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Title page 1
Contents 4
Abbreviations 6
Acknowledgments 7
Executive Summary 8
ONE. Introduction: why energy cost shares matter 13
1.1. The purpose of this report 15
TWO. Dataset overview 17
THREE. Evolution of energy cost shares 21
FOUR. Energy prices, cost shares, and policy signals 27
4.1. Energy cost share and energy price 28
4.2. Energy cost share and economic activity 31
4.3. Adjustment and absorption over time 32
4.4. Heterogeneity of results 33
4.5. Energy efficiency policies 37
FIVE. Implications for energy subsidy reforms 41
SIX. Conclusions 49
6.1. Summary of main findings 50
6.2. Key takeaways 51
6.3. Areas for future research 53
Appendix 1: Methodology 56
Appendix 2: Datasets 60
Appendix 3: Results including RISE index 64
Appendix 4: Sensitivity analysis 65
References 67
Tables 5
TABLE 2.1. Scope and coverage of the dataset 18
TABLE 4.1. Estimates of the baseline model for energy cost share 29
TABLE 4.2. Heterogeneous response of energy cost shares to price changes 34
Figures 5
FIGURE 3.1. Global end-use energy prices (weighted by energy consumption) and cost shares, across countries with data for the full 40-year period 22
FIGURE 3.2. Relationship between average national energy prices and energy cost shares 23
FIGURE 3.3. Relationship between average energy prices and energy cost shares for groups of countries, based on factors of interest 25
Appendix Tables 60
TABLE A2.1. Scope and coverage of the dataset 60
TABLE A3.1. Models incorporating energy efficiency indices 64
TABLE A4.1. Results for the energy cost shares model (equation 6) across samples 65
TABLE A4.2. Results from the energy cost shares model (equation 6) with varying number of lags for the price variable 66
TABLE A4.3. Results from the energy cost shares model (equation 6) when cross-sectionally demeaning the dependent variable, without... 66
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