC): Behavioral Outcomes 107
Table A33. Heterogeneity by Culture of Calm (CoC): School Climate and Learning 108
Appendix Figures 44
Figure A1. High School Event Studies: Binary Policing Outcomes 44
Figure A2. High School Event Studies: Binary Suspension Outcomes 45
Figure A3. High School Event Studies Excluding Controls: Behavioral Outcomes 46
Figure A4. High School Event Studies Excluding Controls: School Climate and Learning 47
Figure A5. High School Event Studies Excluding Controls: Policing Outcomes 48
Figure A6. High School Event Studies Excluding Controls: Binary Policing Outcomes 49
Figure A7. High School Event Studies Excluding Controls: Binary Suspension Outcomes 50
Figure A8. Elementary School Event Studies: Behavioral Outcomes 51
Figure A9. Elementary School Event Studies: School Climate and Learning 52
Figure A10. Elementary School Event Studies: Policing Outcomes 53
Figure A11. Elementary School Event Studies: Binary Policing Outcomes 54
Figure A12. Elementary School Event Studies Excluding Controls: Behavioral Outcomes 55
Figure A13. Elementary School Event Studies Excluding Controls: School Climate and Learning 56
Figure A14. High School Event Studies: Alternative Out-of-School Arrest Outcomes 57
Figure A15. High School Student Perception Survey ("My Voice, My School") Constructs: School Climate Components (Std.) 58
Figure A16. High School Event Studies Using a Standard Difference-in-Differences (Two-Way Fixed Effects) Design: Behavioral and Policing Outcomes 59
Figure A17. High School Event Studies Using a Standard Difference-in-Differences (Two-Way Fixed Effects) Design: School Climate and Learning 60
Figure A18. Synthetic Difference-in-Differences: Behavioral Outcomes 61
Figure A19. Synthetic Difference-in-Differences: School Climate and Learning 62
Figure A20. High School Event Studies: Enrollment 63
Figure A21. High School Event Studies: Characteristics as Outcomes 64
Figure A22. High School: Attrition Analysis 65
Figure A23. Elementary School Event Studies: Alternative Out-of-School Arrest Outcomes 66
Figure A24. High School OSS Event Studies: Above- and Below-Median Predicted OSS 67
Figure A25. High School Event Studies for Learning Outcomes: Low Suspension Propensity Students 68
Figure A26. High School Event Studies: Black Males 69
Figure A27. High School Event Studies: Black Females 70
Figure A28. High School Event Studies: Latine Males 71
Figure A29. High School Event Studies: Latine Females 72
Figure A30. High School Event Studies: White Males 73
Figure A31. High School Event Studies: White Females 74
Figure A32. Culture of Calm (CoC) Event Studies: OSS and Arrests 75
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