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Title page 1

Contents 3

Acknowledgements 2

Foreword 4

Introduction 5

Strategic competition and critical minerals 7

Darwin Dialogue 2026 aims for aligned industrial strategy 7

Just what we need: US calls key countries together on critical minerals 8

Indonesia's critical minerals push is key to defence self-reliance 9

Australian innovation is needed to break China's grip on critical minerals 10

To avoid a Ukraine-style quid pro quo, Australia needs to work with the US on critical minerals 11

Australia can reap the benefits of critical-minerals rivalry 12

For critical minerals, Darwin's the place to be 13

Just like fuel, fertiliser supply chains are a hidden vulnerability 15

EU and US critical-minerals strategies: same goal, different methods 16

Financing the midstream 18

Critical minerals need reliable financing frameworks 18

To secure mineral demand, align with original equipment manufacturers 19

Australia can narrow India's mine-to-magnet gap 20

Governance, communities and industrial legitimacy 22

Building stronger governance for Australia's critical-minerals future 22

Speed without shortcuts: minerals permitting can be a competitive advantage 23

About the authors 25