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Title page 1
Contents 6
Abstract/Résumé/Resumen 4
Introduction 7
Data and methods 8
Drought severity, exposure, and vulnerability across regions 10
Evolution and persistence of drought severity over time 15
Nowcasting drought conditions 19
Conclusions 21
References 23
Annex A. High significant correlation between NDVI and NDWI 25
Annex B. The sub-monthly severity of drought does not change overall 26
Figure 1. Vegetation and water conditions in Mexico (2024) 11
Figure 2. Drought severity across Mexican states (2024) 11
Figure 3. Drought severity across Queretaro municipalities (2024) 12
Figure 4. Drought severity by GDP and population across Mexican States (2024) 13
Figure 5. Drought severity by GDP per capita and population across Mexican States (2024) 13
Figure 6. Drought severity by productivity and employment across Mexican States (2024) 14
Figure 7. Evapotranspiration levels across Mexican states (2024) 15
Figure 8. Evolution of drought severity by state between 2000 and 2024 16
Figure 9. Persistence of drought vulnerability drought across Mexican states between 2000 and 2024 16
Figure 10. Distribution of drought severity between 2000 and 2024 17
Figure 11. Drought frequency and intensity in Mexico (2000-2024) 18
Figure 12. Monthly drought severity across Mexican states (2020-2024) 18
Figure 13. Climatic conditions in Mexico, 2025 19
Figure 14. Drought severity would not change for most of Mexican states in 2025 20
Figure 15. The monthly severity of drought does not change overall for the most exposed Mexican states in 2025 21
Figure A 1. High significant correlation between NDVI and NDWI across states of Mexico in 2024 25
Figure A 2. 8 days drought severity in Zacatecas (January 1 to October 24, 2025) 26
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