https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/099108406102514189
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Title page 1
Contents 6
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS 10
FOREWORD 11
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 13
ABBREVIATIONS 15
CHAPTER 1. GLOBAL OUTLOOK 16
Summary 17
Global context 22
Global trade 22
Commodity markets 23
Global inflation 24
Global financial developments 25
Major economies: Recent developments and outlook 26
Advanced economies 26
China 28
Emerging market and developing economies 29
Recent developments 29
EMDE outlook 30
LICs outlook 32
Per capita income growth 38
Global outlook and risks 45
Summary of global outlook 45
Risks to the outlook 45
Policy challenges 52
Key global challenges 52
EMDE monetary and financial policy challenges 54
EMDE fiscal policy challenges 55
EMDE structural policy challenges 57
References 61
CHAPTER 2. REGIONAL OUTLOOKS 65
EAST ASIA and PACIFIC 66
Recent developments 66
Outlook 67
Risks 69
EUROPE and CENTRAL ASIA 73
Recent developments 73
Outlook 74
Risks 77
LATIN AMERICA and THE CARIBBEAN 81
Recent developments 81
Outlook 82
Risks 85
MIDDLE EAST and NORTH AFRICA 89
Recent developments 89
Outlook 90
Risks 93
SOUTH ASIA 97
Recent developments 97
Outlook 98
Risks 100
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 104
Recent developments 104
Outlook 105
Risks 108
References 111
STATISTICAL APPENDIX 113
DATA AND FORECAST CONVENTIONS 118
SELECTED TOPICS 7
Tables 8
TABLE 1.1. Real GDP 18
TABLE 1.2. Emerging market and developing economies 60
TABLE 2.1.1. East Asia and Pacific forecast summary 71
TABLE 2.1.2. East Asia and Pacific country forecasts 72
TABLE 2.2.1. Europe and Central Asia forecast summary 79
TABLE 2.2.2. Europe and Central Asia country forecasts 80
TABLE 2.3.1. Latin America and the Caribbean forecast summary 87
TABLE 2.3.2. Latin America and the Caribbean country forecasts 88
TABLE 2.4.1. Middle East and North Africa forecast summary 95
TABLE 2.4.2. Middle East and North Africa economy forecasts 96
TABLE 2.5.1. South Asia forecast summary 103
TABLE 2.5.2. South Asia country forecasts 103
TABLE 2.6.1. Sub-Saharan Africa forecast summary 109
TABLE 2.6.2. Sub-Saharan Africa country forecasts 110
Figures 7
FIGURE 1.1. Global economic prospects 19
FIGURE 1.2. Global economic prospects (continued) 20
FIGURE 1.3. Global trade 23
FIGURE 1.4. Commodity markets 24
FIGURE 1.5. Global inflation 25
FIGURE 1.6. Global financial developments 26
FIGURE 1.7. Major economies: Recent developments and outlook 27
FIGURE 1.8. Recent developments in emerging market and developing economies 30
FIGURE 1.9. Outlook for emerging market and developing economies 31
FIGURE 1.10. Per capita income growth 38
FIGURE 1.11. Global outlook 46
FIGURE 1.12. Risks to the outlook 47
FIGURE 1.13. Global policy challenges 53
FIGURE 1.14. EMDE monetary and financial policy challenges 55
FIGURE 1.15. EMDE fiscal policy challenges 56
FIGURE 1.16. EMDE structural policy challenges 58
FIGURE 2.1.1. China: Recent developments 67
FIGURE 2.1.2. EAP excluding China: Recent developments 68
FIGURE 2.1.3. EAP: Outlook 69
FIGURE 2.1.4. EAP: Risks 70
FIGURE 2.2.1. ECA: Recent developments 74
FIGURE 2.2.2. ECA: Outlook 75
FIGURE 2.2.3. ECA: Risks 77
FIGURE 2.3.1. LAC: Recent developments 82
FIGURE 2.3.2. LAC: Outlook 83
FIGURE 2.3.3. LAC: Risks 85
FIGURE 2.4.1. MNA: Recent developments 90
FIGURE 2.4.2. MNA: Outlook 91
FIGURE 2.4.3. MNA: Risks 93
FIGURE 2.5.1. SAR: Recent developments 98
FIGURE 2.5.2. SAR: Outlook 99
FIGURE 2.5.3. SAR: Risks 101
FIGURE 2.6.1. SSA: Recent developments 105
FIGURE 2.6.2. SSA: Outlook 106
FIGURE 2.6.3. SSA: Risks 107
Boxes 7
BOX 1.1. Regional perspectives: Outlook and risks 33
BOX 1.2. Low-income countries: Recent developments and outlook 39
Box Tables 8
TABLE B1.2.1. Low-income country forecasts 42
Box Figures 8
FIGURE B1.1.1. Regional outlooks 34
FIGURE B1.1.2. Regional risks 35
FIGURE B1.2.1. LICs: Recent developments 40
FIGURE B1.2.2. LICs: Outlook and risks 41
출판사 책소개
Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing economies, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). Each edition includes analytical pieces on topical policy challenges faced by these economies.
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