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Title page 1
Contents 10
Report Highlights 11
CHAPTER 1: Research and Development 20
Overview 22
Chapter Highlights 23
1.1. Publications 24
Overview 24
Total Number of AI Publications 24
By Type of Publication 25
By Field of Study 26
By Sector 27
Cross-Country Collaboration 29
Cross-Sector Collaboration 31
AI Journal Publications 32
Overview 32
By Region 33
By Geographic Area 34
Citations 35
AI Conference Publications 36
Overview 36
By Region 37
By Geographic Area 38
Citations 39
AI Repositories 40
Overview 40
By Region 41
By Geographic Area 42
Citations 43
Narrative Highlight: Top Publishing Institutions 44
All Fields 44
Computer Vision 46
Natural Language Processing 47
Speech Recognition 48
1.2. Trends in Significant Machine Learning Systems 49
General Machine Learning Systems 49
System Types 49
Sector Analysis 50
National Affiliation 51
Systems 51
Authorship 53
Parameter Trends 54
Compute Trends 56
Large Language and Multimodal Models 58
National Affiliation 58
Parameter Count 60
Training Compute 61
Training Cost 62
1.3. AI Conferences 64
Conference Attendance 64
1.4. Open-Source AI Software 66
Projects 66
Stars 68
CHAPTER 2: Technical Performance 69
Overview 72
Chapter Highlights 73
2.1. What's New in 2022: A Timeline 74
2.2. Computer Vision-Image 81
Image Classification 81
ImageNet 81
Face Detection and Recognition 82
National Institute of Standards and Technology Face Recognition Vendor Test (FRVT) 83
Deepfake Detection 84
Celeb-DF 84
Human Pose Estimation 85
MPII 85
Semantic Segmentation 86
Cityscapes Challenge, Pixel-Level Semantic Labeling Task 86
Medical Image Segmentation 87
Kvasir-SEG 87
Object Detection 88
Common Objects in Context (COCO) 88
Image Generation 89
CIFAR-10 and STL-10 89
Narrative Highlight: A Closer Look at Progress in Image Generation 90
Visual Reasoning 92
Visual Question Answering (VQA) Challenge 92
Narrative Highlight: The Rise of Capable Multimodal Reasoning Systems 93
Visual Commonsense Reasoning (VCR) 95
2.3. Computer Vision-Video 96
Activity Recognition 96
Kinetics-400, Kinetics-600, Kinetics-700 96
Narrative Highlight: A Closer Look at the Progress of Video Generation 98
2.4. Language 99
English Language Understanding 99
SuperGLUE 99
Reading Comprehension Dataset Requiring Logical Reasoning (ReClor) 100
Narrative Highlight: Just How Much Better Have Language Models Become? 102
Narrative Highlight: Planning and Reasoning in Large Language Models 103
Text Summarization 104
arXiv and PubMed 104
Natural Language Inference 105
Abductive Natural Language Inference (aNLI) 105
Sentiment Analysis 106
SST-5 Fine-Grained Classification 106
Multitask Language Understanding 107
Massive Multitask Language Understanding (MMLU) 107
Machine Translation (MT) 108
Number of Commercially Available MT Systems 108
2.5. Speech 109
Speech Recognition 109
VoxCeleb 109
Narrative Highlight: Whisper 110
2.6. Reinforcement Learning 112
Reinforcement Learning Environments 112
Procgen 112
Narrative Highlight: Benchmark Saturation 114
2.7. Hardware 115
MLPerf Training 115
MLPerf Inference 117
Trends in GPUs: Performance and Price 118
2.8. Environment 120
Environmental Impact of Select Large Language Models 120
Narrative Highlight: Using AI to Optimize Energy Usage 122
2.9. AI for Science 123
Accelerating Fusion Science Through Learned Plasma Control 123
Discovering Novel Algorithms for Matrix Manipulation With AlphaTensor 123
Designing Arithmetic Circuits With Deep Reinforcement Learning 124
Unlocking de Novo Antibody Design With Generative AI 124
CHAPTER 3: Technical AI Ethics 125
Overview 128
Chapter Highlights 129
3.1. Meta-analysis of Fairness and Bias Metrics 130
Number of AI Fairness and Bias Metrics 130
Number of AI Fairness and Bias Metrics (Diagnostic Metrics Vs. Benchmarks) 131
3.2. AI Incidents 133
AI, Algorithmic, and Automation Incidents and Controversies (AIAAIC) Repository: Trends Over Time 133
AIAAIC: Examples of Reported Incidents 134
3.3. Natural Language Processing Bias Metrics 137
Number of Research Papers Using Perspective API 137
Winogender Task From the SuperGLUE Benchmark 138
Model Performance on the Winogender Task From the SuperGLUE Benchmark 138
Performance of Instruction-Tuned Models on Winogender 139
BBQ: The Bias Benchmark for Question Answering 140
Fairness and Bias Trade-Offs in NLP: HELM 142
Fairness in Machine Translation 143
RealToxicityPrompts 144
3.4. Conversational AI Ethical Issues 145
Gender Representation in Chatbots 145
Anthropomorphization in Chatbots 146
Narrative Highlight: Tricking ChatGPT 147
3.5. Fairness and Bias in Text-to-Image Models 148
Fairness in Text-to-Image Models (ImageNet Vs. Instagram) 148
VLStereoSet: StereoSet for Text-to-Image Models 150
Examples of Bias in Text-to-Image Models 152
Stable Diffusion 152
DALL-E 2 153
Midjourney 154
3.6. AI Ethics in China 155
Topics of Concern 155
Strategies for Harm Mitigation 156
Principles Referenced by Chinese Scholars in AI Ethics 157
3.7. AI Ethics Trends at FAccT and NeurIPS 158
ACM FAccT 158
Accepted Submissions by Professional Affiliation 158
Accepted Submissions by Geographic Region 159
NeurIPS 160
Real-World Impact 160
Interpretability and Explainability 161
Causal Effect and Counterfactual Reasoning 162
Privacy 163
Fairness and Bias 164
3.8. Factuality and Truthfulness 165
Automated Fact-Checking Benchmarks: Number of Citations 165
Missing Counterevidence and NLP Fact-Checking 166
TruthfulQA 167
CHAPTER 4: The Economy 168
Overview 170
Chapter Highlights 171
4.1. Jobs 173
AI Labor Demand 173
Global AI Labor Demand 173
U.S. AI Labor Demand by Skill Cluster and Specialized Skill 174
U.S. AI Labor Demand by Sector 176
U.S. AI Labor Demand by State 177
AI Hiring 180
AI Skill Penetration 182
Global Comparison: Aggregate 182
Global Comparison: By Gender 183
4.2. Investment 184
Corporate Investment 184
Startup Activity 187
Global Trend 187
Regional Comparison by Funding Amount 189
Regional Comparison by Newly Funded AI Companies 193
Focus Area Analysis 195
4.3. Corporate Activity 198
Industry Adoption 198
Adoption of AI Capabilities 198
Consideration and Mitigation of Risks From Adopting AI 206
Narrative Highlight: The Effects of GitHub's Copilot on Developer Productivity and Happiness 208
Industry Motivation 210
Perceived Importance of AI 210
AI Investments and Implementation Outcomes 211
Challenges in Starting and Scaling AI Projects 213
Earnings Calls 215
Aggregate Trends 215
Specific Themes 216
Narrative Highlight: What Are Business Leaders Actually Saying About AI? 217
Sentiment Analysis 219
4.4. Robot Installations 220
Aggregate Trends 220
Industrial Robots: Traditional Vs. Collaborative Robots 222
By Geographic Area 223
Narrative Highlight: Country-Level Data on Service Robotics 227
Sectors and Application Types 230
China Vs. United States 232
CHAPTER 5: Education 234
Overview 236
Chapter Highlights 237
5.1. Postsecondary AI Education 238
CS Bachelor's Graduates 238
CS Master's Graduates 240
CS PhD Graduates 242
CS, CE, and Information Faculty 246
Narrative Highlight: Who Funds CS Departments in the U.S.? 255
5.2. K-12 AI Education 257
United States 257
State-Level Trends 257
AP Computer Science 258
Narrative Highlight: The State of International K-12 Education 260
CHAPTER 6: Policy and Governance 263
Overview 265
Chapter Highlights 266
6.1. AI and Policymaking 267
Global Legislative Records on AI 267
By Geographic Area 269
Narrative Highlight: A Closer Look at Global AI Legislation 270
United States Federal AI Legislation 271
United States State-Level AI Legislation 272
Narrative Highlight: A Closer Look at State-Level AI Legislation 275
Global AI Mentions 276
By Geographic Area 277
Narrative Highlight: A Closer Look at Global AI Mentions 279
United States Committee Mentions 280
United States AI Policy Papers 283
By Topic 284
6.2. National AI Strategies 285
Aggregate Trends 285
By Geographic Area 285
6.3. U.S. Public Investment in AI 286
Federal Budget for Nondefense AI R&D 286
U.S. Department of Defense Budget Requests 287
U.S. Government AI-Related Contract Spending 288
Total Contract Spending 288
6.4. U.S. AI-Related Legal Cases 291
Total Cases 291
Geographic Distribution 292
Sector 293
Type of Law 294
Narrative Highlight: Three Significant AI-Related Legal Cases 295
CHAPTER 7: Diversity 296
Overview 298
Chapter Highlights 299
7.1. AI Conferences 300
Women in Machine Learning (WiML) NeurIPS Workshop 300
Workshop Participants 300
Demographic Breakdown 301
7.2. AI Postsecondary Education 305
CS Bachelor's Graduates 305
CS Master's Graduates 307
CS PhD Graduates 309
Narrative Highlight: Disability Status of CS, CE, and Information Students 311
New AI PhDs 312
CS, CE, and Information Faculty 313
7.3. K-12 Education 316
AP Computer Science: Gender 316
AP Computer Science: Ethnicity 318
CHAPTER 8:Public Opinion 319
Overview 321
Chapter Highlights 322
8.1. Survey Data 323
Global Insights 323
AI Products and Services 323
AI: Harm or Help? 327
United States 329
Narrative Highlight: How Does the Natural Language Processing (NLP) Research Community Feel About AI? 334
8.2. Social Media Data 340
Dominant Models 340
Appendix 344
Chapter 1: Research and Development 346
Chapter 2: Technical Performance 352
Chapter 3: Technical AI Ethics 363
Chapter 4: The Economy 366
Chapter 5: Education 375
Chapter 6: Policy and Governance 377
Chapter 7: Diversity 384
Chapter 8: Public Opinion 385
Figures 24
Figure 1.1.1. Number of AI Publications in the World, 2010-21 24
Figure 1.1.2. Number of AI Publications by Type, 2010-21 25
Figure 1.1.3. Number of AI Publications by Field of Study (Excluding Other AI), 2010-21 26
Figure 1.1.4. AI Publications (% of Total) by Sector, 2010-21 27
Figure 1.1.5. AI Publications (% of Total) by Sector and Geographic Area, 2021 28
Figure 1.1.6. United States and China Collaborations in AI Publications, 2010-21 29
Figure 1.1.7. Cross-Country Collaborations in AI Publications (Excluding U.S. and China), 2010-21 30
Figure 1.1.8. Cross-Sector Collaborations in AI Publications, 2010-21 31
Figure 1.1.9. Number of AI Journal Publications, 2010-21 32
Figure 1.1.10. AI Journal Publications (% of World Total) by Region, 2010-21 33
Figure 1.1.11. AI Journal Publications (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 34
Figure 1.1.12. AI Journal Citations (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 35
Figure 1.1.13. Number of AI Conference Publications, 2010-21 36
Figure 1.1.14. AI Conference Publications (% of World Total) by Region, 2010-21 37
Figure 1.1.15. AI Conference Publications (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 38
Figure 1.1.16. AI Conference Citations (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 39
Figure 1.1.17. Number of AI Repository Publications, 2010-21 40
Figure 1.1.18. AI Repository Publications (% of World Total) by Region, 2010-21 41
Figure 1.1.19. AI Repository Publications (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 42
Figure 1.1.20. AI Repository Citations (% of World Total) by Geographic Area, 2010-21 43
Figure 1.1.21. Top Ten Institutions in the World in 2021 Ranked by Number of AI Publications in All Fields, 2010-21 44
Figure 1.1.22. Top Ten Institutions in the World by Number of AI Publications in All Fields, 2021 45
Figure 1.1.23. Top Ten Institutions in the World by Number of AI Publications in Computer Vision, 2021 46
Figure 1.1.24. Top Ten Institutions in the World by Number of AI Publications in Natural Language Processing, 2021 47
Figure 1.1.25. Top Ten Institutions in the World by Number of AI Publications in Speech Recognition, 2021 48
Figure 1.2.1. Number of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Domain, 2022 49
Figure 1.2.2. Number of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Sector, 2002-22 50
Figure 1.2.3. Number of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Country, 2022 51
Figure 1.2.4. Number of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Select Geographic Area, 2002-22 51
Figure 1.2.5. Number of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Country, 2002-22 (Sum) 52
Figure 1.2.6. Number of Authors of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Country, 2022 53
Figure 1.2.7. Number of Authors of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Select Geographic Area, 2002-22 53
Figure 1.2.8. Number of Authors of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Country, 2002-22 (Sum) 53
Figure 1.2.9. Number of Parameters of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Sector, 1950-2022 54
Figure 1.2.10. Number of Parameters of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Domain, 1950-2022 55
Figure 1.2.11. Training Compute (FLOP) of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Sector, 1950-2022 56
Figure 1.2.12. Training Compute (FLOP) of Significant Machine Learning Systems by Domain, 1950-2022 57
Figure 1.2.13. Authors of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models (% of Total) by Country, 2019-22 58
Figure 1.2.14. Timeline and National Affiliation of Select Large Language and Multimodal Model Releases 59
Figure 1.2.15. Number of Parameters of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models, 2019-22 60
Figure 1.2.16. Training Compute (FLOP) of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models, 2019-22 61
Figure 1.2.17. Estimated Training Cost of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models 62
Figure 1.2.18. Estimated Training Cost of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models and Number of Parameters 63
Figure 1.2.19. Estimated Training Cost of Select Large Language and Multimodal Models and Training Compute (FLOP) 63
Figure 1.3.1. Number of Attendees at Select AI Conferences, 2010-22 64
Figure 1.3.2. Attendance at Large Conferences, 2010-22 65
Figure 1.3.3. Attendance at Small Conferences, 2010-22 65
Figure 1.4.1. Number of GitHub AI Projects, 2011-22 66
Figure 1.4.2. GitHub AI Projects (% Total) by Geographic Area, 2011-22 67
Figure 1.4.3. Number of GitHub Stars by Geographic Area, 2011-22 68
Figure 2.1.1. DeepMind Releases AlphaCode 74
Figure 2.1.2. DeepMind Trains Reinforcement Learning Agent to Control Nuclear Fusion Plasma in a Tokamak 74
Figure 2.1.3. IndicNLG Benchmarks Natural Language Generation for Indic Languages 74
Figure 2.1.4. Meta AI Releases Make-A-Scene 75
Figure 2.1.5. Google Releases PaLM 75
Figure 2.1.6. OpenAI Releases DALL-E 2 75
Figure 2.1.7. DeepMind Launches Gato 75
Figure 2.1.8. Google Releases Imagen 76
Figure 2.1.9. 442 Authors Across 132 Institutions Team Up to Launch BIG-bench 76
Figure 2.1.10. GitHub Makes Copilot Available as a Subscription-Based Service for Individual Developers 76
Figure 2.1.11. Nvidia Uses Reinforcement Learning to Design Better-Performing GPUs 77
Figure 2.1.12. Meta Announces 'No Language Left Behind' 77
Figure 2.1.13. Tsinghua Researchers Launch GLM-130B 77
Figure 2.1.14. Stability AI Releases Stable Diffusion 77
Figure 2.1.15. OpenAI Launches Whisper 78
Figure 2.1.16. Meta Releases Make-A-Video 78
Figure 2.1.17. DeepMind Launches AlphaTensor 78
Figure 2.1.18. Google Uses PaLM to Improve the Reasoning of PaLM 79
Figure 2.1.19. International Research Group Releases BLOOM 79
Figure 2.1.20. Stanford Researchers Release HELM 79
Figure 2.1.21. Meta Releases CICERO 80
Figure 2.1.22. OpenAI Launches ChatGPT 80
Figure 2.2.1. A Demonstration of Image Classification 81
Figure 2.2.2. ImageNet Challenge: Top-1 Accuracy 82
Figure 2.2.3. A Demonstration of Face Detection and Recognition 82
Figure 2.2.4. National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Face Recognition Vendor Test (FRVT) : Verification Accuracy by Dataset 83
Figure 2.2.5. Real-Life Deepfake: President Zelenskyy Calling for the Surrender of Ukrainian Soldiers 84
Figure 2.2.6. Celeb-DF: Area Under Curve Score (AUC) 84
Figure 2.2.7. A Demonstration of Human Pose Estimation 85
Figure 2.2.8. MPII: Percentage of Correct Keypoints (PCK) 85
Figure 2.2.9. A Demonstration of Semantic Segmentation 86
Figure 2.2.10. Cityscapes Challenge, Pixel-Level Semantic Labeling Task: Mean Intersection-Over-Union (mIoU) 86
Figure 2.2.11. A Demonstration of Medical Imaging Segmentation 87
Figure 2.2.12. Kvasir-SEG: Mean Dice 87
Figure 2.2.13. A Demonstration of Object Detection 88
Figure 2.2.14. COCO: Mean Average Precision (mAP50) 88
Figure 2.2.15. Which Face Is Real? 89
Figure 2.2.16. CIFAR-10 and STL-10: Fréchet Inception Distance (FID) Score 89
Figure 2.2.17. GAN Progress on Face Generation 90
Figure 2.2.18. Images Generated by DALL-E 2, Stable Diffusion and Midjourney 90
Figure 2.2.19. Notable Text-to-Image Models on MS-COCO 256 × 256 FID-30K: Fréchet Inception Distance (FID) Score 91
Figure 2.2.20. A Collection of Visual Reasoning Tasks 92
Figure 2.2.21. Visual Question Answering (VQA) V2 Test-Dev: Accuracy 92
Figure 2.2.22. BEiT-3 Vs. Previous State-of-the-Art Models 93
Figure 2.2.23. A Collection of Vision-Language Tasks 94
Figure 2.2.24. A Sample Question from the Visual Commonsense Reasoning (VCR) Challenge 95
Figure 2.2.25. Visual Commonsense Reasoning (VCR) Task: Q→AR Score 95
Figure 2.3.1. Example Classes From the Kinetics Dataset 96
Figure 2.3.2. Kinetics-400, Kinetics-600, Kinetics-700: Top-1 Accuracy 97
Figure 2.2.3. Notable Text-to-Video Models on UCF-101: Inception Score (IS) 98
Figure 2.4.1. A Set of SuperGLUE Tasks 99
Figure 2.4.2. SuperGLUE: Score 100
Figure 2.4.3. A Sample Question from the Reading Comprehension Dataset Requiring Logical Reasoning (ReClor) 100
Figure 2.4.4. Reading Comprehension Dataset Requiring Logical Reasoning (ReClor): Accuracy 101
Figure 2.4.5. Select Large Language Models on the Blocksworld Domain: Instances Correct 103
Figure 2.4.6. ArXiv and PubMed: ROUGE-1 104
Figure 2.4.7. Sample Question From the Abductive Natural Language Inference Benchmark (aNLI) 105
Figure 2.4.8. Abductive Natural Language Inference (aNLI): Accuracy 105
Figure 2.4.9. A Sample Sentence from SST 106
Figure 2.4.10. SST-5 Fine-Grained: Accuracy 106
Figure 2.4.11. Sample Questions From MMLU 107
Figure 2.4.12. MMLU: Average Weighted Accuracy 107
Figure 2.4.13. Number of Independent Machine Translation Services 108
Figure 2.5.1. VoxCeleb: Equal Error Rate (EER) 109
Figure 2.5.2. wav2vec 2.0 Large (No LM) Vs. Whisper Large V2 Across Datasets 110
Figure 2.5.3. Notable Models on X→EN Subset of CoVoST 2 110
Figure 2.5.4. Notable Speech Transcription Services on Kincaid46 111
Figure 2.5.5. Notable Models on FLEURS: Language Identification Accuracy 111
Figure 2.6.1. The Different Environments in Procgen 112
Figure 2.6.2. Procgen: Mean of Min-Max Normalized Score 113
Figure 2.6.3. Improvement Over Time on Select AI Index Technical Performance Benchmarks 114
Figure 2.7.1. MLPerf Training Time of Top Systems by Task: Minutes 115
Figure 2.7.2. MLPerf Hardware: Accelerators 116
Figure 2.7.3. MLPerf Best-Performing Hardware for Image Classification: Offline and Server Scenario 117
Figure 2.7.4. MLPerf Best-Performing Hardware for Language Processing: Offline and Server Scenario 117
Figure 2.7.5. MLPerf Best-Performing Hardware for Recommendation: Offline and Server Scenario 117
Figure 2.7.6. MLPerf Best-Performing Hardware for Speech Recognition: Offline and Server Scenario 117
Figure 2.7.7. FP32 (Single Precision) Performance (FLOP/s) by Hardware Release Date, 2003-22 118
Figure 2.7.8. Median FP32 (Single Precision) Performance (FLOP/s), 2003-22 118
Figure 2.7.9. FP32 (Single Precision) Performance (FLOP/s) per U.S. Dollar by Hardware Release Date, 2003-22 119
Figure 2.7.10. Median FP32 (Single Precision) Performance (FLOP/s) per U.S. Dollar, 2003-22 119
Figure 2.8.1. Environmental Impact of Select Machine Learning Models, 2022 120
Figure 2.8.2. CO₂ Equivalent Emissions (Tonnes) by Selected Machine Learning Models and Real Life Examples, 2022 121
Figure 2.8.3. Energy Savings Results Over Time for Select BCOOLER Experiment 122
Figure 2.9.1. Photos of the Variable Configuration Tokamak (TCV) at EPFL 123
Figure 2.9.2. A Demonstration of AlphaTensor's Matrix Manipulation Process 123
Figure 2.9.3. A Juxtaposition of Nvidia Circuits Designed by PrefixRL Vs. EDA Tools 124
Figure 2.9.4. Zero-Shot Generative AI for de Novo Antibody Design 124
Figure 3.1.1. Number of AI Fairness and Bias Metrics, 2016-22 130
Figure 3.1.2. Number of New AI Fairness and Bias Metrics (Diagnostic Metrics Vs. Benchmarks), 2016-22 132
Figure 3.2.1. Number of AI Incidents and Controversies, 2012-21 133
Figure 3.2.2. (Omit) 134
Figure 3.2.3. (Omit) 135
Figure 3.2.4. (Omit) 135
Figure 3.2.5. (Omit) 136
Figure 3.2.6. (Omit) 136
Figure 3.3.1. Number of Research Papers Using Perspective API, 2018-22 137
Figure 3.3.2. Model Performance on the Winogender Task From the SuperGLUE Benchmark 138
Figure 3.3.3. Winogender: Zero Shot Evaluation in the Generative Setting 139
Figure 3.3.4. Bias in Question Answering on BBQ by Identity Characteristic: Ambiguous Contexts 141
Figure 3.3.5. Bias in Question Answering on BBQ by Identity Characteristic: Disambiguated Contexts 141
Figure 3.3.6. Fairness and Bias Tradeoff in NLP by Scenario 142
Figure 3.3.7. Translation Misgendering Performance: Overall, "He," and "She" 143
Figure 3.3.8. RealToxicityPrompts by Model 144
Figure 3.4.1. Gender Representation in Chatbots, 2022 145
Figure 3.4.2. Characterizing Anthropomorphization in Chatbots: Results by Dataset 146
Figure 3.4.3. Tricking ChatGPT Into Building a Dirty Bomb, Part 1 147
Figure 3.4.4. Tricking ChatGPT Into Building a Dirty Bomb, Part 2 147
Figure 3.5.1. Fairness Across Age Groups for Text-to-Image Models: ImageNet Vs. Instagram 149
Figure 3.5.2. Fairness Across Gender/Skin Tone Groups for Text-to-Image Models: ImageNet Vs. Instagram 149
Figure 3.5.3. An Example From VLStereoSet 150
Figure 3.5.4. Stereotypical Bias in Text-to-Image Models on VLStereoSet by Category: Vision-Language Relevance (vlrs) Vs. Bias (vlbs) Score 151
Figure 3.5.5. Bias in Stable Diffusion 152
Figure 3.5.6. Bias in DALL-E 2 153
Figure 3.5.7. Bias in Midjourney, Part 1 154
Figure 3.5.8. Bias in Midjourney, Part 2 154
Figure 3.5.9. Bias in Midjourney, Part 3 154
Figure 3.6.1. Topics of Concern Raised in Chinese AI Ethics Papers 155
Figure 3.6.2. AI Ethics in China: Strategies for Harm Mitigation Related to AI 156
Figure 3.6.3. AI Principles Referenced by Chinese Scholars in AI Ethics 157
Figure 3.7.1. Number of Accepted FAccT Conference Submissions by Affiliation, 2018-22 158
Figure 3.7.2. Number of Accepted FAccT Conference Submissions by Region, 2018-22 159
Figure 3.7.3. NeurIPS Workshop Research Topics: Number of Accepted Papers on Real-World Impacts, 2015-22 160
Figure 3.7.4. NeurIPS Research Topics: Number of Accepted Papers on Interpretability and Explainability, 2015-22 161
Figure 3.7.5. NeurIPS Research Topics: Number of Accepted Papers on Causal Effect and Counterfactual Reasoning, 2015-22 162
Figure 3.7.6. NeurIPS Research Topics: Number of Accepted Papers on Privacy in AI, 2015-22 163
Figure 3.7.7. NeurIPS Research Topics: Number of Accepted Papers on Fairness and Bias in AI, 2015-22 164
Figure 3.8.1. Automated Fact-Checking Benchmarks: Number of Citations, 2017-22 165
Figure 3.8.2. Missing Counterevidence Renders NLP Fact-Checking Unrealistic for Misinformation 166
Figure 3.8.3. Multiple-Choice Task on TruthfulQA by Model: Accuracy 167
Figure 4.1.1. AI Job Postings (% of All Job Postings) by Geographic Area, 2014-22 173
Figure 4.1.2. AI Job Postings (% of All Job Postings) in the United States by Skill Cluster, 2010-22 174
Figure 4.1.3. Top Ten Specialized Skills in 2022 AI Job Postings in the United States, 2010-12 Vs. 2022 175
Figure 4.1.4. Top Ten Specialized Skills in 2022 AI Job Postings in the United States by Skill Share, 2010-12 Vs. 2022 175
Figure 4.1.5. AI Job Postings (% of All Job Postings) in the United States by Sector, 2021 Vs. 2022 176
Figure 4.1.6. Number of AI Job Postings in the United States by State, 2022 177
Figure 4.1.7. Percentage of U.S. States' Job Postings in AI, 2022 177
Figure 4.1.8. Percentage of United States AI Job postings by State, 2022 178
Figure 4.1.9. Percentage of U.S. States' Job Postings in AI by Select U.S. State, 2010-22 178
Figure 4.1.10. Percentage of United States AI Job Postings by Select U.S. State, 2010-22 179
Figure 4.1.11. Relative AI Hiring Index by Geographic Area, 2022 180
Figure 4.1.12. Relative AI Hiring Index by Geographic Area, 2016-22 181
Figure 4.1.13. Relative AI Skill Penetration Rate by Geographic Area, 2015-22 182
Figure 4.1.14. Relative AI Skill Penetration Rate Across Gender, 2015-22 183
Figure 4.2.1. Global Corporate Investment in AI by Investment Activity, 2013-22 184
Figure 4.2.2. Top Five AI Merger/Acquisition Investment Activities, 2022 185
Figure 4.2.3. Top Five AI Minority Stake Investment Activities, 2022 185
Figure 4.2.4. Top Five AI Private Investment Activities, 2022 186
Figure 4.2.5. Top Five AI Public Oering Investment Activities, 2022 186
Figure 4.2.6. Private Investment in AI, 2013-22 187
Figure 4.2.7. Number of Private Investment Events in AI, 2013-22 188
Figure 4.2.8. Number of Newly Funded AI Companies in the World, 2013-22 188
Figure 4.2.9. AI Private Investment Events by Funding Size, 2021 Vs. 2022 189
Figure 4.2.10. Private Investment in AI by Geographic Area, 2022 189
Figure 4.2.11. Private Investment in AI by Geographic Area, 2013-22 (Sum) 190
Figure 4.2.12. Private Investment in AI by Geographic Area, 2013-22 191
Figure 4.2.13. Top AI Private Investment Events in the United States, 2022 192
Figure 4.2.14. Top AI Private Investment Events in the European Union and United Kingdom, 2022 192
Figure 4.2.15. Top AI Private Investment Events in China, 2022 192
Figure 4.2.16. Number of Newly Funded AI Companies by Geographic Area, 2022 193
Figure 4.2.17. Number of Newly Funded AI Companies by Geographic Area, 2013-22 (Sum) 194
Figure 4.2.18. Number of Newly Funded AI Companies by Geographic Area, 2013-22 194
Figure 4.2.19. Private Investment in AI by Focus Area, 2021 Vs. 2022 195
Figure 4.2.20. Private Investment in AI by Focus Area, 2017-22 196
Figure 4.2.21. Private Investment in AI by Focus Area and Geographic Area, 2017-22 197
Figure 4.3.1. Share of Respondents Who Say Their Organizations Have Adopted AI in at Least One Function, 2017-22 198
Figure 4.3.2. Average Number of AI Capabilities That Respondents' Organizations Have Embedded Within at Least One Function or Business Unit, 2018-22 199
Figure 4.3.3. Most Commonly Adopted AI Use Cases by Function, 2022 200
Figure 4.3.4. AI Capabilities Embedded in at Least One Function or Business Unit, 2022 201
Figure 4.3.5. AI Adoption by Industry and Function, 2022 202
Figure 4.3.6. Percentage Point Change in Responses of AI Adoption by Industry and Function 2021 Vs. 2022 203
Figure 4.3.7. Cost Decrease and Revenue Increase From AI Adoption by Function, 2021 204
Figure 4.3.8. AI Adoption by Organizations in the World, 2021 Vs. 2022 205
Figure 4.3.9. Risks From Adopting AI That Organizations Consider Relevant, 2019-22 206
Figure 4.3.10. Risks From Adopting AI That Organizations Take Steps to Mitigate, 2019-22 207
Figure 4.3.11. Measuring Dimensions of Developer Productivity When Using Copilot: Survey Responses, 2022 209
Figure 4.3.12. Summary of the Experiment Process and Results 209
Figure 4.3.13. Importance of AI Solutions for Organizations' Overall Success 210
Figure 4.3.14. Believe AI Enhances Performance and Job Satisfaction, 2022 210
Figure 4.3.15. Expected AI Investment Increase in the Next Fiscal Year 211
Figure 4.3.16. Main Outcomes of AI Implementation, 2022 212
Figure 4.3.17. Top Three Challenges in Starting AI Projects, 2022 213
Figure 4.3.18. Main Barriers in Scaling AI Initiatives, 2022 214
Figure 4.3.19. Number of Fortune 500 Earnings Calls Mentioning AI, 2018-22 215
Figure 4.3.20. Themes for AI Mentions in Fortune 500 Earnings Calls, 2018 Vs. 2022 216
Figure 4.3.21. Sentiment Summary Distribution for AI Mentions in Fortune 500 Earnings Calls by Publication Date, 2018-22 219
Figure 4.4.1. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in the World, 2011-21 220
Figure 4.4.2. Operational Stock of Industrial Robots in the World, 2011-21 221
Figure 4.4.3. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in the World by Type, 2017-21 222
Figure 4.4.4. Number of Industrial Robots Installed by Country, 2021 223
Figure 4.4.5. Number of New Industrial Robots Installed in Top Five Countries, 2011-21 224
Figure 4.4.6. Number of Industrial Robots Installed (China Vs. Rest of the World), 2016-21 225
Figure 4.4.7. Annual Growth Rate of Industrial Robots Installed by Country, 2020 Vs. 2021 226
Figure 4.4.8. Service Robots in Medicine 227
Figure 4.4.9. Service Robots in Professional Cleaning 227
Figure 4.4.10. Service Robots in Maintenance and Inspection 227
Figure 4.4.11. Number of Professional Service Robots Installed in the World by Application Area, 2020 Vs. 2021 228
Figure 4.4.12. Number of Professional Service Robot Manufacturers in Top Countries by Type of Company, 2022 229
Figure 4.4.13. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in the World by Sector, 2019-21 230
Figure 4.4.14. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in the World by Application, 2019-21 231
Figure 4.4.15. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in China by Sector, 2019-21 232
Figure 4.4.16. Number of Industrial Robots Installed in the United States by Sector, 2019-21 233
Figure 5.1.1. New CS Bachelor's Graduates in North America, 2010-21 238
Figure 5.1.2. New International CS Bachelor's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 239
Figure 5.1.3. New CS Master's Graduates in North America, 2010-21 240
Figure 5.1.4. New International CS Master's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 241
Figure 5.1.5. New CS PhD Graduates in North America, 2010-21 242
Figure 5.1.6. New International CS PhD Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 243
Figure 5.1.7. New CS PhD Students (% of Total) Specializing in AI, 2010-21 244
Figure 5.1.8. Employment of New AI PhDs in North America by Sector, 2010-21 245
Figure 5.1.9. Employment of New AI PhDs (% of Total) in North America by Sector, 2010-21 245
Figure 5.1.10. Number of CS, CE, and Information Faculty in North America, 2011-21 246
Figure 5.1.11. Number of CS Faculty in the United States, 2011-21 247
Figure 5.1.12. New CS, CE, and Information Faculty Hires in North America, 2011-21 248
Figure 5.1.13. Source of New Faculty in North American CS, CE, and Information Departments, 2011-21 249
Figure 5.1.14. Share of Filled New CS, CE, and Information Faculty Positions in North America, 2011-21 250
Figure 5.1.15. Reason Why New CS, CE, and Information Faculty Positions Remained Uufilled (% OF Total), 2011-21 251
Figure 5.1.16. Median Nine-Month Salary of CS Faculty in United States, 2015-21 252
Figure 5.1.17. New International CS, CE, and Information Tenure-Track Faculty Hires (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 253
Figure 5.1.18. Faculty Losses in North American CS, CE, and Information Departments, 2011-21 254
Figure 5.1.19. External Funding Sources (% of Total) of CS Departments in United States, 2003-21 255
Figure 5.1.20. Median Total Expenditure From External Sources for Computing Research of U.S. CS Departments, 2011-21 256
Figure 5.2.1. States Requiring That All High Schools Offer a Computer Science Course, 2022 257
Figure 5.2.2. Public High Schools Teaching Computer Science (% of Total in State), 2022 257
Figure 5.2.3. Number of AP Computer Science Exams Taken, 2007-21 258
Figure 5.2.4. Number of AP Computer Science Exams Taken, 2021 259
Figure 5.2.5. Number of AP Computer Science Exams Taken per 100,000 Inhabitants, 2021 259
Figure 5.2.6. Government Implementation of AI Curricula by Country, Status, and Education Level 260
Figure 5.2.7. Time Allocated (% of Total) in K-12 AI Curricula by Topic, 2022 261
Figure 6.1.1. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law by Country, 2016-22 267
Figure 6.1.2. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in 127 Select Countries, 2016-22 268
Figure 6.1.3. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in Select Countries, 2022 269
Figure 6.1.4. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in Select Countries, 2016-22 (Sum) 269
Figure 6.1.5. AI-Related Legislation From Select Countries, 2022 270
Figure 6.1.6. Number of AI-Related Bills in the United States, 2015-22 (Proposed Vs. Passed) 271
Figure 6.1.7. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in Select U.S. States, 2022 272
Figure 6.1.8. Number of AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in Select U.S. States, 2016-22 (Sum) 273
Figure 6.1.9. Number of State-Level AI-Related Bills Passed Into Law in the United States by State, 2016-22 (Sum) 273
Figure 6.1.10. Number of State-Level AI-Related Bills in the United States, 2015-22 (Proposed Vs. Passed) 274
Figure 6.1.11. AI-Related Legislation From Select States, 2022 275
Figure 6.1.12. Number of Mentions of AI in Legislative Proceedings in 81 Select Countries, 2016-22 276
Figure 6.1.13. Number of Mentions of AI in Legislative Proceedings by Country, 2022 277
Figure 6.1.14. Number of Mentions of AI in Legislative Proceedings by Country, 2016-22 (Sum) 278
Figure 6.1.15. AI-Related Parliamentary Men tions From Select Countries, 2022 279
Figure 6.1.16. Mentions of AI in U.S. Committee Reports by Legislative Session, 2001-22 280
Figure 6.1.17. Mentions of AI in Committee Reports of the U.S. House of Representatives for the 117th Congressional Session, 2021-22 281
Figure 6.1.18. Mentions of AI in Committee Reports of the U.S. Senate for the 117th Congressional Session, 2021-22 281
Figure 6.1.19. Mentions of AI in Committee Reports of the U.S. Senate, 2001-22 (Sum) 282
Figure 6.1.20. Mentions of AI in Committee Reports of the U.S. House of Representatives, 2001-22 (Sum) 282
Figure 6.1.21. Number of AI-Related Policy Papers by U.S.-Based Organizations, 2018-22 283
Figure 6.1.22. Number of AI-Related Policy Papers by U.S.-Based Organization by Topic, 2022 284
Figure 6.2.1. Yearly Release of AI National Strategies by Country 285
Figure 6.2.2. Countries With a National Strategy on AI, 2022 285
Figure 6.2.3. AI National Strategies in Development by Country and Year 285
Figure 6.3.1. U.S. Federal Budget for Nondefense AI R&D, FY 2018-23 286
Figure 6.3.2. U.S. DoD Budget Request for AI-Specific Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation (RDT&E), FY 2020-23 287
Figure 6.3.3. U.S. Government Spending by Segment, FY 2017-22 288
Figure 6.3.4. U.S. Government Spending by Segment, FY 2021 Vs. 2022 289
Figure 6.3.5. Total Value of Contracts, Grants, and OTAs Awarded by the U.S. Government for AI/ML and Autonomy, FY 2017-22 290
Figure 6.4.1. Number of AI-Related Legal Cases in the United States, 2000-22 291
Figure 6.4.2. Number of AI-Related Legal Cases in the United States by State, 2022 292
Figure 6.4.3. Number of AI-Related Legal Cases in the United States by State, 2000-22 (Sum) 293
Figure 6.4.4. Sector at Issue in AI-Related Legal Cases in the United States, 2022 293
Figure 6.4.5. Area of Law of AI-Related Legal Cases in the United States, 2022 294
Figure 7.1.1. Attendance at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning Workshop, 2010-22 300
Figure 7.1.2. Continent of Residence of Participants at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning Workshop, 2022 301
Figure 7.1.3. Gender Breakdown of Participants at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning Workshop, 2022 302
Figure 7.1.4. Professional Positions of Participants at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning Workshop, 2022 303
Figure 7.1.5. Primary Subject Area of Submissions at NeurIPS Women in Machine Learning Workshop, 2022 304
Figure 7.2.1. Gender of New CS Bachelor's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 305
Figure 7.2.2. Ethnicity of New Resident CS Bachelor's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 306
Figure 7.2.3. Gender of New CS Master's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 307
Figure 7.2.4. Ethnicity of New Resident CS Master's Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 308
Figure 7.2.5. Gender of New CS PhD Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 309
Figure 7.2.6. Ethnicity of New Resident CS PhD Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 310
Figure 7.2.7. CS, CE, and Information Students (% of Total) With Disability Accomodations in North America, 2021 311
Figure 7.2.8. Gender of New AI PhD Graduates (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 312
Figure 7.2.9. Gender of CS, CE, and Information Faculty (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 313
Figure 7.2.10. Gender of New CS, CE, and Information Faculty Hires (% of Total) in North America, 2011-21 314
Figure 7.2.11. Ethnicity of Resident CS, CE, and Information Faculty (% of Total) in North America, 2010-21 315
Figure 7.3.1. AP Computer Science Exams Taken (% of Total) by Gender, 2007-21 316
Figure 7.3.2. AP Computer Science Exams Taken by Female Students (% of Total), 2021 317
Figure 7.3.3. AP Computer Science Exams Taken (% of Total Responding Students) by Race/Ethnicity, 2007-21 318
Figure 8.1.1. Global Opinions on Products and Services Using AI (% of Total), 2022 323
Figure 8.1.2. 'Products and services using AI have more benefits than drawbacks,' by Country (% of Total), 2022 324
Figure 8.1.3. Opinions About AI by Country (% Agreeing With Statement), 2022 325
Figure 8.1.4. Opinions About AI by Demographic Group (% Agreeing With Statement), 2022 326
Figure 8.1.5. Views on Whether AI Will 'Mostly Help' or 'Mostly Harm' People in the Next 20 Years Overall and by Gender (% of Total), 2021 327
Figure 8.1.6. Views on Whether AI Will 'Mostly Help' or 'Mostly Harm' People in the Next 20 Years by Region: Ratio of 'Mostly Help'/'Mostly Harm', 2021 328
Figure 8.1.7. Perceptions of the Safety of Self-Driving Cars (% of Total), 2021 328
Figure 8.1.8. Americans' Feelings Toward Increased Use of AI Programs in Daily Life (% of Total), 2022 329
Figure 8.1.9. Americans' Feelings on Potential AI Applications (% of Total), 2022 329
Figure 8.1.10. Americans' Perceptions of Specific AI Use Cases (% of Total), 2022 330
Figure 8.1.11. Main Reason Americans Are Concerned About AI (% of Total), 2022 331
Figure 8.1.12. Main Reason Americans Are Excited About AI (% of Total), 2022 332
Figure 8.1.13. People Whose Experiences and Views Are Considered in the Design of AI Systems (% of Total), 2022 333
Figure 8.1.14. State of the Field According to the NLP Community, 2022 334
Figure 8.1.15. Language Understanding According to the NLP Community, 2022 335
Figure 8.1.16. Ethics According to the NLP Community, 2022 336
Figure 8.1.17. Artifiial General Intelligence (AGI) and Major Risks According to the NLP Community, 2022 337
Figure 8.1.18. Promising Research Programs According to the NLP Community, 2022 338
Figure 8.1.19. Scale, Inductive Bias, and Adjacent Fields According to the NLP Community, 2022 339
Figure 8.2.1. Net Sentiment Score of AI Models by Quarter, 2022 341
Figure 8.2.2. Select Models' Share of AI Social Media Attention by Quarter, 2022 343
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