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국회도서관 홈으로 정보검색 소장정보 검색

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Title page 1

Contents 1

Abstract 2

1. Introduction 5

2. Background and Context 10

3. Experimental Design 11

3.1. Treatment 11

3.2. Sampling Frame 14

3.3. Timeline 15

3.4. Assignment to Treatment 16

3.5. Data 18

4. Empirical Strategy 20

5. Results 22

5.1. Program Impacts on Skills 22

5.2. Program Impacts on Income Generation 24

5.3. Impacts on Income Volatility 30

5.4. Program Impacts on Income Use 31

5.5. Quantifying Spillovers 35

6. Discussion and Conclusion 38

References 40

Appendix A. Variable definitions 44

Appendix B. Supporting Figures and Tables 50

Appendix C. SMS LASSO and Photobook Weights 61

Appendix D. Robustness 64

Tables 23

Table 1. ITT Effects: Skills 23

Table 2. ITT Effects on Business Outcomes: Extensive Margin 25

Table 3. ITT Effects on Business Outcomes: Intensive Margin 27

Table 4. ITT Effects on Employment Outcomes 29

Table 5. ITT Effects on Savings and Re-Investments Outcomes 32

Table 6. ITT Effects on Household Outcomes 34

Table 7. Spillover Effects on Business Outcomes at Endline 36

Figures 31

Figure 1. Reactions to COVID-19 Lockdown by Treatment Group 31

Figure 2. SMS Bi-weekly Average Reported Sales 37

Appendix Tables 51

Table A1. Balance Table 51

Table A2. Attrition 52

Table A3. Balance Table - SMS 53

Table A4. SMS Attrition 54

Table A5. Adjusted Treatment Effects on Business Outcomes Extensive Margin 55

Table A6. Adjusted Treatment Effects on Business Outcomes: Intensive Margin 56

Table A7. Adjusted Treatment Effects on Re-Investments Outcomes 57

Table A8. Adjusted Treatment Effects: Skills 58

Table A9. Adjusted Treatment Effects on Household Outcomes 59

Table A10. Lasso Selected Variables - OLS 62

Table A11. Estimated Coefficients for Photo books Weights 63

Table A12. Treatment Effects on Business Outcomes Extensive Margin - Other Specifications 65

Table A13. Treatment Effects on Business Outcomes Intensive Margin - Other Specifications 66

Table A14. Treatment Effects on Possible Mechanisms I - Other Specifications 67

Table A15. Treatment Effects on Possible Mechanisms II - Other Specifications 68

Table A16. Treatment Effects on Re-Investments - Other Specifications 69

Table A17. Treatment Effects on Household Outcomes - Other Specifications 70

Appendix Figures 50

Figure A1. Training Module Content 50

Figure A2. Project Timeline 50

Figure A3. Reactions to COVID-19 Lockdown by Treatment Group (Weighted Effects) 60

초록보기

Can skills-based programs promote women’s economic inclusion? This study randomizes access to a program teaching entrepreneurship skills in rural Uganda. The program covers record-keeping, identifying business opportunities, raising capital, and soft skills like perseverance and confidence, but it provides no access to cash or capital. Treated women are 17 percent more likely to generate income from their own businesses 18 months post-program. They heavily re-invest in their businesses. High-frequency data show that treated women also fare significantly better during the COVID-19 lockdown than women in the control group. Exploiting social network data, this paper detects positive network-based spillovers to the control group and provides novel tools to adjust estimates accordingly. Although the program is not transformative, the results indicate an important role for skills-based programming in efforts for economic inclusion among rural, low-income women.