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Title page 1

Contents 3

Acronyms and Abbreviations 5

Acknowledgments 12

Overview 13

Digital Trade: Accelerating Transformation in Latin America and the Caribbean 14

Digital trade: Harnessing opportunities for all 16

Extra- vs. intraregional digital trade: Untapped opportunities for regional integration 17

Unlocking the potential of digital trade in LAC 20

The way forward 33

References 35

Chapter 1. The Current State of Digital Trade in Latin America and the Caribbean 38

Introduction 39

Defining digital trade 39

How digital trade benefits economies 42

Digital trade in LAC: Trends over the past 20 years 44

Conclusion 73

References 74

Chapter 2. Enabling Digital Trade: Key Drivers and Constraints 79

Introduction 80

Trade regimes in backbone goods and services sectors 83

Policies and regulations governing digital trade 90

Digital infrastructure and connectivity 103

Digital payments, including cross-border payments 110

Logistics, customs, and other border processes for e-commerce 112

Information frictions and export promotion policies 116

Firms' capabilities and skills for digital trade 117

Access to finance for digitally oriented firms 127

Conclusion 128

References 129

Chapter 3. Policy Recommendations and the Way Forward 133

Introduction 134

Policy recommendations 134

The way forward: Harnessing international cooperation to fuel LAC's digital trade 140

Conclusion 153

References 154

Appendix 155

Tables 10

TABLE 2.1. Adherence of LAC WTO Members to the GATS Telecom Reference Paper and to Services Domestic Regulation disciplines 90

TABLE 3.1. Participation of LAC WTO Members in the Joint Statement Initiatives on e-commerce and investment facilitation for development 150

Figures 7

FIGURE O.1. Digitally delivered services exports in LAC countries, 2005-2024 15

FIGURE O.2. Share of intraregional digitally deliverable services exports in total digitally deliverable services exports, 2023 18

FIGURE O.3. Key sources and destinations of inbound and outbound web traffic to LAC e-commerce platforms, 2023 19

FIGURE O.4. Fixed-line, mobile, and computer services trade restrictions indexes for LAC countries 21

FIGURE O.5. Regulatory readiness for digital trade in LAC 23

FIGURE O.6. Share of population using the internet in LAC, 2024 26

FIGURE O.7. Share of STEM graduates over all tertiary graduates by region and STEM category, 2021 31

FIGURE O.8. Number of digital businesses relative to population and GDP per capita in LAC, 2022-2024 32

FIGURE 1.1. Digitally delivered services exports in LAC countries, 2005-2024 44

FIGURE 1.2. Growth of LAC's digitally delivered services, other services, and goods exports, 2005-2024 (index 2005 = 100) 45

FIGURE 1.3. Share of digitally delivered services in services exports by country, 2005 vs. 2024 (% share) 46

FIGURE 1.4. Digitally delivered services exports by country, 2024 (% of GDP) 47

FIGURE 1.5. Digitally delivered services exports by region, 2005-2024 (billions of US$ and % shares) 57

FIGURE 1.6. Structure of LAC's exports of digitally delivered services, 2005 and 2024 (% shares) 57

FIGURE 1.7. Share of information and communication industry value-added in LAC manufacturing and services gross exports 59

FIGURE 1.8. LAC trade balance in digitally delivered services, 2005-2024 60

FIGURE 1.9. Share of traffic originating abroad on e-commerce platforms in LAC, 2019 and 2023 (% shares) 61

FIGURE 1.10. Share of intraregional digitally deliverable services exports in total digitally deliverable services exports, 2023 65

FIGURE 1.11. Share of digitally deliverable services trade across LAC's top 10 trade partners, 2023 (% shares) 66

FIGURE 1.12. Exports of digitally deliverable services of subregional blocs to LAC, 2023 (% share in LAC total) 67

FIGURE 1.13. Share of subregional and other intra-LAC exports in total digitally deliverable services exports, 2023 (% shares) 68

FIGURE 1.14. Key sources and destinations of inbound and outbound LAC e-commerce traffic, 2023 (% shares) 70

FIGURE 1.15. Direction of LAC economies' cross-border website traffic by region, 2023 (% shares) 72

FIGURE 2.1. Average most-favored-nation applied duties on ICT goods in LAC, 2024 83

FIGURE 2.2. Average most-favored-nation bound duties on ICT goods in LAC, 2024 84

FIGURES 2.3. Openness of digital trade-enabling service sectors in LAC, OECD economies, and globally, by sector 86

FIGURES 2.4. LAC's commitments in digital trade-enabling services, by sector (% shares) 88

FIGURE 2.5. Average mode 1 STRIs in digitally deliverable services (LAC, OECD economies, and global average) 91

FIGURE 2.6. Level of GATS mode 1 commitments in select digitally deliverable services (% shares of total commitments) 92

FIGURE 2.7. Digital trade regulation readiness: country scores by LAC subregion 95

FIGURE 2.8. Types of e-signatures in LAC 97

FIGURE 2.9. Intermediary liability requirements in LAC countries 101

FIGURE 2.10. Percentage of population using the internet in LAC countries, 2024 (% share) 104

FIGURE 2.11. Fixed broadband household penetration and distribution of technologies in LAC countries, 2024 (% shares) 106

FIGURE 2.12. Adults in LAC with a transaction account, 2011-2024 110

FIGURE 2.13. LAC countries' logistics performance scores 113

FIGURE 2.14. LAC countries' current rate of implementation commitments of the WTO, TFA 115

FIGURE 2.15. UN trade facilitation scores in LAC countries and developed economies, 2023 (composite score, maximum = 500%) 116

FIGURE 2.16. Managerial capabilities and income levels in LAC and globally, 2004-2022 119

FIGURE 2.17. Comparison of self-reported and externally evaluated management practices in LAC and global firms 120

FIGURE 2.18. Number of digital businesses relative to GDP per capita in LAC, 2022-2024 121

FIGURES 2.19. Funded businesses in applied tech and deep tech in LAC and UMICs, 1971-2022 123

FIGURE 2.20. Share of STEM graduates among tertiary graduates, LAC and global regions 125

FIGURE 2.21. Equity investment in digital firms, LAC, 2022-2024 127

FIGURE 3.1. Participation of LAC countries in RTAs with provisions on digital trade 152

Boxes 11

BOX 1.1. Data sources for digital trade 40

BOX 1.2. Simulations of new technologies and digitalization in LAC 48

BOX 1.3. Artificial intelligence and digital trade 51

BOX 1.4. The rise of creative industries in LAC 53

BOX 1.5. Costa Rica's digitally delivered services export boom 55

BOX 1.6. Growth of cross-border digital sales in the Southern Cone 63

BOX 1.7. The importance of intraregional market for Pacific Alliance digital services exporters 69

BOX 2.1. Enabling factors for digitally delivered services trade 81

BOX 2.2. The impact of digital infrastructure and regulation on trade costs in Latin America and the Caribbean 108

BOX 2.3. Strengthening subregional cross-border payment infrastructure in Central America 111

Box Figures 7

FIGURE A. Projected annual growth rate in digitally deliverable services exports, 2023-2040 49

FIGURE B. Projected annual growth rate of exports from Latin American regions between 2023 and 2040 50

FIGURE C. Export activity by online presence and firm size (% of firms that export) 63

FIGURE D. Estimated average impact of select determinants on services and digitally delivered services exports (% shares) 82

FIGURE E. Estimated average reduction in trade costs in LAC 108

Appendix Tables 10

APPENDIX TABLE A.1. IDB- and World Bank-supported interventions relevant to determinants of digital trade 156