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Title page 1
Contents 5
Disclaimers 2
Abstract 3
Foreword 4
Executive summary 7
1. Introduction 9
2. Landscape of cyber incidents 11
2.1. Compositional shift in cyber incidents among supply chain and financial institutions 12
2.2. Security holes and cyber vulnerabilities 13
3. Emerging geopolitical risks and cybersecurity in supply chains 15
3.1. Shifts in motivations and actors 15
3.2. Geopolitical landscape and strategic targeting 17
3.3. Geopolitical risks and cyber incidents 18
3.4. Global cybersecurity and supply chain 19
3.5. Economic security considerations and broader market confidence 20
4. Cyber-attacks and damage analysis 23
4.1. Layered dimensions of damage 23
4.2. Systemic effects and contagion risks 23
4.3. Early warning system, stress testing and modelling techniques 24
4.4. Emerging technology and cyber shock analysis 24
5. Policy implications 27
5.1. Enhancing international co-operation 27
5.2. Private sector engagement and public-private partnerships 27
5.3. Third-party Issues among financial institutions 28
5.4. Strengthening monitoring and evaluation 28
References 29
Annex A. Typology of cyber risks in the financial system and selected examples 37
Annex B. Supply chain vulnerabilities and systemic risks in ASEAN 39
Annex C. Cyber regulatory framework in ASEAN 42
Annex D. Credit risk premium and stress analysis 46
Notes 48
Figure 1. Number of cyber incidents across G7 countries 12
Figure 2. Breakdown of cyber incidents in G7 countries 13
Figure 3. Intersection of three drivers of cyber vulnerabilities 14
Figure 4. Crypto hacking activity by year: Total value stolen and number of incidents (2015-2024) 16
Figure 5. Number of cyber incidents 18
Figure 6. Geopolitical risks and cyber incidents across OECD countries 19
Figure 7. Financial institutions: rising third-party (vendor) exposure in cyber incidents 20
Figure 8. Share of cyber incidents by region 22
Boxes 16
Box 1. Crypto security in a fragmented world 16
Box 2. Geopolitical and systemic risks in ASEAN 21
Box 3. Towards systemic cyber resilience and governance in finance 25
Figure A B.1. Breakdown of cyber incidents across ASEAN member states 39
Figure A B.2. Cybersecurity survey in ASEAN 40
Figure A D.1. Credit risk premium amplification due to banking cyber risks and during market stress periods among G7 countries 47
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