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Title page 1
Contents 3
Abstract 1
1. Introduction 5
2. The data 6
Legal status pathways across host countries 9
Empirical approach 9
3. Legal status and labor market outcomes 11
4. Legal status and settlement intentions 12
The role of labor market integration 13
5. Policy implications 15
References 17
Appendix 1. Data collection process 19
Sampling design and quotas 19
Recruitment and respondent experience 20
Screening, attention checks, and exclusions 21
Legal status measurement and over-reporting risk 21
Survey instrument 21
Appendix 2. Descriptive statistics 25
Appendix 3. Sample composition 25
Appendix 4. Sample definition and variable construction 26
Sample restrictions 26
Main explanatory variable 26
Outcome variables 26
Interaction models 27
Appendix 5. Regression results 27
Appendix 6. Robustness: Alternative variable definitions 28
Appendix 7. Robustness: Restricted country sample 29
Appendix 8. Robustness: Wild cluster bootstrap inference 31
Appendix 9. Robustness: Leave-one-out estimates 32
Appendix 10. Unadjusted maps 33
FIGURE 1. Key variables by host country (adjusted) 8
FIGURE 2. Legal status and labor market outcomes: estimated gaps 11
FIGURE 3. Cross-country relationship between labor market outcomes and settlement intentions 13
FIGURE 4. How labor market outcomes modify the link between legal status and wanting to stay 14
FIGURE A7.1. Legal status and labor market outcomes (5-country sample) 30
FIGURE A7.2. Interaction effects on wanting to stay (5-country sample) 30
FIGURE A9.1. Leave-one-out estimates: legal status and labor market outcomes 33
FIGURE A10.1. Key variables by host country (unadjusted) 34
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