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Title page 1
Contents 3
Overview 4
Analysis 7
1. Pacific Islands aid falls to pre-pandemic levels amid steep lending contraction 7
2. Australia holds the line despite aid retreat by Western donors 8
3. Impact of USAID cuts overstated but compounds US reputational freefall 10
4. China's aid model grows more sophisticated with record grants and grassroots projects 11
5. Strategic infrastructure spending booms as health and education support slides 12
Cross-cutting priorities: climate, gender equality, and disability inclusion 14
Country profiles 18
COOK ISLANDS 18
FEDERATED STATES OF MICRONESIA 20
FIJI 22
KIRIBATI 24
MARSHALL ISLANDS 26
NAURU 28
NIUE 30
PALAU 32
PAPUA NEW GUINEA 34
SAMOA 36
SOLOMON ISLANDS 38
TONGA 40
TUVALU 42
VANUATU 44
REGIONAL INITIATIVES 46
Methodology 47
Notes 49
About the authors 51
Figures 4
FIGURE 1. Official development finance to the Pacific, by type 4
FIGURE 2. Official development finance to the Pacific, Australia vs bilateral donors 5
FIGURE 3. Official development finance to the Pacific, by type 7
FIGURE 4. Official development finance to the Pacific, by recipient 8
FIGURE 5. Projected official development finance to the Pacific 8
FIGURE 6. Official development finance to the Pacific, Australia vs bilateral donors 9
FIGURE 7. US official development finance to the Pacific, annual average 2008-23 10
FIGURE 8. China's official development finance to the Pacific 11
FIGURE 9. China's project size and volume 11
FIGURE 10. External public debt service payments for Pacific countries 12
FIGURE 11. Strategic infrastructure official development finance 12
FIGURE 12. Sources of bilateral debt in the Pacific 13
FIGURE 13. Infrastructure vs education and health official development finance 13
FIGURE 14. Climate official development finance, by type 14
FIGURE 15. Climate official development finance, by sector 14
FIGURE 16. Largest climate official development finance providers to the Pacific 2008-23 15
FIGURE 17. Gender equality official development finance, by type 15
FIGURE 18. Gender equality official development finance, by sector 16
FIGURE 19. Largest gender equality official development finance providers to the Pacific 2008-23 16
FIGURE 20. Disability inclusion official development finance, by type 17
FIGURE 21. Largest disability inclusion official development finance providers to the Pacific 2008-23 17
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